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The last decade has seen an explosion in data sources available for the monitoring and prediction of environmental phenomena. While several inferential methods have been developed that make predictions on the underlying process by combining…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-06 Eun-Hye Yoo , Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Michael G. Chipeta

In this paper we present a model independent analysis method following Bayesian statistics to analyse data from a generic counting experiment and apply it to the search for neutrinos from point sources. We discuss a test statistic defined…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2015-06-12 D. Bose , L. Brayeur , M. Casier , K. D. de Vries , G. Golup , N. van Eijndhoven

The two-phase sampling design is a cost-efficient way of collecting expensive covariate information on a judiciously selected subsample. It is natural to apply such a strategy for collecting genetic data in a subsample enriched for exposure…

Applications · Statistics 2013-05-27 Jaeil Ahn , Bhramar Mukherjee , Stephen B. Gruber , Malay Ghosh

The process of dynamic state estimation (filtering) based on point process observations is in general intractable. Numerical sampling techniques are often practically useful, but lead to limited conceptual insight about optimal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-08-04 Yuval Harel , Ron Meir , Manfred Opper

Causal discovery is crucial for understanding complex systems and informing decisions. While observational data can uncover causal relationships under certain assumptions, it often falls short, making active interventions necessary. Current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Yuxuan Wang , Mingzhou Liu , Xinwei Sun , Wei Wang , Yizhou Wang

The efficiency of an experimental design is ultimately measured in terms of time and resources needed for the experiment. Optimal sequential (multi-stage) design is studied in the situation where each stage involves a fixed cost. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-08 Juha Karvanen

Materials design can be cast as an optimization problem with the goal of achieving desired properties, by varying material composition, microstructure morphology, and processing conditions. Existence of both qualitative and quantitative…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-07-08 Akshay Iyer , Yichi Zhang , Aditya Prasad , Siyu Tao , Yixing Wang , Linda Schadler , L Catherine Brinson , Wei Chen

We consider the problem of distributed estimation under the Bayesian criterion and explore the design of optimal quantizers in such a system. We show that, for a conditionally unbiased and efficient estimator at the fusion center and when…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-22 Aditya Vempaty , Hao He , Biao Chen , Pramod K. Varshney

We study the sensitivity of infinite-dimensional Bayesian linear inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) with respect to modeling uncertainties. In particular, we consider derivative-based sensitivity analysis of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-17 Abhijit Chowdhary , Shanyin Tong , Georg Stadler , Alen Alexanderian

An energy efficient use of large scale sensor networks necessitates activating a subset of possible sensors for estimation at a fusion center. The problem is inherently combinatorial; to this end, a set of iterative, randomized algorithms…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-09-13 Arpan Chattopadhyay , Urbashi Mitra

Understanding how stochastic gene expression is regulated in biological systems using snapshots of single-cell transcripts requires state-of-the-art methods of computational analysis and statistical inference. A Bayesian approach to…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-10 Yen Ting Lin , Nicolas E. Buchler

Calibration is nowadays one of the most important processes involved in the extraction of valuable data from measurements. The current availability of an optimum data cube measured from a heterogeneous set of instruments and surveys relies…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2012-08-13 Maria Jose Marquez

The experimental design problem concerns the selection of k points from a potentially large design pool of p-dimensional vectors, so as to maximize the statistical efficiency regressed on the selected k design points. Statistical efficiency…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-15 Zeyuan Allen-Zhu , Yuanzhi Li , Aarti Singh , Yining Wang

Bayesian methods have been very successful in quantifying uncertainty in physics-based problems in parameter estimation and prediction. In these cases, physical measurements y are modeled as the best fit of a physics-based model…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-02-06 Dave Higdon , Jordan D. McDonnell , Nicolas Schunck , Jason Sarich , Stefan M. Wild

Bayesian graphical models are powerful tools to infer complex relationships in high dimension, yet are often fraught with computational and statistical challenges. If exploited in a principled way, the increasing information collected…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-15 Xiaoyue Xi , Hélène Ruffieux

Neighborhood selection is a widely used method used for estimating the support set of sparse precision matrices, which helps determine the conditional dependence structure in undirected graphical models. However, reporting only point…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-29 Yiling Huang , Snigdha Panigrahi , Walter Dempsey

Models with intractable likelihood functions arise in areas including network analysis and spatial statistics, especially those involving Gibbs random fields. Posterior parameter es timation in these settings is termed a doubly-intractable…

Computation · Statistics 2018-10-16 Lampros Bouranis , Nial Friel , Florian Maire

Detecting symmetry from data is a fundamental problem in signal analysis, providing insight into underlying structure and constraints. When data emerge as trajectories of dynamical systems, symmetries encode structural properties of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-21 Ziad Ghanem , Chang Hyunwoong , Preskella Mrad

The ranking of experiments by expected information gain (EIG) in Bayesian experimental design is sensitive to changes in the model's prior distribution, and the approximation of EIG yielded by sampling will have errors similar to the use of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-23 Jinwoo Go , Tobin Isaac

This paper introduces variational design methods that are novel to Geophysics, and discusses their benefits and limitations in the context of geophysical applications and more established design methods. Variational methods rely on…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-01-24 Dominik Strutz , Andrew Curtis