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The problem of estimating trend and seasonal variation in time-series data has been studied over several decades, although mostly using single time series. This paper studies the problem of estimating these components from functional data,…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-25 Liang-Hsuan Tai , Anuj Srivastava , Kyle A. Gallivan

We review two recently developed efficient methods for calculating rate constants of processes dominated by rare events in high-dimensional complex systems. The first is transition interface sampling (TIS), based on the measurement of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Titus S. van Erp , Peter G. Bolhuis

We present a data-driven method for reconstructing the galactic acceleration field from phase-space measurements of stellar streams. Our approach is based on a flexible and differentiable fit to the stream in phase-space, enabling a direct…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2023-03-31 Jacob Nibauer , Vasily Belokurov , Miles Cranmer , Jeremy Goodman , Shirley Ho

We present a theory and accompanying importance sampling method for computing rate constants in spatially inhomogenious systems. Using the relationship between rate constants and path space partition functions, we illustrate that the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-06-05 Addison J. Schile , David T. Limmer

Although many studies collect biomedical time series signals from multiple subjects, there is a dearth of models and methods for assessing the association between frequency domain properties of time series and other study outcomes. This…

Applications · Statistics 2015-03-13 Robert T. Krafty , Martica Hall

Recurrence plots (RPs) are powerful tools for visualizing time series dynamics; however, traditional Recurrence Quantification Analysis (RQA) often relies on global metrics, such as line counting, that can overlook system-specific,…

Social goods, such as healthcare, smart city, and information networks, often produce ordered event data in continuous time. The generative processes of these event data can be very complex, requiring flexible models to capture their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-29 Shuang Li , Shuai Xiao , Shixiang Zhu , Nan Du , Yao Xie , Le Song

Time series forecasting has received a lot of attention, with recurrent neural networks (RNNs) being one of the widely used models due to their ability to handle sequential data. Previous studies on RNN time series forecasting, however,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Christopher Salazar , Ashis G. Banerjee

Derivation of the procedures that can be applied in evaluating two-time correlation function in terms of coherent-state propagator and corresponding Q-function is presented. On the basis that the involved functions are generally exponential…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-10-16 Sintayehu Tesfa

Direct correlation functions (DCFs), linked to the second functional derivative of the free energy with respect to the one-particle density, play a fundamental role in a statistical mechanics description of matter. This holds in particular…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2021-08-25 S. -C. Lin , M. Oettel , J. M. Hring , R. Haussmann , M. Fuchs , G. Kahl

Stable subordinators, and more general subordinators possessing power law probability tails, have been widely used in the context of subdiffusions, where particles get trapped or immobile in a number of time periods, called constant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-11 Phillip Kerger , Kei Kobayashi

The problem of calculating real-time correlation functions is formulated in terms of an imaginary-time partial differential equation. The latter is solved analytically for the perturbed harmonic oscillator and compared with the known exact…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 P. E. Kornilovitch

The ability to predict accurate thermodynamic and kinetic properties in biomolecular systems is of both scientific and practical utility. While both remain very difficult, predictions of kinetics are particularly difficult because rates, in…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2018-06-13 Yong Wang , Omar Valsson , Pratyush Tiwary , Michele Parrinello , Kresten Lindorff-Larsen

The recrossing correction to the transition state theory estimate of a thermal rate can be difficult to calculate when the energy barrier is flat. This problem arises, for example, in polymer escape if the polymer is long enough to stretch…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-09-21 Harri Mökkönen , Tapio Ala-Nissila , Hannes Jónsson

Determination of the rate of energy loss in a reverberation chamber is fundamental to many different measurements such as absorption cross-section, antenna efficiency, radiated power, and shielding effectiveness. Determination of the energy…

Classical Physics · Physics 2017-11-22 Xiaotian Zhang , Martin P. Robinson , Ian D. Flintoft , John F. Dawson

We develop a new approximative estimation method for conditional Shapley values obtained using a linear regression model. We develop a new estimation method and outperform existing methodology and implementations. Compared to the sequential…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-28 Fredrik Lohne Aanes

We propose a novel approach to parameter estimation for simulator-based statistical models with intractable likelihood. Our proposed method involves recursive application of kernel ABC and kernel herding to the same observed data. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-13 Takafumi Kajihara , Motonobu Kanagawa , Keisuke Yamazaki , Kenji Fukumizu

The estimation of the correlation between time series is often hampered by the asynchronicity of the signals. Cumulating data within a time window suppresses this source of noise but weakens the statistics. We present a method to estimate…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-02-18 Bence Toth , Janos Kertesz

We consider the problem of estimating a dose-response curve. Continuous treatments arise often in practice, e.g. in the form of time spent on an operation, distance traveled to a location or dosage of a drug. Letting $A$ denote a continuous…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 Matteo Bonvini , Edward H. Kennedy

While providing a highly accurate framework for simulating laser-induced many-electron dynamics in atom and molecules, including linear and nonlinear steady-state and transient absorption spectra, time-dependent coupled-cluster theory does…