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Generating synthetic financial time series that preserve the statistical properties of real market data is essential for stress testing, risk model validation, and scenario design. Existing approaches struggle to simultaneously reproduce…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-03 Abdulrahman Alswaidan , Jeffrey D. Varner

We study the estimation of the value function for continuous-time Markov diffusion processes using a single, discretely observed ergodic trajectory. Our work provides non-asymptotic statistical guarantees for the least-squares…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-07 Wenlong Mou

At high levels, the asymptotic distribution of a stationary, regularly varying Markov chain is conveniently given by its tail process. The latter takes the form of a geometric random walk, the increment distribution depending on the sign of…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-11 Holger Drees , Johan Segers , Michał Warchoł

This paper studies the numerical approximation for McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations driven by L\'evy processes. We propose a tamed-adaptive Euler-Maruyama scheme and consider its strong convergence in both finite and infinite…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-09 Ngoc Khue Tran , Trung-Thuy Kieu , Duc-Trong Luong , Hoang-Long Ngo

In this paper, we consider a subclass of piecewise deterministic Markov processes with a Polish state space that involve a deterministic motion punctuated by random jumps, occurring in a Poisson-like fashion with some state-dependent rate,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Dawid Czapla

We consider the solution X = (Xt) t$\ge$0 of a multivariate stochastic differential equation with Levy-type jumps and with unique invariant probability measure with density $\mu$. We assume that a continuous record of observations X T =…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Chiara Amorino , Arnaud Gloter

We provide a criterion for establishing lower bounds on the rate of convergence in $f$-variation of a continuous-time ergodic Markov process to its invariant measure. The criterion consists of novel super- and submartingale conditions for…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-16 Miha Brešar , Aleksandar Mijatović

In this paper we study general nonlinear stochastic differential equations, where the usual Brownian motion is replaced by a L\'evy process. We also suppose that the coefficient multiplying the increments of this process is merely Lipschitz…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-19 Benjamin Jourdain , Sylvie Méléard , Wojbor Woyczynski

We establish a recursive representation that fully decouples jumps from a large class of multivariate inhomogeneous stochastic differential equations with jumps of general time-state dependent unbounded intensity, not of L\'evy-driven type…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Qinjing Qiu , Reiichiro Kawai

We analyze the spatial asymptotic properties of the solution to the stochastic heat equation driven by an additive L\'evy space-time white noise. For fixed time $t > 0$ and space $x \in \mathbb{R}^d$ we determine the exact tail behavior of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-14 Carsten Chong , Péter Kevei

In this paper we introduce and analyze a class of diffusion type equations related to certain non-Markovian stochastic processes. We start from the forward drift equation which is made non-local in time by the introduction of a suitable…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Antonio Mura , Murad S. Taqqu , Francesco Mainardi

We show the variational convergence of an irreversible Markov jump process describing a finite stochastic particle system to the solution of a countable infinite system of deterministic time-inhomogeneous quadratic differential equations…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Jasper Hoeksema , Chun Yin Lam , André Schlichting

We analyze the propagation of excitons in a $d$-dimensional lattice with power-law hopping $\propto 1/r^\alpha$ in the presence of dephasing, described by a generalized Haken-Strobl-Reineker model. We show that in the strong dephasing…

We obtain general lower estimates of transition densities of jump L\'evy processes. We use them for processes with L\'evy measures having bounded support, processes with exponentially decaying L\'evy measures for large times and for…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Pawel Sztonyk

We consider a Markovian jumping process with two absorbing barriers, for which the waiting-time distribution involves a position-dependent coefficient. We solve the Fokker-Planck equation with boundary conditions and calculate the mean…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-10-16 A. Kamińska , T. Srokowski

In the paper we consider some piecewise deterministic Markov process whose continuous component evolves according to semiflows, which are switched at the jump times of a Poisson process. The associated Markov chain describes the states of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-06 Dawid Czapla , Sander C. Hille , Katarzyna Horbacz , Hanna Wojewódka-Ściążko

Consider a critical branching L\'{e}vy process $\{X_t, t\ge 0\}$ with branching rate $\beta>0, $ offspring distribution $\{p_k:k\geq 0\}$ and spatial motion $\{\xi_t, \Pi_x\}$. For any $t\ge 0$, let $N_t$ be the collection of particles…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-10 Haojie Hou , Yiyang Jiang , Yan-Xia Ren , Renming Song

We consider the first exit time of a nonnegative Harris-recurrent Markov process from the interval $[0,A]$ as $A\to\infty$. We provide an alternative method of proof of asymptotic exponentiality of the first exit time (suitably…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-07 Moshe Pollak , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

We propose a general framework for studying jump-diffusion systems driven by both Gaussian noise and a jump process with state-dependent intensity. Of particular natural interest are the jump locations: the system evaluated at the jump…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-09-28 Christopher E. Miles , James P. Keener

Anomalous diffusions arise as scaling limits of continuous-time random walks (CTRWs) whose innovation times are distributed according to a power law. The impact of a non-exponential waiting time does not vanish with time and leads to…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-13 Antoine Jacquier , Lorenzo Torricelli