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To quantify the fundamental evolution of time-varying networks, and detect abnormal behavior, one needs a notion of temporal difference that captures significant organizational changes between two successive instants. In this work, we…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-08-17 Nathan D Monnig , Francois G Meyer

In optimization, the natural gradient method is well-known for likelihood maximization. The method uses the Kullback-Leibler divergence, corresponding infinitesimally to the Fisher-Rao metric, which is pulled back to the parameter space of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-26 Anton Mallasto , Tom Dela Haije , Aasa Feragen

Dynamical processes can be transformed into graphs through a family of mappings called visibility algorithms, enabling the possibility of (i) making empirical data analysis and signal processing and (ii) characterising classes of dynamical…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-18 Lucas Lacasa

Systems are commonly monitored for health and security through collection and streaming of multivariate time series. Advances in time series forecasting due to adoption of multilayer recurrent neural network architectures make it possible…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-10 Oshri Barazani , David Tolpin

This paper presents a novel information value function that can be used in online sensor planning to monitor a spatial phenomenon in which the spatial phenomenon is modeled by nonparametric Gaussian processes. The information value function…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-06-13 Hongchuan Wei , Wenjie Lu , Silvia Ferrari

Time series classification has received great attention over the past decade with a wide range of methods focusing on predictive performance by exploiting various types of temporal features. Nonetheless, little emphasis has been placed on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-17 Isak Karlsson , Jonathan Rebane , Panagiotis Papapetrou , Aristides Gionis

The recently formulated theory of horizontal visibility graphs transforms time series into graphs and allows the possibility of studying dynamical systems through the characterization of their associated networks. This method leads to a…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-30 Bartolo Luque , Lucas Lacasa , Fernando J. Ballesteros , Alberto Robledo

Anomaly detection on multivariate time-series is of great importance in both data mining research and industrial applications. Recent approaches have achieved significant progress in this topic, but there is remaining limitations. One major…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-07 Hang Zhao , Yujing Wang , Juanyong Duan , Congrui Huang , Defu Cao , Yunhai Tong , Bixiong Xu , Jing Bai , Jie Tong , Qi Zhang

The deepening penetration of renewable resources into power systems entails great difficulties that have not been surmounted satisfactorily. An issue that merits special attention is the short-term planning of power systems under net load…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Ogun Yurdakul , Fikret Sivrikaya , Sahin Albayrak

We present the modification of natural visibility graph (NVG) algorithm used for the mapping of the time series to the complex networks (graphs). We propose the parametric natural visibility graph (PNVG) algorithm. The PNVG consists of NVG…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-11 I. V. Bezsudnov , A. A. Snarskii

Estimating the time lag between two hydrogeologic time series (e.g. precipitation and water levels in an aquifer) is of significance for a hydrogeologist-modeler. In this paper, we present a method to quantify such lags by adapting the…

Applications · Statistics 2017-02-07 Rahul John , Majnu John

We present two nonparametric approaches to Kullback-Leibler (KL) control, or linearly-solvable Markov decision problem (LMDP) based on Gaussian processes (GP) and Nystr\"{o}m approximation. Compared to recently developed parametric methods,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-06-17 Yunpeng Pan , Evangelos Theodorou

A turbulent flow is maintained by an external supply of kinetic energy, which is eventually dissipated into heat at steep velocity gradients. The scale at which energy is supplied greatly differs from the scale at which energy is…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-30 Haitao Xu , Alain Pumir , Eberhard Bodenschatz

With the rapid development of web services, large amounts of time series data are generated and accumulated across various domains such as finance, healthcare, and online platforms. As such data often co-evolves with multiple variables…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Shingo Higashiguchi , Koki Kawabata , Yasuko Matsubara , Yasushi Sakurai

Change-point detection and locally stationary time series modeling are two major approaches for the analysis of non-stationary data. The former aims to identify stationary phases by detecting abrupt changes in the dynamics of a time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-16 Wai Leong Ng , Xinyi Tang , Mun Lau Cheung , Jiacheng Gao , Chun Yip Yau , Holger Dette

Wide conditions are provided to guarantee asymptotic unbiasedness and L^2-consistency of the introduced estimates of the Kullback-Leibler divergence for probability measures in R^d having densities w.r.t. the Lebesgue measure. These…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-02 Alexander Bulinski , Denis Dimitrov

Streamflow is a dynamical process that integrates water movement in space and time within basin boundaries. The authors characterize the dynamics associated with streamflow time series data from about seventy-one U.S. Geological Survey…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-14 Ganesh R. Ghimire , Navid Jadidoleslam , Witold F. Krajewski , Anastasios A. Tsonis

Observability of an array of identical LTI systems with incommensurable output matrices is studied, where an array is called observable when identically zero relative outputs imply synchronized solutions for the individual systems. It is…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-08-12 S. Emre Tuna

Time series are proficiently converted into graphs via the horizontal visibility (HV) algorithm, which prompts interest in its capability for capturing the nature of different classes of series in a network context. We have recently shown…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-03 Bartolo Luque , Lucas Lacasa , Fernando J. Ballesteros , Alberto Robledo

Estimating the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence between random variables is a fundamental problem in statistical analysis. For continuous random variables, traditional information-theoretic estimators scale poorly with dimension and/or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Mikil Foss , Andrew Lamperski
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