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A large variety of complex systems in ecology, climate science, biomedicine and engineering have been observed to exhibit tipping points, where the internal dynamical state of the system abruptly changes. For example, such critical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-06 Christian Kuehn , Erik A. Martens , Daniel Romero

Maintaining stability in feedback systems, from aircraft and autonomous robots to biological and physiological systems, relies on monitoring their behavior and continuously adjusting their inputs. Incremental damage can make such control…

The early prediction of tipping points, distinguished by sudden and catastrophic shifts from stable states, poses a challenging task that would enable us to assess the impending threat across natural and engineered systems. This threat…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-02 Tapas Bar , Anurag Banerjee , Blai Casals , Gustau Catalan , Javier Rodríguez-Viejo

We reinvestigate the behavior of the conductivity of several disordered quantum lattice models at infinite temperature using exact diagonalization. Contrary to the conclusion drawn in a recent investigation of similar quantities in…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2013-05-29 Timothy C. Berkelbach , David R. Reichman

Critical transitions are the abrupt shifts between qualitatively different states of a system, and they are crucial to understanding tipping points in complex dynamical systems across ecology, climate science, and biology. Detecting these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Swadesh Pal , Roderick Melnik

We study the transitions between ergodic and many-body localized phases in spin systems, subject to quenched disorder, including the Heisenberg chain and the central spin model. In both cases systems with common spin lengths $1/2$ and $1$…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-05-19 John Schliemann , Joao Vitor I. Costa , Paul Wenk , J. Carlos Egues

The information theoretic observables entropy (a measure of disorder), excess entropy (a measure of complexity) and multi information are used to analyze ground-state spin configurations for disordered and frustrated model systems in 2D and…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2013-05-30 O. Melchert , A. K. Hartmann

Current early warning signs for tipping points often fail to distinguish between catastrophic shifts and less dramatic state changes, such as spatial pattern formation. This paper introduces a novel method that addresses this limitation by…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-10-03 Paul A. Sanders , Robbin Bastiaansen

The development of robust Early Warning Signals (EWS) is necessary to quantify the risk of crossing tipping points in the present-day climate change. Classically, EWS are statistical measures based on time series of climate state variables,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-03-25 Laure Moinat , Jérôme Kasparian , Maura Brunetti

The detection of phase transitions is a fundamental challenge in condensed matter physics, traditionally addressed through analytical methods and direct numerical simulations. In recent years, machine learning techniques have emerged as…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-01-14 Djenabou Bayo , Burak Çivitcioğlu , Joseph J Webb , Andreas Honecker , Rudolf A. Römer

Key components of the Earth system can undergo abrupt and potentially irreversible transitions when the magnitude or rate of external forcing exceeds critical thresholds. In this study, we use the example of the Atlantic Meridional…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Wenjie Zhang , Yu Huang , Sebastian Bathiany , Yechul Shin , Maya Ben-Yami , Suiping Zhou , Niklas Boers

Many-body localization (MBL) transition emerges at strong disorder in interacting systems, separating chaotic and reversible dynamics. Although the existence of MBL transition within the macroscopic limit in spin chains with a short-range…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2026-02-06 Illia Lukin , Andrii Sotnikov , Alexander L. Burin

The Ginzburg-Landau model below its critical temperature in a temporally oscillating external field is studied both theoretically and numerically. As the frequency or the amplitude of the external force is changed, a nonequilibrium phase…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 H. Fujisaka , H. Tutu , P. A. Rikvold

The Anderson transitions in a random magnetic field in three dimensions are investigated numerically. The critical behavior near the transition point is analyzed in detail by means of the transfer matrix method with high accuracy for…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2017-09-27 T. Kawarabayashi , B. Kramer , T. Ohtsuki

The properties of the pure-site clusters of spin models, i.e. the clusters which are obtained by joining nearest-neighbour spins of the same sign, are here investigated. In the Ising model in two dimensions it is known that such clusters…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Santo Fortunato

We analyze in detail, beyond the usual scaling hypothesis, the finite-size convergence of static quantities toward the thermodynamic limit. In this way we are able to obtain sequences of pseudo-critical points which display a faster…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-04-10 M. Roncaglia , L. Campos Venuti , C. Degli Esposti Boschi

Talk given at Symposium in Honor of Julius Wess on the Occasion of his 70th Birthday, 10-11 January 2005 at Max Planck Institute for Physics (Werner Heisenberg Institut) Fohringer Ring 6 - D-80805 MUENCHEN

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-11 Raymond Stora

The use of critical slowing down as an early warning indicator for regime switching in observations from stochastic environments and noisy dynamical models has been widely studied and implemented in recent years. Some systems, however, have…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-01-25 Mathew Titus , Zach Gelbaum , James Watson

We develop methodology and theory for the detection of a phase transition in a time-series of high-dimensional random matrices. In the model we study, at each time point \( t = 1,2,\ldots \), we observe a deformed Wigner matrix \(…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Nina Dörnemann , Piotr Kokoszka , Tim Kutta , Sunmin Lee

Determining critical points of phase transitions from partial data is essential to avoid abrupt system collapses and reducing experimental or computational costs. However, the complex physical systems and phase transition phenomena have…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-10-24 Tianyi Zhang , Caihua Wan , Xiufeng Han