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We analyze the dynamics of agent--based models (ABMs) from a Markovian perspective and derive explicit statements about the possibility of linking a microscopic agent model to the dynamical processes of macroscopic observables that are…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2012-07-11 Sven Banisch , Ricardo Lima , Tanya Araújo

Accurately simulating human opinion dynamics is crucial for understanding a variety of societal phenomena, including polarization and the spread of misinformation. However, the agent-based models (ABMs) commonly used for such simulations…

We show that a maximum likelihood approach for parameter estimation in agent-based models (ABMs) of opinion dynamics outperforms the typical simulation-based approach. Simulation-based approaches simulate the model repeatedly in search of a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-10-06 Jacopo Lenti , Corrado Monti , Gianmarco De Francisci Morales

We address the problem of a participatory decision-making process where a shared priority list of alternatives has to be obtained while avoiding inconsistent decisions. An agent-based model (ABM) is proposed to mimic this process in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-11-23 Michela Le Pira , Giuseppe Inturri , Matteo Ignaccolo , Alessandro Pluchino , Andrea Rapisarda

Understanding how an individual changes its attitude, belief, and opinion due to other people's social influences is vital because of its wide implications. A core methodology that is used to study the change of attitude under social…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-06-07 Yun-Shiuan Chuang , Timothy T. Rogers

We introduce an agent-based model for co-evolving opinion and social dynamics, under the influence of multiplicative noise. In this model, every agent is characterized by a position in a social space and a continuous opinion state variable.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-10-05 Natasa Djurdjevac Conrad , Jonas Köppl , Ana Djurdjevac

In this paper, the effect on collective opinions of filtering algorithms managed by social network platforms is modeled and investigated. A stochastic multi-agent model for opinion dynamics is proposed, that accounts for a centralized…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-07-10 P. Bolzern , P. Colaneri , G. De Nicolao

Recent years saw an increased interest in modeling and understanding the mechanisms of opinion and innovation spread through human networks. Using analysis of real-world social data, researchers are able to gain a better understanding of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-03-29 Ajay Saini , Natasha Markuzon

There is a rich literature on microscopic models for opinion dynamics; most of them fall into one of two categories - agent-based models or differential equation models - with a general understanding that the two are connected in certain…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-11-16 Andrew Nugent , Susana N Gomes , Marie-Therese Wolfram

In this paper, we model a decision-making process involving a set of interacting agents. We use Markovian opinion dynamics, where each agent switches between decisions according to a continuous time Markov chain. Existing opinion dynamics…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-31 Carl-Johan Heiker , Paolo Falcone

In this era of fast and large-scale opinion formation, a mathematical understanding of opinion evolution, a.k.a. opinion dynamics, is especially important. Linear graph-based dynamics and bounded confidence dynamics are the two most popular…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-12-09 Sushmitha Shree S , Kishore G , Avhishek Chatterjee , Krishna Jagannathan

An agent-based model (ABM) is a computational model in which the local interactions of autonomous agents with each other and with their environment give rise to global properties within a given domain. As the detail and complexity of these…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-12-01 Daniel A. Cruz , Jack Toppen , Eunbi Park , Melissa L. Kemp , Elena S. Dimitrova

Despite the frequent use of agent-based models (ABMs) for studying social phenomena, parameter estimation remains a challenge, often relying on costly simulation-based heuristics. This work uses variational inference to estimate the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Jacopo Lenti , Fabrizio Silvestri , Gianmarco De Francisci Morales

The dynamics of opinion formation in large groups of people is a complex non-linear phenomenon whose investigation is just at the beginning. Both collective behaviour and personal view play an important role in this mechanism. In the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-02-17 M. Bartolozzi , B. Leinweber , A. W. Thomas

We study a tractable opinion dynamics model that generates long-run disagreements and persistent opinion fluctuations. Our model involves an inhomogeneous stochastic gossip process of continuous opinion dynamics in a society consisting of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-12-03 Daron Acemoglu , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani , Asuman Ozdaglar

We present a model of opinion dynamics in which agents adjust continuous opinions as a result of random binary encounters whenever their difference in opinion is below a given threshold. High thresholds yield convergence of opinions towards…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Gerard Weisbuch , Guillaume Deffuant , Frederic Amblard , Jean Pierre Nadal

We reformulate the agent-based opinion dynamics models of Weisbuch-Deffuant and Hegselmann-Krause as interactive Markov chains. So we switch the scope from a finite number of n agents to a finite number of n opinion classes. Thus, we will…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-08-27 Jan Lorenz

In this paper we consider the modeling of opinion dynamics over time dependent large scale networks. A kinetic description of the agents' distribution over the evolving network is considered which combines an opinion update based on binary…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-04-05 Giacomo Albi , Lorenzo Pareschi , Mattia Zanella

In models of opinion dynamics, agents interact with each other and can change their opinions as a result of those interactions. One type of opinion model is a bounded-confidence model (BCM), in which opinions take continuous values and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-27 Weiqi Chu , Mason A Porter

Agent-based models of opinion dynamics allow one to examine the spread of opinions between entities and to study phenomena such as consensus, polarization, and fragmentation. By studying a model of opinion dynamics on a social network, one…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-22 Grace J. Li , Mason A. Porter
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