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We propose a test of the conditional independence of random variables $X$ and~$Y$ given~$Z$ under the additional assumption that $X$ is stochastically nondecreasing in~$Z$. The well-documented hardness of testing conditional independence…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 Rohan Hore , Jake A. Soloff , Rina Foygel Barber , Richard J. Samworth

This paper develops a new framework for indirect statistical inference with guaranteed necessity and sufficiency, applicable to continuous random variables. We prove that when comparing exponentially transformed order statistics from an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-25 Z Zhang , X Hu , C Lu , T Liu

It is known that if X is uniformly distributed modulo 1 and Y is an arbitrary random variable independent of X then Y+X is also uniformly distributed modulo 1. We prove a converse for any continuous random variable Y (or a reasonable…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-16 Michał Ryszard Wójcik

We propose a coefficient of conditional dependence between two random variables $Y$ and $Z$ given a set of other variables $X_1,\ldots,X_p$, based on an i.i.d. sample. The coefficient has a long list of desirable properties, the most…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-30 Mona Azadkia , Sourav Chatterjee

In this paper, we focus on the problem of statistical dependence estimation using characteristic functions. We propose a statistical dependence measure, based on the maximum-norm of the difference between joint and product-marginal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-18 Povilas Daniušis , Shubham Juneja , Lukas Kuzma , Virginijus Marcinkevičius

Many tools exist to detect dependence between random variables, a core question across a wide range of machine learning, statistical, and scientific endeavors. Although several statistical tests guarantee eventual detection of any…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-23 Nathaniel Xu , Feng Liu , Danica J. Sutherland

Max-stable processes are natural models for spatial extremes because they provide suitable asymptotic approximations to the distribution of maxima of random fields. In the recent past, several parametric families of stationary max-stable…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-22 Raphael Huser , Marc G. Genton

We present a method for drawing isolines indicating regions of equal joint exceedance probability for bivariate data. The method relies on bivariate regular variation, a dependence framework widely used for extremes. This framework enables…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-17 Daniel Cooley , Emeric Thibaud , Federico Castillo , Michael F. Wehner

The study of concomitants has recently met a renewed interest due to its applications in selection procedures. For instance, concomitants are used in ranked-set sampling, to achieve efficiency and reduce cost when compared to the simple…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-24 Amir Khorrami Chokami , Marie Kratz

The purpose of this work is to survey what is known about the linear independence of spikes and sines. The paper provides new results for the case where the locations of the spikes and the frequencies of the sines are chosen at random. This…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2014-04-29 Joel A. Tropp

We consider sequential selection of an alternating subsequence from a sequence of independent, identically distributed, continuous random variables, and we determine the exact asymptotic behavior of an optimal sequentially selected…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-15 Alessandro Arlotto , Robert W. Chen , Lawrence A. Shepp , J. Michael Steele

We give the distribution of $M_n$, the maximum of a sequence of $n$ observations from a moving average of order 1. Solutions are first given in terms of repeated integrals and then for the case where the underlying independent random…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-04-06 Christopher S. Withers , Saralees Nadarajah

It is well known that while the independence of random variables implies zero correlation, the opposite is not true. Namely, uncorrelated random variables are not necessarily independent. In this note we show that the implication could be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Piotr Jaworski , Damian Jelito , Marcin Pitera

Imagine being shown $N$ samples of random variables drawn independently from the same distribution. What can you say about the distribution? In general, of course, the answer is nothing, unless we have some prior notions about what to…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 William Bialek , Curtis G. Callan , S. P. Strong

This paper considers the problem of determining an optimal control action based on observed data. We formulate the problem assuming that the system can be modelled by a nonlinear state-space model, but where the model parameters, state and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-02 Johannes N. Hendriks , James R. Z. Holdsworth , Adrian G. Wills , Thomas B. Schon , Brett Ninness

We introduce a novel measure of dependence that captures the extent to which a random variable $Y$ is determined by a random vector $X$. The measure equals zero precisely when $Y$ and $X$ are independent, and it attains one exactly when $Y$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Mona Azadkia , Pouya Roudaki

Using new combinatorial techniques, we significantly improve the previous results on asymptotic distributions and asymptotic free independence relations of partial transposes of Wishart random matrices. In particular, we give a necessary…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Mihai Popa , James A. Mingo

In random cellular systems, both observation and maximum entropy inference give a specific form to the topological pair correlation: it is bi-affine in the cells number of edges with coefficients depending on the distance between the two…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-09-14 Faez Miri , Christophe Oguey

For a regression problem with a binary label response, we examine the problem of constructing confidence intervals for the label probability conditional on the features. In a setting where we do not have any information about the underlying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-09 Rina Foygel Barber

Max-stable random fields play a central role in modeling extreme value phenomena. We obtain an explicit formula for the conditional probability in general max-linear models, which include a large class of max-stable random fields. As a…

Computation · Statistics 2010-11-29 Yizao Wang , Stilian A. Stoev
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