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We consider two important time scales---the Markov and cryptic orders---that monitor how an observer synchronizes to a finitary stochastic process. We show how to compute these orders exactly and that they are most efficiently calculated…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-04-23 Ryan G. James , John R. Mahoney , Christopher J. Ellison , James P. Crutchfield

We present new algorithms and fast implementations to find efficient approximations for modelling stochastic processes. For many numerical computations it is essential to develop finite approximations for stochastic processes. While the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-03 Kipngeno Benard Kirui , Georg Ch. Pflug , Alois Pichler

We present an algorithm that can efficiently compute a broad class of inferences for discrete-time imprecise Markov chains, a generalised type of Markov chains that allows one to take into account partially specified probabilities and other…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-02 Natan T'Joens , Thomas Krak , Jasper De Bock , Gert de Cooman

We study the problem of deinterleaving a set of finite-memory (Markov) processes over disjoint finite alphabets, which have been randomly interleaved by a finite-memory switch. The deinterleaver has access to a sample of the resulting…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-08-29 Gadiel Seroussi , Wojciech Szpankowski , Marcelo J. Weinberger

This brief paper presents simple simulation-based algorithms for obtaining an approximately optimal policy in a given finite set in large finite constrained Markov decision processes. The algorithms are adapted from playing strategies for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-12-17 Hyeong Soo Chang

We propose a new Kalikow decomposition for continuous time multivariate counting processes, on potentially infinite networks. We prove the existence of such a decomposition in various cases. This decomposition allows us to derive simulation…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Tien Cuong Phi , Eva Löcherbach , Patricia Reynaud-Bouret

Optimization algorithms can be interpreted through the lens of dynamical systems as the interconnection of linear systems and a set of subgradient nonlinearities. This dynamical systems formulation allows for the analysis and synthesis of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-27 Jared Miller , Carsten Scherer , Fabian Jakob , Andrea Iannelli

Consider an irreducible, Harris recurrent Markov chain of transition kernel {\Pi} and invariant probability measure {\pi}. If {\Pi} satisfies a minorization condition, then the split chain allows the identification of regeneration times…

Computation · Statistics 2014-07-23 Anthony Lee , Arnaud Doucet , Krzysztof Łatuszyński

Stochastic processes find applications in modelling systems in a variety of disciplines. A large number of stochastic models considered are Markovian in nature. It is often observed that higher order Markov processes can model the data…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Suryadeepto Nag

The linked cell list algorithm is an essential part of molecular simulation software, both molecular dynamics and Monte Carlo. Though it scales linearly with the number of particles, there has been a constant interest in increasing its…

Computational Physics · Physics 2013-03-19 Ulrich Welling , Guido Germano

We use coupling into and from the past to sample perfectly in a simple and provably fast fashion from the Vervaat family of perpetuities. The family includes the Dickman distribution, which arises both in number theory and in the analysis…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-08 James Allen Fill , Mark Huber

In this paper, we provide a novel algorithm for solving planning and learning problems of Markov decision processes. The proposed algorithm follows a policy iteration-type update by using a rank-one approximation of the transition…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-23 Arman Sharifi Kolarijani , Tolga Ok , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Mohamad Amin Sharif Kolarijani

In dynamic Monte Carlo simulations, using for example the Metropolis dynamic, it is often required to simulate for long times and to simulate large systems. We present an overview of advanced algorithms to simulate for larger times and to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 M. A. Novotny , Alice K. Kolakowska , G. Korniss

The problem of optimal motion planing and control is fundamental in robotics. However, this problem is intractable for continuous-time stochastic systems in general and the solution is difficult to approximate if non-instantaneous nonlinear…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-02-28 Mustafa Mukadam , Ching-An Cheng , Xinyan Yan , Byron Boots

Predicting long-term outcomes of interventions is necessary for educational and social policy-making processes that might widely influence our society for the long-term. However, performing such predictions based on data from large-scale…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-04 Hyemin Han , Kangwook Lee , Firat Soylu

We calculate exact convergence times to reach random bipartite entanglement for various random protocols. The eigenproblem of a Markovian chain governing the process is mapped to a spin chain, thereby obtaining exact expression for the gap…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2008-09-26 Marko Znidaric

The main goal of the paper is to develop an estimate for the conditional probability function of random stationary ergodic symbolic sequences with elements belonging to a finite alphabet. We elaborate a decomposition procedure for the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-08-09 S. S. Melnik , O. V. Usatenko

We study a class of interacting nonlinear Hawkes point processes on the integer lattice in which each component is reset after its own jumps. The intensity of a component depends on the post-reset activity of its nearest neighbours, which…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-14 Branda P. I. Gonçalves , Lucien Mauffret

Bisimulation metrics are powerful tools for measuring similarities between stochastic processes, and specifically Markov chains. Recent advances have uncovered that bisimulation metrics are, in fact, optimal-transport distances, which has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Sergio Calo , Anders Jonsson , Gergely Neu , Ludovic Schwartz , Javier Segovia-Aguas

Two approaches to studying the correlation functions of the binary Markov sequences are considered. The first of them is based on the study of probability of occurring different ''words'' in the sequence. The other one uses recurrence…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 S. S. Apostolov , Z. A. Mayzelis , O. V. Usatenko , V. A. Yampol'skii