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We study mixed models with a single grouping factor, where inference about unknown parameters requires optimizing a marginal likelihood defined by an intractable integral. Low-dimensional numerical integration techniques are regularly used…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-22 Alex Stringer , Blair Bilodeau , Yanbo Tang

Starting from limited measurements of a turbulent flow, data assimilation (DA) attempts to estimate all the spatio-temporal scales of motion. Success is dependent on whether the system is observable from the measurements, or how much of the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-02-16 Andrew Cleary , Qi Wang , Tamer A. Zaki

This paper introduces a generalization of the empirical interpolation method (EIM) and the reduced basis method (RBM) in order to allow their combination with data mining and data assimilation. The purpose is to be able to derive sound…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-05-09 Y. Maday , O. Mula

Data assimilation (DA) aims at optimally merging observational data and model outputs to create a coherent statistical and dynamical picture of the system under investigation. Indeed, DA aims at minimizing the effect of observational and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-01-05 Yumeng Chen , Alberto Carrassi , Valerio Lucarini

There is a long history in machine learning of model ensembling, beginning with boosting and bagging and continuing to the present day. Much of this history has focused on combining models for classification and regression, but recently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Ira Globus-Harris , Varun Gupta , Michael Kearns , Aaron Roth

Constrained optimization in high-dimensional black-box settings is difficult due to expensive evaluations, the lack of gradient information, and complex feasibility regions. In this work, we propose a Bayesian optimization method that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-26 Raju Chowdhury , Tanmay Sen , Prajamitra Bhuyan , Biswabrata Pradhan

In this paper we propose an extension of the notion of deviation-based aggregation function tailored to aggregate multidimensional data. Our objective is both to improve the results obtained by other methods that try to select the best…

The contributions of this technical note are twofold. Firstly, we formulate an optimization problem to obtain a linear representation of a nonlinear vector field based on a system's trajectory. We also prove that its cost function is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-12 Karthik Shenoy , Arvind Ragghav , Vijaysekhar Chellaboina

Motivation: There is a growing need to integrate mechanistic models of biological processes with computational methods in healthcare in order to improve prediction. We apply data assimilation in the context of Type 2 diabetes to understand…

Data assimilation (DA) in the geophysical sciences remains the cornerstone of robust forecasts from numerical models. Indeed, DA plays a crucial role in the quality of numerical weather prediction, and is a crucial building block that has…

Data assimilation refers to the problem of finding trajectories of a prescribed dynamical model in such a way that the output of the model (usually some function of the model states) follows a given time series of observations. Typically…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-05-30 Jochen Bröcker , Ivan G. Szendro

Data assimilation plays a key role in large-scale atmospheric weather forecasting, where the state of the physical system is estimated from model outputs and observations, and is then used as initial condition to produce accurate future…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-13 Azam Moosavi , Ahmed Attia , Adrian Sandu

We introduce a score-filter-enhanced data assimilation framework designed to reduce predictive uncertainty in machine learning (ML) models for data-driven dynamical system forecasting. Machine learning serves as an efficient numerical model…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Jingqiao Tang , Ryan Bausback , Feng Bao , Guannan Zhang , Phuoc-Toan Huynh

A non-intrusive data assimilation methodology is developed to improve the statistical predictions of large-eddy simulations (LES). The ensemble-variational (EnVar) approach aims to minimize a cost function that is defined as the discrepancy…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-09-28 Vincent Mons , Yifan Du , Tamer A. Zaki

In federated learning (FL), a number of devices train their local models and upload the corresponding parameters or gradients to the base station (BS) to update the global model while protecting their data privacy. However, due to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-04 Zhigang Yan , Dong Li , Zhichao Zhang , Jiguang He

Several localized versions of the ensemble Kalman filter have been proposed. Although tests applying such schemes have proven them to be extremely promising, a full basic understanding of the rationale and limitations of localization is…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-30 Young-noh Yoon , Edward Ott , Istvan Szunyogh

Improved estimation of hydrometeorological states from down-sampled observations and background model forecasts in a noisy environment, has been a subject of growing research in the past decades. Here, we introduce a unified framework that…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-09-15 Ardeshir Mohammad Ebtehaj , Efi Foufoula-Georgiou

Empirical growth analysis has three major problems --- variable selection, parameter heterogeneity and cross-sectional dependence --- which are addressed independently from each other in most studies. The purpose of this study is to propose…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-03-20 Guohua Feng , Jiti Gao , Bin Peng

As time-series applications grow larger, there is increasing demand for symbolic representations that are compact, accurate, and scalable across many signals and computing resources. Current ABBA-based symbolic approximation methods produce…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Xinye Chen

Data assimilation schemes are confronted with the presence of model errors arising from the imperfect description of atmospheric dynamics. These errors are usually modeled on the basis of simple assumptions such as bias, white noise, first…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-13 A. Carrassi , S. Vannitsem , C. Nicolis