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Related papers: Simulating rare events in dynamical processes

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This article shows how to specify and construct a discrete, stochastic, continuous-time model specifically for ecological systems. The model is more broad than typical chemical kinetics models in two ways. First, using time-dependent hazard…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-30 Andrew J. Dolgert

Control schemes for dynamical systems typically involve stabilizing unstable periodic orbits. In this paper we introduce a new paradigm of control that involves `trapping' the dynamics arbitrarily close to any desired trajectory. This is…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-12-08 Shakti N. Menon , S. Sridhar , Sitabhra Sinha

We develop rare-event simulation methodology for the analysis of loss events in a many-server loss system under quality-driven regime, focusing on the steady-state loss probability (i.e. fraction of lost customers over arrivals) and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-18 Jose Blanchet , Henry Lam

To study the dynamics of chemical processes, we often adopt rate equations to observe the change in chemical concentrations. However, when the number of the molecules is small, the fluctuations cannot be neglected. We often study the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Yuichi Togashi , Kunihiko Kaneko

Sampling the collective, dynamical fluctuations that lead to nonequilibrium pattern formation requires probing rare regions of trajectory space. Recent approaches to this problem based on importance sampling, cloning, and spectral…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-02-14 Jiawei Yan , Hugo Touchette , Grant M. Rotskoff

The process algebra HYPE was recently proposed as a fine-grained modelling approach for capturing the behaviour of hybrid systems. In the original proposal, each flow or influence affecting a variable is modelled separately and the overall…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2011-07-08 Luca Bortolussi , Vashti Galpin , Jane Hillston

Stochasticity is a key characteristic of intracellular processes such as gene regulation and chemical signalling. Therefore, characterising stochastic effects in biochemical systems is essential to understand the complex dynamics of living…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2019-03-04 David J. Warne , Ruth E. Baker , Matthew J. Simpson

Random flights (also called run-and-tumble walks or transport processes) represent finite velocity random motions changing direction at any Poissonian time. These models in d-dimension, can be studied giving a general formulation of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-10-16 Luca Angelani , Alessandro De Gregorio , Roberto Garra , Francesco Iafrate

By their very nature, rare event probabilities are expensive to compute; they are also delicate to estimate as their value strongly depends on distributional assumptions on the model parameters. Hence, understanding the sensitivity of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-10-28 Michael Merritt , Alen Alexanderian , Pierre Gremaud

Hybrid dynamical systems have proven to be a powerful modeling abstraction, yet fundamental questions regarding the dynamical properties of these systems remain. In this paper, we develop a novel class of relaxations which we use to recover…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-10-25 Tyler Westenbroek , S. Shankar Sastry , Humberto Gonzalez

Dynamical systems across the sciences, from electrical circuits to ecological networks, undergo qualitative and often catastrophic changes in behavior, called bifurcations, when their underlying parameters cross a threshold. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-22 Noa Moriel , Matthew Ricci , Mor Nitzan

A computational tool for coarse-graining nonlinear systems of ordinary differential equations in time is discussed. Three illustrative model examples are worked out that demonstrate the range of capability of the method. This includes the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-11-23 Sabyasachi Chatterjee , Amit Acharya , Zvi Artstein

Most of numerical methods for deterministic simulations of rarefied gas flows use the discrete velocity (or discrete ordinate) approximation. In this approach, the kinetic equation is approximated with a global velocity grid. The grid must…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-03-19 Stéphane Brull , Luc Mieussens

Rare trajectories of stochastic systems are important to understand -- because of their potential impact. However, their properties are by definition difficult to sample directly. Population dynamics provides a numerical tool allowing their…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-03 Esteban Guevara Hidalgo , Takahiro Nemoto , Vivien Lecomte

In this paper we combine two powerful computational techniques, well-tempered metadynamics and time lagged independent component analysis. The aim is to develop a new tool for studying rare events and exploring complex free energy…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-12-08 James McCarty , Michele Parrinello

Atomistic simulations with methods such as molecular dynamics are extremely powerful tools to understand nanoscale dynamical behavior. The resulting trajectories, by the virtue of being embedded in a high-dimensional configuration space,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-27 Animesh Agarwal , Sandrasegaram Gnanakaran , Nicholas Hengartner , Arthur F. Voter , Danny Perez

We apply the large-deviation method to study trajectories in dissipative quantum systems. We show that in the long time limit the statistics of quantum jumps can be understood from thermodynamic arguments by exploiting the analogy between…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-04-20 Juan P. Garrahan , Igor Lesanovsky

In this paper we use splitting technique to estimate the probability of hitting a rare but critical set by the continuous component of a switching diffusion. Instead of following classical approach we use Wonham filter to achieve multiple…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-19 Anindya Goswami , François Le Gland

We discuss the role of particular velocity field configurations -- instantons, for short -- which are supposed to dominate the flow during the occurrence of extreme turbulent circulation events. Instanton equations, devised for the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-08-15 G. B. Apolinário , L. Moriconi , R. M. Pereira , V. J. Valadão

The fluctuations of turbulence intensity in a pipe flow around the critical Reynolds number is difficult to study but important because they are related to turbulent-laminar transitions. We here propose a rare-event sampling method to study…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-02-08 Takahiro Nemoto , Alexandros Alexakis