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Black-Scholes implied volatility is a quantile. The insight follows from the normalized option price being a probability on the variance scale, with the inverse Gaussian distribution providing the link. It enables analytically exact and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-19 Wolfgang Schadner

A new realized conditional autoregressive Value-at-Risk (VaR) framework is proposed, through incorporating a measurement equation into the original quantile regression model. The framework is further extended by employing various Expected…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-18 Chao Wang , Richard Gerlach , Qian Chen

We propose an enhancement to wholesale electricity markets whereby the exposure of consumers to increasingly large and volatile consumer payments arising as a byproduct of volatile real-time net loads -- i.e., loads minus renewable outputs…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-13 Daniel Bienstock , Yury Dvorkin , Cheng Guo , Robert Mieth , Jiayi Wang

We focus on the time-varying modeling of VaR at a given coverage $\tau$, assessing whether the quantiles of the distribution of the returns standardized by their conditional means and standard deviations exhibit predictable dynamics. Models…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-01 Fabrizio Cipollini , Giampiero M. Gallo , Alessandro Palandri

Risk aversion and insurance are two prominent and interconnected concepts in economics and finance. To explore their fundamental connection, we introduce risk-insurance parity, which associates various classes of insurance contracts with…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-12-11 Benjamin Côté , Ruodu Wang , Qinyu Wu

We investigate methods for pricing American options under the variance gamma model. The variance gamma process is a pure jump process which is constructed by replacing the calendar time by the gamma time in a Brownian motion with drift,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-04 Weilong Fu , Ali Hirsa

Most models for barrier pricing are designed to let a market maker tune the model-implied covariance between moves in the asset spot price and moves in the implied volatility skew. This is often implemented with a local…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-16 Mark Higgins

We price European options in a class of models in which the volatility of the underlying risky asset depends on the short rate of interest. Our study results in an explicit pricing formula that depends on knowledge of a characteristic…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-03 Tim Leung , Matthew Lorig

We study an optimal stopping problem with an unbounded, time-dependent and discontinuous reward function. This problem is motivated by the pricing of a variable annuity contract with guaranteed minimum maturity benefit, under the assumption…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-10 Anne Mackay , Marie-Claude Vachon

This article proposes a calibration framework for complex option pricing models that jointly fits market option prices and the term structure of variance. Calibrated models under the conventional objective function, the sum of squared…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-11 Jiwook Yoo

The aim of this work is to evaluate the cheapest superreplication price of a general (possibly path-dependent) European contingent claim in a context where the model is uncertain. This setting is a generalization of the uncertain volatility…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Laurent Denis , Claude Martini

In this paper we study the pricing and hedging of nonreplicable contingent claims, such as long-term insurance contracts like variable annuities. Our approach is based on the benchmark-neutral pricing framework of Platen (2024), which…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-25 Michael Schmutz , Eckhard Platen , Thorsten Schmidt

Life insurance, like other forms of insurance, relies heavily on large volumes of data. The business model is based on an exchange where companies receive payments in return for the promise to provide coverage in case of an accident. Thus,…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-27 Andreas Groll , Akshat Khanna , Leonid Zeldin

Here we propose two alternatives to Black 76 to value European option future contracts in which the underlying market prices can be negative or mean reverting. The two proposed models are Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) and continuous time GARCH…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-28 Anatoliy Swishchuk , Ana Roldan-Contreras , Elham Soufiani , Guillermo Martinez , Mohsen Seifi , Nishant Agrawal , Yao Yao

An efficient method to price bonds with optional sinking feature is presented. Such instruments equip their issuer with the option (but not the obligation) to redeem parts of the notional prior to maturity, therefore the future cash flows…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-23 Jan-Frederik Mai , Marc Wittlinger

This note develops a stochastic model of asset volatility. The volatility obeys a continuous-time autoregressive equation. Conditions under which the process is asymptotically stationary and possesses long memory are characterised.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-02-28 John A. D. Appleby , John A. Daniels , Katja Krol

Valuation adjustments are nowadays a common practice to include credit and liquidity effects in option pricing. Funding costs arising from collateral procedures, hedging strategies and taxes are added to option prices to take into account…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-07 Stefania Gabrielli , Andrea Pallavicini , Stefano Scoleri

We present a general approach to the pricing of products in finance and insurance in the multi-period setting. It is a combination of the utility indifference pricing and optimal intertemporal risk allocation. We give a characterization of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Kei Fukuda , Akihiko Inoue , Yumiharu Nakano

In the hypothesis of rare loss events, the general expression of the policy value has been determined as a functional of the "expected frequency / loss severity" function and of the retention function. Exponential disutility has been chosen…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Renato Ghisellini

Cash collateral is perfect in that it provides simultaneous counterparty credit risk protection and derivatives funding. Securities are imperfect collateral, because of collateral segregation or differences in CSA haircuts and repo…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-28 Wujiang Lou