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This study evaluates the effectiveness of the two-for-one strategy in basketball by applying a causal inference framework to play-by-play data from the 2018-19 and 2021-22 National Basketball Association regular seasons. Incorporating…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-08 Prateek Sasan , Daryl Swartzentruber

We examine whether social data can be used to predict how members of Major League Baseball (MLB) and members of the National Basketball Association (NBA) transition between teams during their career. We find that incorporating social data…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-09-02 Emily J. Evans , Rebecca Jones , Joseph Leung , Benjamin Z. Webb

Recording of events in National Hockey League rinks is done through the Real Time Scoring System. This system records events such as hits, shots, faceoffs, etc., as part of the play-by-play files that are made publicly available. Several…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-03 Michael Schuckers , Brian Macdonald

Modern basketball is all about creating efficient shots, that is, shots with high payoff. This is not necessarily equivalent to creating looks with the highest probability of success. In particular, the two most efficient shots in the NBA -…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-28 Konstantinos Pelechrinis , Kirk Goldsberry

From sports to science, the recent availability of large-scale data has allowed to gain insights on the drivers of human innovation and success in a variety of domains. Here we quantify human performance in the popular game of chess by…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-07-19 Sandeep Chowdhary , Iacopo Iacopini , Federico Battiston

Batting average is one of the principle performance measures for an individual baseball player. It is natural to statistically model this as a binomial-variable proportion, with a given (observed) number of qualifying attempts (called…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-18 Lawrence D. Brown

Moves in chess games are usually analyzed on a case-by-case basis by professional players, but thanks to the availability of large game databases, we can envision another approach of the game. Here, we indeed adopt a very different point of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-05-01 Marc Barthelemy

Understanding user dynamics in online communities has become an active research topic and can provide valuable insights for human behavior analysis and community management. In this work, we investigate the "bandwagon fan" phenomenon, a…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-04-20 Yichen Wang , Jason Shuo Zhang , Xu Han , Qin Lv

The use of statistical modeling in baseball has received substantial attention recently in both the media and academic community. We focus on a relatively under-explored topic: the use of statistical models for the analysis of fielding…

Applications · Statistics 2009-08-14 Shane T. Jensen , Kenneth E. Shirley , Abraham J. Wyner

In this article, we study the dynamics of marking in football matches. To do this, we surveyed and analyzed a database containing the trajectories of players from both teams on the field of play during three professional games. We describe…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-11-09 A. Chacoma , M. N. Kuperman , O. V. Billoni

Individual sports competitions provide a natural setting for examining the relative importance of talent and luck/chance in achieving success. The belief that success is primarily due to individual abilities and hard work rather than…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-11-14 Chiara Zappalá , Alessio Emanuele Biondo , Alessandro Pluchino , Andrea Rapisarda

There have been more hitting streaks in Major League Baseball than we would expect. All batting lines of MLB hitters from 1957-2006 were randomly permuted 10,000 times and the number of hitting streaks of each length from 2 to 100 was…

Applications · Statistics 2009-08-10 Trent McCotter

A way of finding interesting or exceptional records from instant-stamped temporal data is to consider their "durability," or, intuitively speaking, how well they compare with other records that arrived earlier or later, and how long they…

Databases · Computer Science 2021-03-25 Junyang Gao , Stavros Sintos , Pankaj K. Agarwal , Jun Yang

Sports analytics -- broadly defined as the pursuit of improvement in athletic performance through the analysis of data -- has expanded its footprint both in the professional sports industry and in academia over the past 30 years. In this…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-11 Benjamin S. Baumer , Gregory J. Matthews , Quang Nguyen

Computer vision and video understanding have transformed sports analytics by enabling large-scale, automated analysis of game dynamics from broadcast footage. Despite significant advances in player and ball tracking, pose estimation, action…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Arnau Barrera Roy , Albert Clapés Sintes

How much is an on-ball screen worth? How much is a backdoor cut away from the ball worth? Basketball is one of a number of sports which, within the past decade, have seen an explosion in quantitative metrics and methods for evaluating…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-22 Anthony Sicilia , Konstantinos Pelechrinis , Kirk Goldsberry

The main objective of this paper is to investigate the extent to which the margin of victory can be predicted solely by the rankings of the opposing teams in NCAA Division I men's basketball games. Several past studies have modeled this…

Applications · Statistics 2018-03-14 David Beaudoin , Thierry Duchesne

We study adaptive learning in a typical p-player game. The payoffs of the games are randomly generated and then held fixed. The strategies of the players evolve through time as the players learn. The trajectories in the strategy space…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-09 James B. T. Sanders , J. Doyne Farmer , Tobias Galla

In this paper, we develop a group learning approach to analyze the underlying heterogeneity structure of shot selection among professional basketball players in the NBA. We propose a mixture of finite mixtures (MFM) model to capture the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-21 Guanyu Hu , Hou-Cheng Yang , Yishu Xue

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric matrix clustering approach to analyze the latent heterogeneity structure in the shot selection data collected from professional basketball players in the National Basketball Association (NBA). The…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-19 Fan Yin , Guanyu Hu , Weining Shen