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The standard intensity-based approach for modeling defaults is generalized by making the deterministic term structure of the survival probability stochastic via a common jump process. The survival copula of the vector of default times is…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-16 Marius Hofert , Frederic Vrins

It is well-known that the expected scaled maximum of non-negative random variables with unit mean defines a stable tail dependence function associated with some extreme-value copula. In the special case when these random variables are…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-30 Jan-Frederik Mai

Fractional Brownian motion can be represented as an integral of a deterministic kernel w.r.t. an ordinary Brownian motion either on infinite or compact interval. In previous literature fractional L\'evy processes are defined by integrating…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-11 Heikki Tikanmäki , Yuliya Mishura

We investigate the pricing of cliquet options in a jump-diffusion model. The considered option is of monthly sum cap style while the underlying stock price model is driven by a drifted L\'{e}vy process entailing a Brownian diffusion…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-24 Markus Hess

Using a pointwise version of Fej\'{e}r's theorem about Fourier series, we obtain two formulae related to the series representations of positive integral powers of $\pi$. We also check the correctness of our formulae by the applications of…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2024-05-22 Mingzhou Xu

The ability to represent complex high dimensional probability distributions in a compact form is one of the key insights in the field of graphical models. Factored representations are ubiquitous in machine learning and lead to major…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-06-23 Yexiang Xue , Stefano Ermon , Ronan Le Bras , Carla P. Gomes , Bart Selman

This paper is devoted to the quantification and analysis of marginal risk contribution of a given single financial institution i to the risk of a financial system s. Our work expands on the CoVaR concept proposed by Adrian and Brunnermeier…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-11-27 Brice Hakwa , Manfred Jäger-Ambrożewicz , Barbara Rüdiger

In some areas of knowledge there are data representing directions restricted to a specific range of values. Consequently, it is useful to have models for describing variables defined in subsets of the k-dimensional unit sphere. This need…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-17 Joel Montesinos-Vazquez , Gabriel Núñez-Antonio

Continuation refers to the operation by which the cumulative distribution function of a discontinuous random vector is made continuous through multilinear interpolation. The copula that results from the application of this technique to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-07 Christian Genest , Johanna G. Nešlehová , Bruno Rémillard

This article proposes copula-based dependence quantification between multiple groups of random variables of possibly different sizes via the family of $Phi$-divergences. An axiomatic framework for this purpose is provided, after which we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-28 Steven De Keyser , Irène Gijbels

In this paper we propose a copula contagion mixture model for correlated default times. The model includes the well known factor, copula, and contagion models as its special cases. The key advantage of such a model is that we can study the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-10-21 Harry Zheng

We present a joint copula-based model for insurance claims and sizes. It uses bivariate copulae to accommodate for the dependence between these quantities. We derive the general distribution of the policy loss without the restrictive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-25 Nicole Kraemer , Eike C. Brechmann , Daniel Silvestrini , Claudia Czado

We introduce CopFITi, a copula model for probabilistic forecasting of irregular multivariate time series (IMTS). Our model combines the expressivity of normalizing flows for univariate marginals with the consistency and flexibility of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Christian Klötergens , Tom Hanika , Lars Schmidt-Thieme , Vijaya Krishna Yalavarthi

Copulas are mathematical objects that fully capture the dependence structure among random variables and hence, offer a great flexibility in building multivariate stochastic models. In statistics, a copula is used as a general way of…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-01 Abhik Ghosh , Aritra Chakravorty

Estimating copulas with discrete marginal distributions is challenging, especially in high dimensions, because computing the likelihood contribution of each observation requires evaluating $2^{J}$ terms, with $J$ the number of discrete…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-12 D. Gunawan , M. -N. Tran , K. Suzuki , J. Dick , R. Kohn

Using classical Taylor series techniques, we develop a unified approach to pricing and implied volatility for European-style options in a general local-stochastic volatility setting. Our price approximations require only a normal CDF and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-08-26 Matthew Lorig , Stefano Pagliarani , Andrea Pascucci

Copulas provide an attractive approach for constructing multivariate distributions with flexible marginal distributions and different forms of dependences. Of particular importance in many areas is the possibility of explicitly forecasting…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-22 Feng Li , Yanfei Kang

We study a new measure of codependency in the second moment of a continuous-time multivariate asset price process, which we name the realized copula of volatility. The statistic is based on local volatility estimates constructed from…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-22 Kim Christensen , Wenjing Liu , Zhi Liu , Yoann Potiron

Random coupled parabolic partial differential models are solved numerically using random cosine Fourier transform together with non Gaussian random numerical integration that capture the highly oscillatory behavior of the involved…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-28 M. -C. Casabán , R. Company , V. N. Egorova , L. Jódar

We present a class of flexible and tractable static factor models for the term structure of joint default probabilities, the factor copula models. These high-dimensional models remain parsimonious with pair-copula constructions, and nest…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-19 Damien Ackerer , Thibault Vatter