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In some non-regular statistical estimation problems, the limiting likelihood processes are functionals of fractional Brownian motion (fBm) with Hurst's parameter H; 0 < H <=? 1. In this paper we present several analytical and numerical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-06 Alexander Novikov , Nino Kordzakhia , Timothy Ling

This paper is devoted to the introduction of a new class of consistent estimators of the fractal dimension of locally self-similar Gaussian processes. These estimators are based on convex combinations of sample quantiles of discrete…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jean-François Coeurjolly

Strongly consistent and asymptotic normal estimators of the Hurst index of a stochastic differential equation driven by a fractional Brownian motion are proposed. The estimators are based on discrete observations of the underlying process.

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-18 K. Kubilius , V. Skorniakov , D. Melichov

For equidistant discretizations of fractional Brownian motion (fBm), the probabilities of ordinal patterns of order d=2 are monotonically related to the Hurst parameter H. By plugging the sample relative frequency of those patterns…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-11 Mathieu Sinn , Karsten Keller

Strongly consistent and asymptotically normal estimators of the Hurst parameter of solutions of stochastic differential equations are proposed. The estimators are based on discrete observations of the underlying processes.

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Kestutis Kubilius , Viktor Skorniakov

We study statistical inference for small-noise-perturbed multiscale dynamical systems where the slow motion is driven by fractional Brownian motion. We develop statistical estimators for both the Hurst index as well as a vector of unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-26 Solesne Bourguin , Siragan Gailus , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

A multivariate fractional Brownian motion (mfBm) with component-wise Hurst exponents is used to model and forecast realized volatility. We investigate the interplay between correlation coefficients and Hurst exponents and propose a novel…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-23 Markus Bibinger , Jun Yu , Chen Zhang

Fractional Brownian motion (fBm) is a centered self-similar Gaussian process with stationary increments, which depends on a parameter $H \in (0, 1)$ called the Hurst index. The use of time-changed processes in modeling often requires the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-21 Jebessa B. Mijena

Consider the fractional Brownian Motion (fBM) $B^H=\{B^H(t): t \in [0,1] \}$ with Hurst index $H\in (0,1)$. We construct a probability space supporting both $B^H$ and a fully simulatable process $\hat B_{\epsilon}^H $ such that $$\sup_{t\in…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-22 Yi Chen , Jing Dong , Hao Ni

The fractional Brownian motion (fBm) is parameterized by the Hurst exponent $H\in(0,1)$, which determines the dependence structure and regularity of sample paths. Empirical findings suggest that the Hurst exponent may be non-constant in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Fabian Mies , Benedikt Wilkens

Closed-form expressions, parametrized by the Hurst exponent $H$ and the length $n$ of a time series, are derived for paths of fractional Brownian motion (fBm) and fractional Gaussian noise (fGn) in the $\mathcal{A}-\mathcal{T}$ plane,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-01-01 Mariusz Tarnopolski

Fractional Brownian motion (fBm) is an important scale-invariant Gaussian non-Markovian process with stationary increments, which serves as a prototypical example of a system with long-range temporal correlations and anomalous diffusion.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-29 Baruch Meerson , Pavel V. Sasorov

The characteristic feature of semi-selfsimilar process is the invariance of its finite dimensional distributions by certain dilation for specific scaling factor. Estimating the scale parameter $\lambda$ and the Hurst index of such processes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-11 Saeid Rezakhah , Anne Philippe , Navideh Modarresi

We study fractional Brownian motion (fBm) characterized by the Hurst exponent H. Using a Monte Carlo sampling technique, we are able to numerically generate fBm processes with an absorbing boundary at the origin at discrete times for a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-15 Alexander K. Hartmann , Satya N. Majumdar , Alberto Rosso

Starting from the notion of multivariate fractional Brownian Motion introduced in [F. Lavancier, A. Philippe, and D. Surgailis. Covariance function of vector self-similar processes. Statistics & Probability Letters, 2009] we define a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Ranieri Dugo , Giacomo Giorgio , Paolo Pigato

In this study, we develop a new theory of estimating Hurst parame- ter using conic multivariate adaptive regression splines (CMARS) method. We concentrate on the strong solution of stochastic differentional equations (SDEs) driven by…

This paper presents $whittlehurst$, a Python package implementing Whittle's likelihood method for estimating the Hurst exponent in fractional Brownian motion (fBm). While the theoretical foundations of Whittle's estimator are…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-04 Bálint Csanády , Lóránt Nagy , András Lukács

The analysis of local minima in time series data and random landscapes is essential across numerous scientific disciplines, offering critical insights into system dynamics. Recently, Kundu, Majumdar, and Schehr derived the exact…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-19 Maxim Dolgushev , Olivier Bénichou

Our aim in this article is to provide explicit computable estimates for the cumulative distribution function (c.d.f.) and the $p$-th order moment of the exponential functional of a fractional Brownian motion (fBM) with drift. Using…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-18 José Alfredo López-Mimbela , Gerardo Pérez-Suárez

In this paper, we construct consistent statistical estimators of the Hurst index, volatility coefficient, and drift parameter for Bessel processes driven by fractional Brownian motion with $H<1/2$. As an auxiliary result, we also prove the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-25 Yuliya Mishura , Anton Yurchenko-Tytarenko
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