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This paper explores the estimation of a dynamic spatiotemporal autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (ARCH) model. The log-volatility term in this model can depend on (i) the spatial lag of the log-squared outcome variable, (ii) the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-12 Philipp Otto , Osman Doğan , Süleyman Taşpınar

In this paper, we investigate a semiparametric regression model under the context of treatment effects via a localized neural network (LNN) approach. Due to a vast number of parameters involved, we reduce the number of effective parameters…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-23 Jiti Gao , Fei Liu , Bin Peng , Yanrong Yang

Large-scale empirical data, the sample size and the dimension are high, often exhibit various characteristics. For example, the noise term follows unknown distributions or the model is very sparse that the number of critical variables is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-18 Yuehan Yang , Hu Yang

Fully robust versions of the elastic net estimator are introduced for linear and logistic regression. The algorithms to compute the estimators are based on the idea of repeatedly applying the non-robust classical estimators to data subsets…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-16 Fatma Sevinc Kurnaz , Irene Hoffmann , Peter Filzmoser

High dimensional predictive regressions are useful in wide range of applications. However, the theory is mainly developed assuming that the model is stationary with time invariant parameters. This is at odds with the prevalent evidence for…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-10-09 Kashif Yousuf , Serena Ng

Generalized method of moments estimators based on higher-order moment conditions derived from independent shocks can be used to identify and estimate the simultaneous interaction in structural vector autoregressions. This study highlights…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-13 Sascha A. Keweloh

Vector autoregression is an essential tool in empirical macroeconomics and finance for understanding the dynamic interdependencies among multivariate time series. In this study, we expand the scope of vector autoregression by incorporating…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-03-21 Yunyun Wang , Tatsushi Oka , Dan Zhu

Lag windows are commonly used in time series, econometrics, steady-state simulation, and Markov chain Monte Carlo to estimate time-average covariance matrices. In the presence of positive correlation of the underlying process, estimators of…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-13 Dootika Vats , James M. Flegal

The lasso and related sparsity inducing algorithms have been the target of substantial theoretical and applied research. Correspondingly, many results are known about their behavior for a fixed or optimally chosen tuning parameter specified…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-23 Darren Homrighausen , Daniel J. McDonald

In recent years, there is a growing interest in combining techniques attributed to the areas of Statistics and Machine Learning in order to obtain the benefits of both approaches. In this article, the statistical technique lasso for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-08 David Delgado , Ernesto Curbelo , Danae Carreras

Time series forecasting is a challenging task with applications in a wide range of domains. Auto-regression is one of the most common approaches to address these problems. Accordingly, observations are modelled by multiple regression using…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-15 Vitor Cerqueira , Nuno Moniz , Carlos Soares

In this paper, we consider modelling interaction between a set of variables in the context of time series and high dimension. We suggest two approaches. The first is similar to the neighborhood lasso when the lasso model is replaced by a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-05 Kamel Jebreen , Badih Ghattas

We construct long-term prediction intervals for time-aggregated future values of univariate economic time series. We propose computational adjustments of the existing methods to improve coverage probability under a small sample constraint.…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-02-14 Marek Chudy , Sayar Karmakar , Wei Biao Wu

The $\ell_1$-penalized method, or the Lasso, has emerged as an important tool for the analysis of large data sets. Many important results have been obtained for the Lasso in linear regression which have led to a deeper understanding of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-12-30 Jian Huang , Cun-Hui Zhang

We propose a generalization of the lasso that allows the model coefficients to vary as a function of a general set of modifying variables. These modifiers might be variables such as gender, age or time. The paradigm is quite general, with…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-11 Robert Tibshirani , Jerome Friedman

We apply methods from randomized numerical linear algebra (RandNLA) to develop improved algorithms for the analysis of large-scale time series data. We first develop a new fast algorithm to estimate the leverage scores of an autoregressive…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-02 Ali Eshragh , Fred Roosta , Asef Nazari , Michael W. Mahoney

In high dimensional settings where a small number of regressors are expected to be important, the Lasso estimator can be used to obtain a sparse solution vector with the expectation that most of the non-zero coefficients are associated with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-01 Erik Drysdale , Yingwei Peng , Timothy P. Hanna , Paul Nguyen , Anna Goldenberg

The availability of data on economic uncertainty sparked a lot of interest in models that can timely quantify episodes of international spillovers of uncertainty. This challenging task involves trading off estimation accuracy for more…

General Economics · Economics 2023-02-07 Niels Gillmann , Ostap Okhrin

Regression models with both high-dimensional responses and covariates have attracted growing attention. Standard multivariate regression models become inadequate when the response variables depend not only on observed covariates but also on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-01 Jing Ouyang , Chengyu Cui , Yunxiao Chen , Kean Ming Tan , Gongjun Xu

We consider the most common variants of linear regression, including Ridge, Lasso and Support-vector regression, in a setting where the learner is allowed to observe only a fixed number of attributes of each example at training time. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Elad Hazan , Tomer Koren