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This paper studies the effect of truncation on the large deviations behavior of the partial sum of a triangular array coming from a truncated power law model. Each row of the triangular array consists of i.i.d. random vectors, whose…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-14 Arijit Chakrabarty

The probability that the sum of independent, centered, identically distributed, heavy-tailed random variables achieves a very large value is asymptotically equal to the probability that there exists a single summand equalling that value. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-15 Quirin Vogel

In this paper, we study the fluctuations of sums of random variables with distribution defined as a mixture of light-tail and truncated heavy-tail distributions. We focus on the case when both the mixing coefficient and the truncation level…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-31 Vladimir Panov

A perturbative approach is used to derive approximations of arbitrary order to estimate high percentiles of sums of positive independent random variables that exhibit heavy tails. Closed-form expressions for the successive approximations…

Applications · Statistics 2015-03-20 Lorenzo Hernández , Jorge Tejero , Alberto Suárez , Santiago Carrillo-Menéndez

We consider the probability that a weighted sum of $n$ i.i.d. random variables $X_j$, $j = 1, . . ., n$, with stretched exponential tails is larger than its expectation and determine the rate of its decay, under suitable conditions on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-30 Nina Gantert , Kavita Ramanan , Franz Rembart

We address the important question of the extent to which random variables and vectors with truncated power tails retain the characteristic features of random variables and vectors with power tails. We define two truncation regimes, soft…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-20 Arijit Chakrabarty , Gennady Samorodnitsky

We establish sharp large deviation asymptotics for the maximum order statistic of independent and identically distributed heavy-tailed random variables, valid for all Borel subsets of the right tail. This result yields exact decay rates for…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-09 José M. Zapata

We obtain decay rates of probabilities of tails of polynomials in several independent random variables with heavy tails and derive stable limit theorems for nonconventional sums of such polynomials

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-26 Yuri Kifer , S. R. S. Varadhan

This article deals with the hypothesis test for the extremely heavy-tailed distributions with infinite mean or variance by using a truncated sample mean. We obtain three necessary and sufficient conditions under which the asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Tang Fuquan , Han Dong

We obtain concentration and large deviation for the sums of independent and identically distributed random variables with heavy-tailed distributions. Our concentration results are concerned with random variables whose distributions satisfy…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-27 Milad Bakhshizadeh , Arian Maleki , Victor H. de la Pena

We obtain explicit bounds on the truncation error of the cumulant series of a bounded complex function of a random vector with independent components. The bounds are based on multidimensional differences. This extends the theory of the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-08-29 Mikhail Isaev

This article proposes a new method of truncated estimation to estimate the tail index $\alpha$ of the extremely heavy-tailed distribution with infinite mean or variance. We not only present two truncated estimators $\hat{\alpha}$ and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-13 F. Q. Tang , D. Han

In this paper the question of the extent to which truncated heavy tailed random vectors, taking values in a Banach space, retain the characteristic features of heavy tailed random vectors, is answered from the point of view of the central…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-14 Arijit Chakrabarty

We study the large deviation probabilities of infinite weighted sums of independent random variables that have stretched exponential tails. This generalizes Kiesel and Stadtm\"uller (2000), who study the same objects under the assumption of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Frank Aurzada

We study large deviation probabilities for a sum of dependent random variables from a heavy-tailed factor model, assuming that the components are regularly varying. We identify conditions where both the factor and the idiosyncratic terms…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-05 Boualem Djehiche , Jens Svensson

We investigate a way of comparing and classifying tails of random variables. Our approach extends the notion of classical indices, such as exponential and moment indices, which are widely used measuring heaviness of tail functions. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-07 Jaakko Lehtomaa

We establish the large deviation probabilities for the height of random recursive trees, revealing polynomial upper-tail decay and stretched-exponential lower-tail decay. Remarkably, the lower tail features an atypical prefactor that grows…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-23 Xinxin Chen , Heng Ma

Consider the upper tail probability that the homomorphism count of a fixed graph $H$ within a large sparse random graph $G_n$ exceeds its expected value by a fixed factor $1+\delta$. Going beyond the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi model, we establish…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-01 Sohom Bhattacharya , Amir Dembo

Existing theory for multivariate extreme values focuses upon characterizations of the distributional tails when all components of a random vector, standardized to identical margins, grow at the same rate. In this paper, we consider the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-20 J. L. Wadsworth , J. A. Tawn

The main purpose of this paper is to obtain strong laws of large numbers for arrays or weighted sums of random variables under a scenario of dependence. Namely, for triangular arrays $\{X_{n,k}, \, 1 \leqslant k \leqslant n, \, n \geqslant…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-03 João Lita da Silva
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