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We develop a (nearly) unbiased particle filtering algorithm for a specific class of continuous-time state-space models, such that (a) the latent process $X_t$ is a linear Gaussian diffusion; and (b) the observations arise from a Poisson…

Computation · Statistics 2023-11-07 Ruiyang Jin , Sumeetpal S. Singh , Nicolas Chopin

This paper deals with the numerical approximation of semilinear parabolic stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) driven simultaneously by Gaussian noise and Poisson random measure, more realistic in modeling real world phenomena.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-11-19 Jean Daniel Mukam , Antoine Tambue

This paper addresses the issue of inversion in cases where (1) the observation system is modeled by a linear transformation and additive noise, (2) the problem is ill-posed and regularization is introduced in a Bayesian framework by an a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-12 Jean-François Giovannelli

We prove that the probability of crossing a large square in quenched Voronoi percolation converges to 1/2 at criticality, confirming a conjecture of Benjamini, Kalai and Schramm from 1999. The main new tools are a quenched version of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-19 Daniel Ahlberg , Simon Griffiths , Robert Morris , Vincent Tassion

Uncovering causal relationships is a fundamental problem across science and engineering. However, most existing causal discovery methods assume acyclicity and direct access to the system variables -- assumptions that fail to hold in many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Muralikrishnna G. Sethuraman , Faramarz Fekri

We study oriented percolation on random causal triangulations, those are random planar graphs obtained roughly speaking by adding horizontal connections between vertices of an infinite tree. When the underlying tree is a geometric…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-10 David Corlin Marchand

We study Voronoi percolation on a large class of $d$-dimensional Riemannian manifolds, which includes the hyperbolic spaces $\mathbb{H}^d$, $d\geq 2$. We prove that as the intensity $\lambda$ of the underlying Poisson point process tends to…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-07 Tillmann Bühler , Barbara Dembin , Ritvik Ramanan Radhakrishnan , Franco Severo

Efficient simulation of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDE) on general domains requires noise discretization. This paper employs piecewise linear interpolation of noise in a fully discrete finite element approximation of a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-10-22 Gabriel Lord , Andreas Petersson

For linear models with a diverging number of parameters, it has recently been shown that modified versions of Bayesian information criterion (BIC) can identify the true model consistently. However, in many cases there is little…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-26 Heng Lian

In many real-world dynamical systems, obtaining precise models of system uncertainty remains a challenge. It may be difficult to estimate noise distributions or robustness bounds, especially when the distributions/robustness bounds vary…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-05 Heling Zhang , Lillian J. Ratliff , Roy Dong

We consider the Bernoulli percolation model in a finite box and we introduce an automatic control of the percolation probability, which is a function of the percolation configuration. For a suitable choice of this automatic control, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-21 Raphaël Cerf , Nicolas Forien

Given a graph $G$, we consider a model for a random cover of $G$ by taking two parallel copies of $G$ and crossing every pair of parallel edges randomly with probability $q$ independently of each other. The resulting graph $G_q$, is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Paul Drouvillé

A maximum likelihood type estimation of the drift and volatility coefficient parameters in the CIR type model driven by $\alpha$-stable noises is studied when the dispersion parameter $\varepsilon\to0$ and the discrete observations…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-10 Xu Yang

We study the conductivity of a class of disordered continuum systems represented by the Swiss-cheese model, where the conducting medium is the space between randomly placed spherical holes, near the percolation threshold. This model can be…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Olaf Stenull , Hans-Karl Janssen

The empirical measure of an interacting particle system is a purely atomic random probability measure. In the limit as the number of particles grows to infinity, we show for McKean-Vlasov systems with common noise that this measure becomes…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-01 Robert Alexander Crowell

We investigate continuum percolation for Cox point processes, that is, Poisson point processes driven by random intensity measures. First, we derive sufficient conditions for the existence of non-trivial sub- and super-critical percolation…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-01 Christian Hirsch , Benedikt Jahnel , Elie Cali

We study central limit theorems for linear statistics in high-dimensional Bayesian linear regression with product priors. Unlike the existing literature where the focus is on posterior contraction, we work under a non-contracting regime…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-01 Seunghyun Lee , Nabarun Deb , Sumit Mukherjee

We consider the Poisson Boolean percolation model in $\mathbb{R}^2$, where the radii of each ball is independently chosen according to some probability measure with finite second moment. For this model, we show that the two thresholds, for…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-28 Daniel Ahlberg , Vincent Tassion , Augusto Teixeira

In this paper, we extend the jump-diffusion model proposed by Davis and Lleo to include jumps in asset prices as well as valuation factors. The criterion, following earlier work by Bielecki, Pliska, Nagai and others, is risk-sensitive…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-03-15 Mark Davis , Sebastien Lleo

We systematically study antithetic initial noise in diffusion models, discovering that pairing each noise sample with its negation consistently produces strong negative correlation. This universal phenomenon holds across datasets, model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Jing Jia , Sifan Liu , Bowen Song , Wei Yuan , Liyue Shen , Guanyang Wang
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