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In this paper, we present a method for constructing a (static) portfolio of co-maturing European options whose price sign is determined by the skewness level of the associated implied volatility. This property holds regardless of the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-18 Sergey Nadtochiy , Jan Obloj

Extracting the risk neutral density (RND) function from option prices is well defined in principle, but is very sensitive to errors in practice. For risk management, knowledge of the entire RND provides more information for Value-at-Risk…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-09-08 Jerome V. Healy , Maurice Dixon , Brian J. Read , Fang Fang Cai

In informationally efficient financial markets, option prices and this implied volatility should immediately be adjusted to new information that arrives along with a jump in underlying's return, whereas gradual changes in implied volatility…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-30 Juho Kanniainen , Martin Magris

Exponential L\'evy processes can be used to model the evolution of various financial variables such as FX rates, stock prices, etc. Considerable efforts have been devoted to pricing derivatives written on underliers governed by such…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-06-29 Leif Andersen , Alexander Lipton

Let $\rho$ be a general law--invariant convex risk measure, for instance the average value at risk, and let $X$ be a financial loss, that is, a real random variable. In practice, either the true distribution $\mu$ of $X$ is unknown, or the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-02 Daniel Bartl , Ludovic Tangpi

In this paper we study the short-time behavior of the at-the-money implied volatility for arithmetic Asian options with fixed strike price. The asset price is assumed to follow the Black-Scholes model with a general stochastic volatility…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-05 Elisa Alòs , Eulalia Nualart , Makar Pravosud

We revisit the ``Smile Dynamics'' problem, which consists in relating the implied leverage (i.e. the correlation of the at-the-money volatility with the returns of the underlying) and the skew of the option smile. The ratio between these…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-19 Vincent Vargas , Tung-Lam Dao , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

In this note, we develop stock option price approximations for a model which takes both the risk o default and the stochastic volatility into account. We also let the intensity of defaults be influenced by the volatility. We show that it…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-12-21 Erhan Bayraktar

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behaviors of implied volatility of an affine jump-diffusion model. Let log stock price under risk-neutral measure follow an affine jump-diffusion model, we show that an explicit form of moment…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-11 Nian Yao , Zhiqiu Li , Zhichao Ling , Junfeng Lin

We prove here a general closed-form expansion formula for forward-start options and the forward implied volatility smile in a large class of models, including the Heston stochastic volatility and time-changed exponential L\'evy models. This…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-05 Antoine Jacquier , Patrick Roome

The paper analyzes risk assessment for cash flows in continuous time using the notion of convex risk measures for processes. By combining a decomposition result for optional measures, and a dual representation of a convex risk measure for…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-18 Irina Penner , Anthony Reveillac

We investigate the asymptotic behaviour of the implied volatility in the Bachelier setting, extending the large-strike results established for the Black-Scholes framework. Exploiting the theory of regular variation, we derive explicit…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-24 Roberto Baviera , Michele Domenico Massaria

The aims of this study are twofold. First, we consider an optimal risk allocation problem with non-convex preferences. By establishing an infimal representation for distortion risk measures, we give some necessary and sufficient conditions…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Hirbod Assa

This study investigates the short-term asymptotic behavior of the implied volatility surface (IVS), with a particular focus on the at-the-money (ATM) skew and curvature, which are key determinants of the IVS shape and whose are widely…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-24 Liexin Cheng , Xue Cheng

We consider implied volatilities in asset pricing models, where the discounted underlying is a strict local martingale under the pricing measure. Our main result gives an asymptotic expansion of the right wing of the implied volatility…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-19 Antoine Jacquier , Martin Keller-Ressel

We study the shapes of the implied volatility when the underlying distribution has an atom at zero and analyse the impact of a mass at zero on at-the-money implied volatility and the overall level of the smile. We further show that the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-04 Stefano De Marco , Caroline Hillairet , Antoine Jacquier

We present an arbitrage free theoretical framework for modeling bid and ask prices of dividend paying securities in a discrete time setup using theory of dynamic acceptability indices. In the first part of the paper we develop the theory of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-31 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Igor Cialenco , Tao Chen

Empirical studies have emphasized that the equity implied volatility is characterized by a negative skew inversely proportional to the square root of the time-to-maturity. We examine the short-time-to-maturity behavior of the implied…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-10 Michele Azzone , Roberto Baviera

We propose a probabilistic framework for pricing derivatives, which acknowledges that information and beliefs are subjective. Market prices can be translated into implied probabilities. In particular, futures imply returns for these implied…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-01-12 Ulrich Kirchner

The main purpose of this work is to examine the behavior of the implied volatility smiles around jumps, contributing to the literature with a high-frequency analysis of the smile dynamics based on intra-day option data. From our…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-14 Martin Magris , Perttu Barholm , Juho Kanniainen