English
Related papers

Related papers: Large deviations for truncated heavy-tailed random…

200 papers

A scan statistic is examined for the purpose of testing the existence of a global peak in a random process with dependent variables of any distribution. The scan statistic tail probability is obtained based on the covariance of the moving…

Computation · Statistics 2013-09-24 Anat Reiner-Benaim

We consider the problem of finding the optimal upper bound for the tail probability of a sum of $k$ nonnegative, independent and identically distributed random variables with given mean $x$. For $k=1$ the answer is given by Markov's…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-12 Tomasz Łuczak , Katarzyna Mieczkowska , Matas Šileikis

Exponential tail bounds for sums play an important role in statistics, but the example of the $t$-statistic shows that the exponential tail decay may be lost when population parameters need to be estimated from the data. However, it turns…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-22 Guenther Walther

We consider removing lower order statistics from the classical Hill estimator in extreme value statistics, and compensating for it by rescaling the remaining terms. Trajectories of these trimmed statistics as a function of the extent of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-30 Martin Bladt , Hansjoerg Albrecher , Jan Beirlant

This paper deals with the extreme value analysis for the triangular arrays, which appear when some parameters of the mixture model vary as the number of observations grow. When the mixing parameter is small, it is natural to associate one…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-17 Vladimir Panov , Ekaterina Morozova

We study a tight Bennett-type concentration inequality for sums of heterogeneous and independent variables, defined as a one-dimensional minimization. We show that this refinement, which outperforms the standard known bounds, remains…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-23 Quentin Jacquet , Riadh Zorgati

We introduce a new class of heavy-tailed distributions for which any weighted average of independent and identically distributed random variables is larger than one such random variable in (usual) stochastic order. We show that many…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-18 Yuyu Chen , Seva Shneer

Let p_n denote the persistence probability that the first n iterated partial sums of integrable, zero-mean, i.i.d. random variables X_k, are negative. We show that p_n is bounded above up to universal constant by the square root of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-01 Amir Dembo , Fuchang Gao

We provide an efficient algorithm to generate random samples from the bounded kth order statistic in a sample of independent, but not necessarily identically distributed, random variables. The bounds can be upper or lower bounds and need…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-13 Tyler Morrison , Sean Pinkney

For a fixed positive integer $\;k,\;$ limit laws of linearly normalized $\;k$-th upper order statistics are well known. In this article, a comprehensive study of tail behaviours of limit laws of normalized $k$-th upper order statistics…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-11 Sreenivasan Ravi , Mandagere Chandrashekhar Manohar

Let S_k be the k-th partial sum of Banach space valued independent identically distributed random variables. In this paper, we compare the tail distribution of ||S_k|| with that of ||S_j||, and deduce some tail distribution maximal…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2008-02-03 Stephen J. Montgomery-Smith

We study the $k$-largest eigenvalues of heavy-tailed sample covariance matrices of the form $\bX\bX^\T$ in an asymptotic framework, where the dimension of the data and the sample size tend to infinity. To this end, we assume that the rows…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-13 Richard A. Davis , Oliver Pfaffel

In this paper, we compute multivariate tail risk probabilities where the marginal risks are heavy-tailed and the dependence structure is a Gaussian copula. The marginal heavy-tailed risks are modeled using regular variation which leads to a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-12 Bikramjit Das , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann

We study the one-dimensional branching random walk in the case when the step size distribution has a stretched exponential tail, and, in particular, no finite exponential moments. The tail of the step size $X$ decays as $\mathbb{P}[X \geq…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-12 Piotr Dyszewski , Nina Gantert , Thomas Höfelsauer

This paper explores the joint behaviour of the summands of a random walk when their mean value goes to infinity as its length increases. It is proved that all the summands must share the same value, which extends previous results in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-30 Michel Broniatowski , Zhansheng Cao

Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) is a widely used risk metric in applications such as finance. We derive concentration bounds for CVaR estimates, considering separately the cases of light-tailed and heavy-tailed distributions. In the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-27 Prashanth L. A. , Krishna Jagannathan , Ravi Kumar Kolla

In astronomical observations, the estimation of distances from parallaxes is a challenging task due to the inherent measurement errors and the non-linear relationship between the parallax and the distance. This study leverages ideas from…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-05 Soham Ghosh , Uttaran Chatterjee , Jyotishka Datta

The extremal tail probabilities of moving sums in a marked Poisson random field is examined here. These sums are computed by adding up the weighted occurrences of events lying within a scanning set of fixed shape and size. Change of measure…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Hock Peng Chan

We consider different problems within the general theme of long-range percolation on oriented graphs. Our aim is to settle the so-called truncation question, described as follows. We are given probabilities that certain long-range oriented…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-22 Aernout C. D. van Enter , Bernardo N. B. de Lima , Daniel Valesin

Big data can easily be contaminated by outliers or contain variables with heavy-tailed distributions, which makes many conventional methods inadequate. To address this challenge, we propose the adaptive Huber regression for robust…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-11 Qiang Sun , Wenxin Zhou , Jianqing Fan