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We propose an efficient method to estimate the accuracy of classifiers using only unlabeled data. We consider a setting with multiple classification problems where the target classes may be tied together through logical constraints. For…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-22 Emmanouil A. Platanios , Hoifung Poon , Tom M. Mitchell , Eric Horvitz

Data classification, the process of analyzing data and organizing it into categories, is a fundamental computing problem of natural and artificial information processing systems. Ideally, the performance of classifier models would be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Claus Metzner , Achim Schilling , Maximilian Traxdorf , Konstantin Tziridis , Holger Schulze , Patrick Krauss

Random samples are lossy summaries which allow queries posed over the data to be approximated by applying an appropriate estimator to the sample. The effectiveness of sampling, however, hinges on estimator selection. The choice of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-10 Edith Cohen

The problem of reducing the bias of maximum likelihood estimator in a general multivariate elliptical regression model is considered. The model is very flexible and allows the mean vector and the dispersion matrix to have parameters in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-01 Tatiane F. N. Melo , Silvia L. P. Ferrari , Alexandre G. Patriota

Random sampling is an essential tool in the processing and transmission of data. It is used to summarize data too large to store or manipulate and meet resource constraints on bandwidth or battery power. Estimators that are applied to the…

Databases · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Edith Cohen , Haim Kaplan

Evaluating predictive models is a crucial task in predictive analytics. This process is especially challenging with time series data where the observations show temporal dependencies. Several studies have analysed how different performance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-14 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Torgo , Carlos Soares

Misclassification of binary responses, if ignored, may severely bias the maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) of regression parameters. For such data, a binary regression model incorporating misclassification probabilities is extensively…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-28 Arindam Chatterjee , Tathagata Bandyopadhyay , Sumanta Adhya

Estimating the unknown number of classes in a population has numerous important applications. In a Poisson mixture model, the problem is reduced to estimating the odds that a class is undetected in a sample. The discontinuity of the odds…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Chang Xuan Mao , Bruce G. Lindsay

In this paper we present a heuristic method to provide individual explanations for those elements in a dataset (data points) which are wrongly predicted by a given classifier. Since the general case is too difficult, in the present work we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-21 Sheng Zhou , Pierre Blanchart , Michel Crucianu , Marin Ferecatu

In this report, we explore the data selection leading to a family of estimators maximizing a centrality. The family allows a nice properties leading to accurate and robust probability density function fitting according to some criteria we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-10 Djemel Ziou

Suppose that the normal model is used for data $Y_1,\ldots,Y_n$, but that the true distribution is a t-distribution with location and scale parameters $\xi$ and $\sigma$ and $m$ degrees of freedom. The normal model corresponds to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Nils Lid Hjort

In most classification tasks there are observations that are ambiguous and therefore difficult to correctly label. Set-valued classifiers output sets of plausible labels rather than a single label, thereby giving a more appropriate and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-27 Mauricio Sadinle , Jing Lei , Larry Wasserman

In the context of a species sampling problem we discuss a non-parametric maximum likelihood estimator for the underlying probability mass function. The estimator is known in the computer science literature as the high profile estimator. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-12 Dragi Anevski , Richard D. Gill , Stefan Zohren

Prediction, where observed data is used to quantify uncertainty about a future observation, is a fundamental problem in statistics. Prediction sets with coverage probability guarantees are a common solution, but these do not provide…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-22 Leonardo Cella , Ryan Martin

With model trustworthiness being crucial for sensitive real-world applications, practitioners are putting more and more focus on improving the uncertainty calibration of deep neural networks. Calibration errors are designed to quantify the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Sebastian G. Gruber , Florian Buettner

Under the Neyman causal model, it is well-known that OLS with treatment-by-covariate interactions cannot harm asymptotic precision of estimated treatment effects in completely randomized experiments. But do such guarantees extend to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-19 Joel A. Middleton

Advanced classification algorithms are being increasingly used in safety-critical applications like health-care, engineering, etc. In such applications, miss-classifications made by ML algorithms can result in substantial financial or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-06 Disha Ghandwani , Neeraj Sarna , Yuanyuan Li , Yang Lin

If part of a population is hidden but two or more sources are available that each cover parts of this population, dual- or multiple-system(s) estimation can be applied to estimate this population. For this it is common to use the log-linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-06 Daan B. Zult , Peter G. M. van der Heijden , Bart F. M. Bakker

The ability to ensure that a classifier gives reliable confidence scores is essential to ensure informed decision-making. To this end, recent work has focused on miscalibration, i.e., the over or under confidence of model scores. Yet…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-28 Alexandre Perez-Lebel , Marine Le Morvan , Gaël Varoquaux

The fundamental theorem of statistical learning states that for binary classification problems, any Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) learning rule has close to optimal sample complexity. In this paper we seek for a generic optimal learner…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-05-13 Amit Daniely , Shai Shalev-Shwartz