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Statistical models with constrained probability distributions are abundant in machine learning. Some examples include regression models with norm constraints (e.g., Lasso), probit, many copula models, and latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA).…

Computation · Statistics 2015-06-22 Shiwei Lan , Babak Shahbaba

A boundary-based net-exchange Monte Carlo method was introduced in [1] that allows to bypass the difficulties encountered by standard Monte Carlo algorithms in the limit of optically thick absorption (and/or for quasi-isothermal…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-03-06 V. Eymet , R. Fournier , S. Blanco , J. L. Dufresne

In this article we consider computing expectations w.r.t.~probability laws associated to a certain class of stochastic systems. In order to achieve such a task, one must not only resort to numerical approximation of the expectation, but…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-30 Ajay Jasra , Kengo Kamatani , Kody Law , Yan Zhou

We introduce a multiscale Monte Carlo algorithm to simulate dense simple fluids. The probability of an update follows a power law distribution in its length scale. The collective motion of clusters of particles requires generalization of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 A. C. Maggs

This work combines multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) with importance sampling to estimate rare-event quantities that can be expressed as the expectation of a Lipschitz observable of the solution to a broad class of McKean--Vlasov stochastic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-19 Nadhir Ben Rached , Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali , Shyam Mohan Subbiah Pillai , Raúl Tempone

Sampling from distributions play a crucial role in aiding practitioners with statistical inference. However, in numerous situations, obtaining exact samples from complex distributions is infeasible. Consequently, researchers often turn to…

Computation · Statistics 2024-04-01 Riddhiman Bhattacharya , Tiefeng Jiang

The classical Langevin Monte Carlo method looks for samples from a target distribution by descending the samples along the gradient of the target distribution. The method enjoys a fast convergence rate. However, the numerical cost is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-07 Zhiyan Ding , Qin Li

We consider the problem of inference in discrete probabilistic models, that is, distributions over subsets of a finite ground set. These encompass a range of well-known models in machine learning, such as determinantal point processes and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-10 Alkis Gotovos , Hamed Hassani , Andreas Krause , Stefanie Jegelka

We consider optimization problems with uncertain constraints that need to be satisfied probabilistically. When data are available, a common method to obtain feasible solutions for such problems is to impose sampled constraints, following…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-09 Henry Lam , Fengpei Li

We introduce an ensemble Markov chain Monte Carlo approach to sampling from a probability density with known likelihood. This method upgrades an underlying Markov chain by allowing an ensemble of such chains to interact via a process in…

Computation · Statistics 2021-06-08 Michael Lindsey , Jonathan Weare , Anna Zhang

Convex sample approximations of chance-constrained optimization problems are considered, in which chance constraints are replaced by sets of sampled constraints. We propose a randomized sample selection strategy that allows tight bounds to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-22 Mark Cannon

We introduce a variant of the Hybrid Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithm to address large-deviation statistics in stochastic hydrodynamics. Based on the path-integral approach to stochastic (partial) differential equations, our HMC algorithm…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-10-29 G. Margazoglou , L. Biferale , R. Grauer , K. Jansen , D. Mesterházy , T. Rosenow , R. Tripiccione

Adaptive importance sampling is a class of techniques for finding good proposal distributions for importance sampling. Often the proposal distributions are standard probability distributions whose parameters are adapted based on the…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-10 Topi Paananen , Juho Piironen , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Aki Vehtari

When dealing with difficult inverse problems such as inverse rendering, using Monte Carlo estimated gradients to optimise parameters can slow down convergence due to variance. Averaging many gradient samples in each iteration reduces this…

Graphics · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Martin Balint , Karol Myszkowski , Hans-Peter Seidel , Gurprit Singh

In this paper we introduce a new sampling algorithm which has the potential to be adopted as a universal replacement to the Metropolis--Hastings algorithm. It is related to the slice sampler, and motivated by an algorithm which is…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-19 Yanxin Li , Stephen G. Walker

We design and implement a novel algorithm for computing a multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) estimator of the cumulative distribution function of a quantity of interest in problems with random input parameters or initial conditions. Our approach…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Søren Taverniers , Daniel M. Tartakovsky

Importance sampling has been reported to produce algorithms with excellent empirical performance in counting problems. However, the theoretical support for its efficiency in these applications has been very limited. In this paper, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-10 Jose H. Blanchet

High statistical precision is critical for Monte Carlo (MC) samples in high energy physics and is degraded by negatively weighted events. This paper investigates a procedure to learn the relationship between the negative and positive weight…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2026-01-15 Christopher Palmer , Braden Kronheim

We develop a novel computational method for evaluating the extreme excursion probabilities arising from random initialization of nonlinear dynamical systems. The method uses excursion probability theory to formulate a sequence of Bayesian…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-06-08 Vishwas Rao , Romit Maulik , Emil Constantinescu , Mihai Anitescu

In the last decade, sequential Monte-Carlo methods (SMC) emerged as a key tool in computational statistics. These algorithms approximate a sequence of distributions by a sequence of weighted empirical measures associated to a weighted…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 R. Douc , France E. Moulines