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Sequential and quantum Monte Carlo methods, as well as genetic type search algorithms can be interpreted as a mean field and interacting particle approximations of Feynman-Kac models in distribution spaces. The performance of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-03 François Giraud , Pierre Del Moral

This article is concerned with the fluctuations and the concentration properties of a general class of discrete generation and mean field particle interpretations of nonlinear measure valued processes. We combine an original stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-09 Pierre Del Moral , Emmanuel Rio

We present a new class of interacting Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms for solving numerically discrete-time measure-valued equations. The associated stochastic processes belong to the class of self-interacting Markov chains. In contrast…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-30 Pierre Del Moral , Arnaud Doucet

Interacting particle methods are increasingly used to sample from complex and high-dimensional distributions. These stochastic particle integration techniques can be interpreted as an universal acceptance-rejection sequential particle…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-10-30 P. Del Moral , G. W. Peters , Ch. Vergé

This article analyses a new class of advanced particle Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms recently introduced by Andrieu, Doucet, and Holenstein (2010). We present a natural interpretation of these methods in terms of well known…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-28 P. Del Moral , R. Kohn , F. Patras

In this paper an original interacting particle system approach is developed for studying Markov chains in rare event regimes. The proposed particle system is theoretically studied through a genealogical tree interpretation of Feynman--Kac…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Pierre Del Moral , Josselin Garnier

This paper shows how one can use Sequential Monte Carlo methods to perform what is typically done using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. This leads to a general class of principled integration and genetic type optimization methods based on…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Pierre Del Moral , Arnaud Doucet

In this article we consider Bayesian parameter inference associated to partially-observed stochastic processes that start from a set B0 and are stopped or killed at the first hitting time of a known set A. Such processes occur naturally…

Computation · Statistics 2012-01-19 Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas

State-space models can be used to incorporate subject knowledge on the underlying dynamics of a time series by the introduction of a latent Markov state-process. A user can specify the dynamics of this process together with how the state…

Computation · Statistics 2017-09-14 Paul Fearnhead , Hans Künsch

State-space models are commonly used to describe different forms of ecological data. We consider the case of count data with observation errors. For such data the system process is typically multi-dimensional consisting of coupled Markov…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-15 Axel Finke , Ruth King , Alexandros Beskos , Petros Dellaportas

The convergence of U-statistics has been intensively studied for estimators based on families of i.i.d. random variables and variants of them. In most cases, the independence assumption is crucial [Lee90, de99]. When dealing with…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-02-02 P. Del Moral , F. Patras , S. Rubenthaler

We study weighted particle systems in which new generations are resampled from current particles with probabilities proportional to their weights. This covers a broad class of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, widely-used in applied…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-20 Jere Koskela , Paul A. Jenkins , Adam M. Johansen , Dario Spano

The concepts of probability, statistics and stochastic theory are being successfully used in structural engineering. Markov Chain modelling is a simple stochastic process model that has found its application in both describing stochastic…

Applications · Statistics 2007-08-14 K. Balaji Rao

We study approximations of evolving probability measures by an interacting particle system. The particle system dynamics is a combination of independent Markov chain moves and importance sampling/resampling steps. Under global regularity…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-12 Andreas Eberle , Carlo Marinelli

We design a particle interpretation of Feynman-Kac measures on path spaces based on a backward Markovian representation combined with a traditional mean field particle interpretation of the flow of their final time marginals. In contrast to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-19 Pierre Del Moral , Arnaud Doucet , Sumeetpal S. Singh

These notes provide a review of basic stochastic population models including branching processes and models of population genetics. Measure-valued population models including superprocesses and Fleming-Viot processes are also introduced…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-11 Donald A. Dawson

These lecture notes give an introduction to the theory of interacting particle systems. The main subjects are the construction using generators and graphical representations, the mean field limit, stochastic order, duality, and the relation…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-10 Jan M. Swart

This paper presents a comprehensive review of stochastic processes, with a particular focus on Markov chains and jump processes. The main results related to queuing systems are analyzed. Additionally, conditions that ensure the stability,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-30 Carlos E. Martínez-Rodríguez

Bayesian inference methods are applied within a Bayesian hierarchical modelling framework to the problems of joint state and parameter estimation, and of state forecasting. We explore and demonstrate the ideas in the context of a simple…

Applications · Statistics 2012-11-09 John Parslow , Noel Cressie , Edward P. Campbell , Emlyn Jones , Lawrence Murray

In the following article we develop a particle filter for approximating Feynman-Kac models with indicator potentials. Examples of such models include approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) posteriors associated with hidden Markov models…

Computation · Statistics 2013-04-02 Ajay Jasra , Anthony Lee , Christopher Yau , Xiaole Zhang
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