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The entropy of an ergodic finite-alphabet process can be computed from a single typical sample path x_1^n using the entropy of the k-block empirical probability and letting k grow with $n$ roughly like log n. We further assume that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-10 J. -R. Chazottes , D. Gabrielli

The large deviation principle in the small noise limit is derived for solutions of possibly degenerate It\^o stochastic differential equations with predictable coefficients, which may depend also on the large deviation parameter. The result…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-06 Alberto Chiarini , Markus Fischer

We establish the Level-1 and Level-3 Large Deviation Principles (LDPs) for invariant measures on shift spaces over finite alphabets under very general decoupling conditions for which the thermodynamic formalism does not apply. Such…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-06-28 Noé Cuneo , Vojkan Jakšić , Claude-Alain Pillet , Armen Shirikyan

Hawkes processes are a particularly interesting class of stochastic process that have been applied in diverse areas, from earthquake modelling to financial analysis. They are point processes whose defining characteristic is that they…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-13 Patrick J. Laub , Thomas Taimre , Philip K. Pollett

We study a system of N particles with logarithmic, Coulomb or Riesz pairwise interactions, confined by an external potential. We examine a microscopic quantity, the tagged empirical field, for which we prove a large deviation principle at…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-11 Thomas Leblé , Sylvia Serfaty

Large deviation results are given for a class of perturbed nonhomogeneous Markov chains on finite state space which formally includes some stochastic optimization algorithms. Specifically, let {P_n} be a sequence of transition matrices on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Zach Dietz , Sunder Sethuraman

In this paper we consider a slight generalization of the damped telegraph process in Di Crescenzo and Martinucci (2010). We prove a large deviation principle for this process and an asymptotic result for its level crossing probabilities (as…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-29 Alessandro De Gregorio , Claudio Macci

Large deviation for Markov processes can be studied by Hamilton--Jacobi equation techniques. The method of proof involves three steps: First, we apply a nonlinear transform to generators of the Markov processes, and verify that limit of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jin Feng

This paper deals with rare events in a general {interacting gas} at high temperature, by means of Large Deviations Principles. The main result is an LDP for the tagged empirical field, which features the competition of an energy term and an…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-17 David Padilla-Garza

An analogue of Talagrand's convex distance for binomial and Poisson point processes is defined. A corresponding large deviation inequality is proved.

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-05 Matthias Reitzner

We establish a large deviation principle for the empirical measure process associated with a general class of finite-state mean field interacting particle systems with Lipschitz continuous transition rates that satisfy a certain ergodicity…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-26 Paul Dupuis , Kavita Ramanan , Wei Wu

Despite the widespread occurrence of classification problems and the increasing collection of point process data across many disciplines, study of error probability for point process classification only emerged very recently. Here, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-01 Xinhui Rong , Victor Solo

In this paper we investigate the statistics of large waiting times (with respect to the total waiting time) for Bernoulli processes. We determine the corresponding rate functions explicitly and prove a large deviations asymptotic. By this…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-02 Marc Kesseböhmer , Lidong Tang

We prove a large deviation principle (LDP) and a fluctuation theorem (FT) for the entropy production rate (EPR) of the following $d$ dimensional stochastic differential equation \begin{equation*} d X_{t}=AX_{t} d t+\sqrt{Q} d B_{t}…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-19 Amarjit Budhiraja , Yong Chen , Lihu Xu

Hawkes processes are a class of self-exciting point processes that are used to model complex phenomena. While most applications of Hawkes processes assume that event data occurs in continuous-time, the less-studied discrete-time version of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-01 Trinnhallen Brisley , Gordon Ross , Daniel Paulin , Jake Easto

We consider oscillatory systems of interacting Hawkes processes introduced in Ditlevsen and Loecherbach (2017) to model multi-class systems of interacting neurons together with the diffusion approximations of their intensity processes. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-28 Eva Löcherbach

In this paper, we establish the asymptotic behavior of {\it supercritical} nearly unstable Hawkes processes with a power law kernel. We find that, the Hawkes process in our context admits a similar equation to that in \cite{MR3563196} for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-25 Liping Xu , An Zhang

In this paper, we establish the large deviation principle for 3D stochastic primitive equations with small perturbation multiplicative noise. The proof is mainly based on the weak convergence approach.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-14 Zhao Dong , Jianliang Zhai , Rangrang Zhang

We study the large deviation estimates for the short time asymptotic behavior of a strongly degenerate diffusion process. Assuming a nilpotent structure of the Lie algebra generated by the driving vector fields, we obtain a graded large…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-30 Gérard Ben Arous , Jing Wang

Hawkes point processes are first-order non-Markovian stochastic models of intermittent bursty dynamics with applications to physical, seismic, epidemic, biological, financial, and social systems. While accounting for positive feedback loops…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-02-02 Kiyoshi Kanazawa , Didier Sornette
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