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We present a numerical method to compute expectations of functionals of a piecewise-deterministic Markov process. We discuss time dependent functionals as well as deterministic time horizon problems. Our approach is based on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-31 Adrien Brandejsky , Benoîte de Saporta , François Dufour

This thesis investigates the design of algorithms for solving min-max optimization problems, which form the mathematical foundation of many modern applications in machine learning, game theory, and optimization. This work offers new…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Sayantan Choudhury

The Expectation--Maximization (EM) algorithm is a simple meta-algorithm that has been used for many years as a methodology for statistical inference when there are missing measurements in the observed data or when the data is composed of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-15 Hideitsu Hino , Shotaro Akaho , Noboru Murata

Online auction, shopping, electronic billing etc. all such types of application involves problems of fraudulent transactions. Online fraud occurrence and its detection is one of the challenging fields for web development and online phantom…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2011-09-06 Sandeep Pratap Singh , Shiv Shankar P. Shukla , Nitin Rakesh , Vipin Tyagi

The results of this paper have been subsumed by those of our new paper arXiv:0910.1858

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2009-10-10 Sylvie Corteel , Lauren Williams

A new approach for optimal estimation of Markov chains with sparse transition matrices is presented.

Computation · Statistics 2009-05-27 Iuliana Teodorescu

Recommender systems are widely used for suggesting books, education materials, and products to users by exploring their behaviors. In reality, users' preferences often change over time, leading to studies on time-dependent recommender…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Haidong Zhang , Wancheng Ni , Xin Li , Yiping Yang

This paper considers a joint multi-graph inference and clustering problem for simultaneous inference of node centrality and association of graph signals with their graphs. We study a mixture model of filtered low pass graph signals with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-15 Yiran He , Hoi-To Wai

Working on the daily closing prices and logreturns, in this paper we deal with the use of Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) to forecast the price of the EUR/USD Futures. The aim of our work is to understand how the HMMs describe different…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-09 Sara Rebagliati , Emanuela Sasso , Samuele Soraggi

This paper introduces a new algorithm to approximate smoothed additive functionals for partially observed stochastic differential equations. This method relies on a recent procedure which allows to compute such approximations online, i.e.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-14 Pierre Gloaguen , Marie-Pierre Etienne , Sylvain Le Corff

Link prediction in complex networks has attracted increasing attention from both physical and computer science communities. The algorithms can be used to extract missing information, identify spurious interactions, evaluate network evolving…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-20 Linyuan Lu , Tao Zhou

In this paper, some points to the convergence analysis performed in the paper [A new computing approach for power signal modeling using fractional adaptive algorithms, ISA Transactions 68 (2017) 189-202] are presented. It is highlighted…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-24 Abdul Wahab , Shujaat Khan , Farrukh Zeeshan Khan

In the present paper we propose to describe gene networks in biological systems using probabilistic algorithms. We describe gene duplication in the process of biological evolution using introduction of the replica procedure for…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2012-08-01 S. V. Kozyrev , A. Yu. Khrennikov

Stochastic variational inference for collapsed models has recently been successfully applied to large scale topic modelling. In this paper, we propose a stochastic collapsed variational inference algorithm in the sequential data setting.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-08 Pengyu Wang , Phil Blunsom

This paper presents a mathematical framework for causal nonlinear prediction in settings where observations are generated from an underlying hidden Markov model (HMM). Both the problem formulation and the proposed solution are motivated by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Heng-Sheng Chang , Prashant G. Mehta

Nonparametric identification and maximum likelihood estimation for finite-state hidden Markov models are investigated. We obtain identification of the parameters as well as the order of the Markov chain if the transition probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-01 Grigory Alexandrovich , Hajo Holzmann , Anna Leister

In this paper we derive the consistency of the penalized likelihood method for the number state of the hidden Markov chain in autoregressive models with Markov regimen. Using a SAEM type algorithm to estimate the models parameters. We test…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Ricardo Ríos , Luis Rodríguez

A major technique in learning-augmented online algorithms is combining multiple algorithms or predictors. Since the performance of each predictor may vary over time, it is desirable to use not the single best predictor as a benchmark, but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Antonios Antoniadis , Christian Coester , Marek Eliáš , Adam Polak , Bertrand Simon

This paper introduces an algorithm for discovering implicit and delayed causal relations between events observed by a robot at arbitrary times, with the objective of improving data-efficiency and interpretability of model-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-05 Junchi Liang , Abdeslam Boularias

This paper introduces a new algorithm for numerically computing equilibrium (i.e. stationary) distributions for Markov chains and Markov jump processes with either a very large finite state space or a countably infinite state space. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-31 Alex Infanger , Peter W. Glynn