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Motivated by Hubert's segmentation procedure we discuss the application of hidden Markov models (HMM) to the segmentation of hydrological and enviromental time series. We use a HMM algorithm which segments time series of several hundred…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2011-11-09 Ath. Kehagias

Neural network learning is usually time-consuming since backpropagation needs to compute full gradients and backpropagate them across multiple layers. Despite its success of existing works in accelerating propagation through sparseness, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-28 Zhiyuan Zhang , Pengcheng Yang , Xuancheng Ren , Qi Su , Xu Sun

This paper proposes a new estimation algorithm for the parameters of an HMM as to best account for the observed data. In this model, in addition to the observation sequence, we have \emph{partial} and \emph{noisy} access to the hidden state…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-22 Huseyin Ozkan , Arda Akman , Suleyman S. Kozat

Hidden Markov Processes (HMP) is one of the basic tools of the modern probabilistic modeling. The characterization of their entropy remains however an open problem. Here the entropy of HMP is calculated via the cycle expansion of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-11-13 Armen E. Allahverdyan

Predictability of behavior has emerged an an important characteristic in many fields including biology, medicine, and marketing. Behavior can be recorded as a sequence of actions performed by an individual over a given time period. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-13 Brian Vegetabile , Jenny Molet , Tallie Z. Baram , Hal Stern

This paper proposes a novel entropy encoding technique for lossless data compression. Representing a message string by its lexicographic index in the permutations of its symbols results in a compressed version matching Shannon entropy of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-03-24 Abu Bakar Siddique

Recently, template-based (TB) and template-free (TF) molecule graph learning methods have shown promising results to retrosynthesis. TB methods are more accurate using pre-encoded reaction templates, and TF methods are more scalable by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-17 Zhangyang Gao , Cheng Tan , Lirong Wu , Stan Z. Li

We explore a method of statistical estimation called Maximum Entropy on the Mean (MEM) which is based on an information-driven criterion that quantifies the compliance of a given point with a reference prior probability measure. At the core…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-20 Yakov Vaisbourd , Rustum Choksi , Ariel Goodwin , Tim Hoheisel , Carola-Bibiane Schönlieb

Hidden Markov Model (HMM) combined with Gaussian Process (GP) emission can be effectively used to estimate the hidden state with a sequence of complex input-output relational observations. Especially when the spectral mixture (SM) kernel is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-08 Yohan Jung , Jinkyoo Park

Online (also called "recursive" or "adaptive") estimation of fixed model parameters in hidden Markov models is a topic of much interest in times series modelling. In this work, we propose an online parameter estimation algorithm that…

Computation · Statistics 2011-02-16 Olivier Cappé

Factorial hidden Markov models (FHMMs) are powerful tools of modeling sequential data. Learning FHMMs yields a challenging simultaneous model selection issue, i.e., selecting the number of multiple Markov chains and the dimensionality of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-29 Shaohua Li , Ryohei Fujimaki , Chunyan Miao

Self-referential learning -- training a model on data it generated itself -- promises boundless scalability but chronically suffers from model collapse: language models degenerate into repetitive text, GANs drop modes, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Jingwei Chen

At the heart of time-series forecasting (TSF) lies a fundamental challenge: how can models efficiently and effectively capture long-range temporal dependencies across ever-growing sequences? While deep learning has brought notable progress,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Hongbo Liu , Jia Xu

A randomized algorithm for finding sparse cuts is given which is based on constructing a dual markov chain called multiscale rings process(MRP) and a new concept of entropy. It is shown how the time to absorption of the dual process…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-16 Farshad Noravesh

Deep learning is increasingly viewed as a dynamical process in parameter space, yet many existing theories still treat training as a closed optimization system. This view is limited for real-world AI, where models operate under uncertainty,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Kim Phuc Tran

Traditional Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling of hidden Markov models (HMMs) involves latent states underlying an imperfect observation process, and generates posterior samples for top-level parameters concurrently with nuisance…

Computation · Statistics 2016-01-13 Daniel Turek , Perry de Valpine , Christopher J. Paciorek

Decentralized partially observable Markov decision process (DEC-POMDP) models sequential decision making problems by a team of agents. Since the planning of DEC-POMDP can be interpreted as the maximum likelihood estimation for the latent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-07 Takehiro Tottori , Tetsuya J. Kobayashi

We present an eigenmode following method (EMF) that has been developed for the numerical scanning of the potential energy surface and the direct calculation of entropy and pre-exponential factors of Arrhenius-like transition rates in the…

Sequence model based NLP applications can be large. Yet, many applications that benefit from them run on small devices with very limited compute and storage capabilities, while still having run-time constraints. As a result, there is a need…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-10-08 Urmish Thakker , Jesse Beu , Dibakar Gope , Ganesh Dasika , Matthew Mattina

We propose a Restricted Boltzmann Machine (RBM) neural network using a quantum thermodynamics formalism and the maximization of entropy as the cost function for the optimization problem. We verify the possibility of using an entropy…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-03-18 Roshawn Terrell , Eleanor Watson , Timofey Golubev