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We propose a novel adaptive importance sampling scheme for Bayesian inversion problems where the inference of the variables of interest and the power of the data noise is split. More specifically, we consider a Bayesian analysis for the…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-27 L. Martino , F. Llorente , E. Curbelo , J. Lopez-Santiago , J. Miguez

Models characterized by autoregressive structure and random coefficients are powerful tools for the analysis of high-frequency, high-dimensional and volatile time series. The available literature on such models is broad, but also sectorial,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-18 Marta Regis , Paulo Serra , Edwin R. van den Heuvel

We tackle the modeling of threshold exceedances in asymptotically independent stochastic processes by constructions based on Laplace random fields. These are defined as Gaussian random fields scaled with a stochastic variable following an…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-09 Thomas Opitz

We consider heteroscedastic nonparametric regression models, when both the mean function and variance function are unknown and to be estimated with nonparametric approaches. We derive convergence rates of posterior distributions for this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-07 Yuao Hu

In this note we discuss (Gaussian) intrinsic conditional autoregressive (CAR) models for disconnected graphs, with the aim of providing practical guidelines for how these models should be defined, scaled and implemented. We show how these…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-16 Anna Freni-Sterrantino , Massimo Ventrucci , Håvard Rue

We clarify relationships between conditional (CAR) and simultaneous (SAR) autoregressive models. We review the literature on this topic and find that it is mostly incomplete. Our main result is that a SAR model can be written as a unique…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-20 Jay M. Ver Hoef , Ephraim M. Hanks , Mevin B. Hooten

In this paper, we introduce reduced-bias estimators for the estimation of the tail index of a Pareto-type distribution. This is achieved through the use of a regularised weighted least squares with an exponential regression model for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-19 E. Ocran , R. Minkah , G. Kallah-Dagadu , K. Doku-Amponsah

Tail dependence models for distributions attracted to a max-stable law are fitted using observations above a high threshold. To cope with spatial, high-dimensional data, a rank-based M-estimator is proposed relying on bivariate margins…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-12 John Einmahl , Anna Kiriliouk , Andrea Krajina , Johan Segers

We investigated the use of the Bayesian inference to restore noise-degraded images under conditions of spatially correlated noise. The generative statistical models used for the original image and the noise were assumed to obey…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Jun Tsuzurugi , Masato Okada

In this paper, we develop a generalized Bayesian inference framework for a collection of signal-plus-noise matrix models arising in high-dimensional statistics and many applications. The framework is built upon an asymptotically unbiased…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-01 Fangzheng Xie , Dingbo Wu

The return distributions of the coherent noise model are studied for the system size independent case. It is shown that, in this case, these distributions are in the shape of q-Gaussians, which are the standard distributions obtained in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-05-30 Ahmet Celikoglu , Ugur Tirnakli , Silvio M. Duarte Queiros

We consider penalized regression models under a unified framework where the particular method is determined by the form of the penalty term. We propose a fully Bayesian approach that incorporates both sparse and dense settings and show how…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-25 Ding Xiang , Galin L. Jones

In this article, we study the asymptotic behaviour of the residual autocorrelations for periodic vector autoregressive time series models (PVAR henceforth) with uncorrelated but dependent innovations (i.e., weak PVAR). We then deduce the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Yacouba Boubacar Mainassara , Eugen Ursu

In a variety of disciplines such as social sciences, psychology, medicine and economics, the recorded data are considered to be noisy measurements of latent variables connected by some causal structure. This corresponds to a family of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-08-12 Ricardo Silva , Robert B. Gramacy

In a variety of disciplines such as social sciences, psychology, medicine and economics, the recorded data are considered to be noisy measurements of latent variables connected by some causal structure. This corresponds to a family of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-03-15 Ricardo Silva , Robert B. Gramacy

The focus of this work is on spatial variable selection for scalar-on-image regression. We propose a new class of Bayesian nonparametric models, soft-thresholded Gaussian processes and develop the efficient posterior computation algorithms.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-13 Jian Kang , Brian J. Reich , Ana-Maria Staicu

Time-irreversibility is a distinctive feature of non-equilibrium dynamics and several measures of irreversibility have been introduced to assess the distance from thermal equilibrium of a stochastically driven system. While the dynamical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-02-14 Grzegorz Gradziuk , Gabriel Torregrosa , Chase P. Broedersz

In this article, normal inverse Gaussian (NIG) autoregressive model is introduced. The parameters of the model are estimated using Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm. The efficacy of the EM algorithm is shown using simulated and real…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-16 Monika Singh Dhull , Arun Kumar

We develop a Bayesian vector autoregressive (VAR) model with multivariate stochastic volatility that is capable of handling vast dimensional information sets. Three features are introduced to permit reliable estimation of the model. First,…

Computation · Statistics 2020-03-12 Gregor Kastner , Florian Huber

We make a minimal, but very effective alteration to the VAE model. This is about a drop-in replacement for the (sample-dependent) approximate posterior to change it from the standard white Gaussian with diagonal covariance to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-16 Sohrab Ferdowsi , Maurits Diephuis , Shideh Rezaeifar , Slava Voloshynovskiy