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This paper presents algorithms for parallelization of inference in hidden Markov models (HMMs). In particular, we propose parallel backward-forward type of filtering and smoothing algorithm as well as parallel Viterbi-type…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2021-09-07 Sakira Hassan , Simo Särkkä , Ángel F. García-Fernández

While advances continue to be made in model-based clustering, challenges persist in modeling various data types such as panel data. Multivariate panel data present difficulties for clustering algorithms because they are often plagued by…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-26 Mackenzie R. Neal , Alexa A. Sochaniwsky , Paul D. McNicholas

In this contribution, we propose a generic online (also sometimes called adaptive or recursive) version of the Expectation-Maximisation (EM) algorithm applicable to latent variable models of independent observations. Compared to the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-02 Olivier Cappé , Eric Moulines

We propose the misclassified Ising Model; a framework for analyzing dependent binary data where the binary state is susceptible to error. We extend the theoretical results of the model selection method presented in Ravikumar et. al. (2010)…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-21 David G. Sinclair , Giles Hooker

Load forecasting is crucial for multiple energy management tasks such as scheduling generation capacity, planning supply and demand, and minimizing energy trade costs. Such relevance has increased even more in recent years due to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-16 Verónica Álvarez , Santiago Mazuelas , José A. Lozano

This thesis explores a number of online machine learning algorithms. From a theoret- ical perspective, it assesses their employability for a particular function approximation problem where the analytical models fall short. Furthermore, it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-04 Ahmet Anil Pala

The extension of classical online algorithms when provided with predictions is a new and active research area. In this paper, we extend the primal-dual method for online algorithms in order to incorporate predictions that advise the online…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-23 Étienne Bamas , Andreas Maggiori , Ola Svensson

This paper presents a novel algorithm, the particle-based, rapid incremental smoother (PaRIS), for efficient online approximation of smoothed expectations of additive state functionals in general hidden Markov models. The algorithm, which…

Computation · Statistics 2014-12-25 Jimmy Olsson , Johan Westerborn

We present an algorithm for a class of statistical inference problems. The main idea is to reformulate the inference problem as an optimization procedure, based on the generation of surrogate (auxiliary) functions. This approach is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-22 Rodrigo Carvajal , Rafael Orellana , Dimitrios Katselis , Pedro Escárate , Juan. C. Agüero

Learning-augmented algorithms have received significant attention in recent years, particularly in the context of online optimization. Motivated by the high computational cost of generating predictions, a growing line of work studies the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Yongho Shin , Phanu Vajanopath

In this paper, we establish a robustification of an on-line algorithm for modelling asset prices within a hidden Markov model (HMM). In this HMM framework, parameters of the model are guided by a Markov chain in discrete time, parameters of…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-04-09 Christina Erlwein , Peter Ruckdeschel

Scripts have been proposed to model the stereotypical event sequences found in narratives. They can be applied to make a variety of inferences including filling gaps in the narratives and resolving ambiguous references. This paper proposes…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-09-12 J. Walker Orr , Prasad Tadepalli , Janardhan Rao Doppa , Xiaoli Fern , Thomas G. Dietterich

Hidden semi-Markov models (HSMMs) are latent variable models which allow latent state persistence and can be viewed as a generalization of the popular hidden Markov models (HMMs). In this paper, we introduce a novel spectral algorithm to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-01 Igor Melnyk , Arindam Banerjee

This paper deals with parameter estimation in pair hidden Markov models (pair-HMMs). We first provide a rigorous formalism for these models and discuss possible definitions of likelihoods. The model being biologically motivated, some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-12-09 Ana Arribas-Gil , Elisabeth Gassiat , Catherine Matias

In this paper we study a variety of novel online algorithm problems inspired by the game Mousehunt. We consider a number of basic models that approximate the game, and we provide solutions to these models using Markov Decision Processes,…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-01-09 Jeffrey Ling , Kai Xiao , Dai Yang

This article presents a short and concise description of stochastic approximation algorithms in reinforcement learning of Markov decision processes. The algorithms can also be used as a suboptimal method for partially observed Markov…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-12-25 Vikram Krishnamurthy

Estimating online the parameters of general state-space hidden Markov models is a topic of importance in many scientific and engineering disciplines. In this paper we present an online parameter estimation algorithm obtained by casting our…

Computation · Statistics 2016-02-25 Jimmy Olsson , Johan Westerborn

Exact inference for hidden Markov models requires the evaluation of all distributions of interest - filtering, prediction, smoothing and likelihood - with a finite computational effort. This article provides sufficient conditions for exact…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-11 Guillaume Kon Kam King , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Matteo Ruggiero

Standard Markov decision process (MDP) and reinforcement learning algorithms optimize the policy with respect to the expected gain. We propose an algorithm which enables to optimize an alternative objective: the probability that the gain is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-06 Vincent Corlay , Jean-Christophe Sibel

Comment on ``Boosting Algorithms: Regularization, Prediction and Model Fitting'' [arXiv:0804.2752]

Methodology · Statistics 2008-12-18 Trevor Hastie