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High frequency data in finance have led to a deeper understanding on probability distributions of market prices. Several facts seem to be well stablished by empirical evidence. Specifically, probability distributions have the following…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Jaume Masoliver , Miquel Montero , Josep M. Porra

We take a new look at the problem of disentangling the volatility and jumps processes of daily stock returns. We first provide a computational framework for the univariate stochastic volatility model with Poisson-driven jumps that offers a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-30 Angelos Alexopoulos , Petros Dellaportas , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos

Dynamical scaling is an asymptotic property typical for the dynamics of first-order phase transitions in physical systems and related to self-similarity. Based on the integral-representation for the marginal probabilities of a fractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-23 Markus Kreer

We propose a simple model for the behaviour of longterm investors on a stock market, consisting of three particles, which represent the current price of the stock and the opinion of the buyers, respectively sellers, about the right trading…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-04-27 Alexander Weiss

We investigate the general problem of how to model the kinematics of stock prices without considering the dynamical causes of motion. We propose a stochastic process with long-range correlated absolute returns. We find that the model is…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 M. Serva , U. L. Fulco , M. L. Lyra , G. M. Viswanathan

We consider the problem of dynamic buying and selling of shares from a collection of $N$ stocks with random price fluctuations. To limit investment risk, we place an upper bound on the total number of shares kept at any time. Assuming that…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-23 Michael J. Neely

Fractional generalizations of the Poisson process and branching Furry process are considered. The link between characteristics of the processes, fractional differential equations and Levy stable densities are discussed and used for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-02-15 Vladimir V. Uchaikin , Dexter O. Cahoy , Renat T. Sibatov

We introduce a stochastic price model where, together with a random component, a moving average of logarithmic prices contributes to the price formation. Our model is tested against financial datasets, showing an extremely good agreement…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 R. Baviera , M. Pasquini , J. Raboanary , M. Serva

We study monotone and convex stochastic orders for processes with independent increments. Our contributions are twofold: First, we relate stochastic orders of the Poisson component to orders of their (generalized) L\'evy measures. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-16 David Criens

Resetting a stochastic process is an important problem describing the evolution of physical, biological and other systems which are continually returned to their certain fixed point. We consider the motion of a subdiffusive particle with a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-18 Aleksander A. Stanislavsky

An artificial stock market is established based on multi-agent . Each agent has a limit memory of the history of stock price, and will choose an action according to his memory and trading strategy. The trading strategy of each agent evolves…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Chun-Xia Yang , Tao Zhou , Pei-Ling Zhou , Jun Liu , Zi-Nan Tang

Modeling the trading volume curves of financial instruments throughout the day is of key interest in financial trading applications. Predictions of these so-called volume profiles guide trade execution strategies, for example, a common…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-01 Creighton Heaukulani , Abhinav Pandey , Lancelot F. James

This paper explores stochastic modeling approaches to elucidate the intricate dynamics of stock prices and volatility in financial markets. Beginning with an overview of Brownian motion and its historical significance in finance, we delve…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2024-05-03 Aashrit Cunchala

Different change-point type models encountered in statistical inference for stochastic processes give rise to different limiting likelihood ratio processes. In this paper we consider two such likelihood ratios. The first one is an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-04-05 Serguei Dachian

The result provided in this paper helps complete a unified picture of the scaling behavior in heavy-tailed stochastic models for transmission of packet traffic on high-speed communication links. Popular models include infinite source…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-17 Clément Dombry , Ingemar Kaj

We are concerned with scaling limits of the solutions to stochastic differential equations with stationary coefficients driven by Poisson random measures and Brownian motions. We state an annealed convergence theorem, in which the limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-26 Remi Rhodes , Vincent Vargas

The gain-loss asymmetry, observed in the inverse statistics of stock indices is present for logarithmic return levels that are over $2\%$, and it is the result of the non-Pearson type auto-correlations in the index. These non-Pearson type…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-24 Bulcsú Sándor , Ingve Simonsen , Bálint Zsolt Nagy , Zoltán Néda

We generalize Taylor's theorem by introducing a stochastic formulation based on an underlying Poisson point process model. We utilize this approach to propose a novel non-linear regression framework and perform statistical inference of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-07 Weichao Wu , Athanasios C. Micheas

We consider a tick-by-tick model of price formation, in which buy and sell orders are modeled as self-exciting point processes (Hawkes process), similar to the one in [Bacry, Delattre, Hoffmann, Muzy, Modelling microstructure noise with…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-27 Paolo Dai Pra , Paolo Pigato

We consider the stochastic ranking process with the jump times of the particles determined by Poisson random measures. We prove that the joint empirical distribution of scaled position and intensity measure converges almost surely in the…