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We propose a more general definition of generic-case complexity, based on using a random process for generating inputs of an algorithm and using the time needed to generate an input as a way of measuring the size of that input.

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2015-05-14 Ilya Kapovich

Common practice in modern machine learning involves fitting a large number of parameters relative to the number of observations. These overparameterized models can exhibit surprising generalization behavior, e.g., ``double descent'' in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-03 Pratik Patil , Jin-Hong Du , Ryan J. Tibshirani

Binary segmentation is the classic greedy algorithm which recursively splits a sequential data set by optimizing some loss or likelihood function. Binary segmentation is widely used for changepoint detection in data sets measured over space…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-14 Toby Dylan Hocking

Random probabilities are a key component to many nonparametric methods in Statistics and Machine Learning. To quantify comparisons between different laws of random probabilities several works are starting to use the elegant Wasserstein over…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-27 Marta Catalano , Hugo Lavenant

This thesis investigates the quality of randomly collected data by employing a framework built on information-based complexity, a field related to the numerical analysis of abstract problems. The quality or power of gathered information is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-09-16 Mathias Sonnleitner

Parametric statistical methods play a central role in analyzing risk through its underlying frequency and severity components. Given the wide availability of numerical algorithms and high-speed computers, researchers and practitioners often…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-17 Michael R. Powers , Jiaxin Xu

This paper covers two topics: first an introduction to Algorithmic Complexity Theory: how it defines probability, some of its characteristic properties and past successful applications. Second, we apply it to problems in A.I. - where it…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Ray Solomonoff

Complexity science offers a wide range of measures for quantifying unpredictability, structure, and information. Yet, a systematic conceptual organization of these measures is still missing. We present a unified framework that locates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Nima Dehghani

One can consider $\mu$-Martin-L\"of randomness for a probability measure $\mu$ on $2^{\omega}$, such as the Bernoulli measure $\mu_p$ given $p \in (0, 1)$. We study Bernoulli randomness of sequences in $n^{\omega}$ with parameters $p_0,…

Logic · Mathematics 2020-11-30 Andrew DeLapo

A semi-measure is a generalization of a probability measure obtained by relaxing the additivity requirement to super-additivity. We introduce and study several randomness notions for left-c.e. semi-measures, a natural class of effectively…

Logic · Mathematics 2017-10-18 Laurent Bienvenu , Rupert Hölzl , Christopher P. Porter , Paul Shafer

A general notion of information-related complexity applicable to both natural and man-made systems is proposed. The overall approach is to explicitly consider a rational agent performing a certain task with a quantifiable degree of success.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-01-18 Eugene Perevalov , David Grace

In this article we demonstrate how algorithmic probability theory is applied to situations that involve uncertainty. When people are unsure of their model of reality, then the outcome they observe will cause them to update their beliefs. We…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-05-26 Phil Maguire , Philippe Moser , Rebecca Maguire , Mark Keane

This article is a brief personal account of the past, present, and future of algorithmic randomness, emphasizing its role in inductive inference and artificial intelligence. It is written for a general audience interested in science and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-02-10 Marcus Hutter

We present a simple randomized procedure for the prediction of a binary sequence. The algorithm uses ideas from recent developments of the theory of the prediction of individual sequences. We show that if the sequence is a realization of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-06-19 L. Györfi , G. Lugosi , G. Morvai

In this paper the stochastic complexity criterion is applied to estimation of the order in AR and ARMA models. The power of the criterion for short strings is illustrated by simulations. It requires an integral of the square root of Fisher…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Ciprian Doru Giurcăneanu , Jorma Rissanen

Kolmogorov complexity measures the algorithmic complexity of a finite binary string $\sigma$ in terms of the length of the shortest description $\sigma^*$ of $\sigma$. Traditionally, the length of a string is taken to measure the amount of…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2019-06-14 Cameron Fraize , Christopher P. Porter

We introduce an information theoretic measure of statistical structure, called 'binding information', for sets of random variables, and compare it with several previously proposed measures including excess entropy, Bialek et al.'s…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-12-10 Samer A. Abdallah , Mark D. Plumbley

Suppose we are given two probability measures on the set of one-way infinite finite-alphabet sequences and consider the question when one of the measures predicts the other, that is, when conditional probabilities converge (in a certain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2008-06-26 Daniil Ryabko , Marcus Hutter

Algorithmic fairness involves expressing notions such as equity, or reasonable treatment, as quantifiable measures that a machine learning algorithm can optimise. Most work in the literature to date has focused on classification problems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-06 Daniel Steinberg , Alistair Reid , Simon O'Callaghan

Stability is a central property in learning and statistics promising the output of an algorithm $A$ does not change substantially when applied to similar datasets $S$ and $S'$. It is an elementary fact that any sufficiently stable algorithm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-13 Max Hopkins , Shay Moran