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We consider an additive functional driven by a time-inhomogeneous Markov chain with a finite state space. Our study focuses on the joint distribution of the two-sided exit time and the state of the driving Markov chain at the time of exit,…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-06 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Ziteng Cheng , Ruoting Gong

We use coupling to study the time taken until the distribution of a statistic on a Markov chain is close to its stationary distribution. Coupling is a common technique used to obtain upper bounds on mixing times of Markov chains, and we…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-09 Graham White

We present a method to overapproximate forward stochastic reach sets of discrete-time, stochastic nonlinear systems with interval geometry. This is made possible by extending the theory of mixed-monotone systems to incorporate stochastic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-05 Vignesh Sivaramakrishnan , Rosalyn A. Devonport , Murat Arcak , Meeko M. K. Oishi

We develop some sufficient conditions for the stochastic ordering between hitting times, in a fixed state, for two Markov chains. In particular, we focus attention on the so called \emph{skip-free} case. In the analysis of such a case, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-25 Emilio De Santis , Fabio Spizzichino

We propose a stochastic approximation method for approximating the efficient frontier of chance-constrained nonlinear programs. Our approach is based on a bi-objective viewpoint of chance-constrained programs that seeks solutions on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-29 Rohit Kannan , James Luedtke

The first hitting times of a stochastic process, i.e., the first time a process reaches a particular level, are of significant interest across various scientific disciplines, including biology, chemistry, and economics. We modify the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-24 Bartosz Zbik , Bartłomiej Dybiec , Karol Capała , Zbigniew Palmowski , Igor M. Sokolov

In this article, we consider Poisson and Poisson convoluted geometric approximation to the sums of $n$ independent random variables under moment conditions. We use Stein's method to derive the approximation results in total variation…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-07 Pratima Eknath Kadu

We revisit the source coding problem for a Markov chain under the assumption that the transmission times and how fast the Markov chain transitions its state happen at the same time-scale. Specifically, we assume that the transmission of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Ismail Cosandal , Sennur Ulukus

In this paper, we consider the N-urn Ehrenfest model. By utilizing an auxiliary continuous-time Markov chain, we obtain the explicit formula for the Laplace transform of the hitting time from a single state to a set A of states where A…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Cheng Xin , Minzhi Zhao , Qiang Yao , Erjia Cui

Detecting and resolving violations of temporal constraints in real-time systems is both, time-consuming and resource-intensive, particularly in complex software environments. Measurement-based approaches are widely used during development,…

Operating Systems · Computer Science 2025-07-31 Benno Bielmeier , Ralf Ramsauer , Takahiro Yoshida , Wolfgang Mauerer

We consider a stochastic fluid queue served by a constant rate server and driven by a process which is the local time of a certain Markov process. Such a stochastic system can be used as a model in a priority service system, especially when…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-09-11 Takis Konstantopoulos , Andreas Kyprianou , Marina Sirvio , Paavo Salminen

To approximate the trajectories of a stochastic process by the solution of some differential equation is widely used in the fields of probability, computer science and combinatorics. In this paper, the convergence of coupon collecting…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-06 Anshui Li , Yong Chen

Inspired by a duration-dependent life insurance model, we consider continuous-time semi-Markov jump processes, initially assumed to have a finite state-space. We develop approximations using jump processes that are time-homogeneous Markov,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-11 Martin Bladt , Andreea Minca , Oscar Peralta

Many complex systems can be described by population models, in which a pool of agents interacts and produces complex collective behaviours. We consider the problem of verifying formal properties of the underlying mathematical representation…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-11-13 Luca Bortolussi , Roberta Lanciani , Laura Nenzi

Under very general conditions the hitting time of a set by a stochastic process is a stopping time. We give a new simple proof of this fact. The section theorems for optional and predictable sets are easy corollaries of the proof.

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-28 Richard F. Bass

In this work, we perform safety analysis of linear dynamical systems with uncertainties. Instead of computing a conservative overapproximation of the reachable set, our approach involves computing a statistical approximate reachable set. As…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-17 Bineet Ghosh , Parasara Sridhar Duggirala

We study causal optimal transport in continuous time, with Markovian cost, between a finite-state Markov source and a diffusion target. By replacing the source with its conditional law given the observation of the target, we characterize…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Julio Backhoff , Erhan Bayraktar , Ibrahim Ekren , Antonios Zitridis

We investigate the approximation for computing the sum $a_1+...+a_n$ with an input of a list of nonnegative elements $a_1,..., a_n$. If all elements are in the range $[0,1]$, there is a randomized algorithm that can compute an…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2012-03-01 Bin Fu , Wenfeng Li , Zhiyong Peng

A classical problem for Markov chains is determining their stationary (or steady-state) distribution. This problem has an equally classical solution based on eigenvectors and linear equation systems. However, this approach does not scale to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-20 Tobias Meggendorfer

This paper deals with the optimal stopping problem under partial observation for piecewise-deterministic Markov processes. We first obtain a recursive formulation of the optimal filter process and derive the dynamic programming equation of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-28 Adrien Brandejsky , Benoîte de Saporta , François Dufour