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The Generalized Central Limit Theorem is a remarkable generalization of the Central Limit Theorem, showing that the sum of a large number of independent, identically-distributed (i.i.d) random variables with infinite variance may converge…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-02-19 Ariel Amir

Attaining ultra-reliable communication (URC) in fifth-generation (5G) and beyond networks requires deriving statistics of channel in ultra-reliable region by modeling the extreme events. Extreme value theory (EVT) has been previously…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-01-12 Niloofar Mehrnia , Sinem Coleri

The object of this paper is twofold. From one side we study the dichotomy, in terms of the Extremal Index of the possible Extreme Value Laws, when the rare events are centred around periodic or non periodic points. Then we build a general…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-03-24 Hale Aytaç , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Sandro Vaienti

These notes are based on lectures delivered by G. Schehr at the XVIth School on Fundamental Problems in Statistical Physics (FPSP), held in Oropa (Italy) from 30 June to 11 July 2025. After a brief introduction to extreme value statistics…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-20 Marcin Piotr Pruszczyk , Gregory Schehr

Extreme value theory for univariate and low-dimensional observations has been explored in considerable detail, but the field is still in an early stage regarding high-dimensional settings. This paper focuses on H\"usler-Reiss models, a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-17 Johannes Lederer , Marco Oesting

Both parametric distribution functions appearing in extreme value theory - the generalized extreme value distribution and the generalized Pareto distribution - have log-concave densities if the extreme value index gamma is in [-1,0].…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-17 Samuel Müller , Kaspar Rufibach

We study analytically the distribution of the minimum of a set of hierarchically correlated random variables $E_1$, $E_2$, $...$, $E_N$ where $E_i$ represents the energy of the $i$-th path of a directed polymer on a Cayley tree. If the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 D. S. Dean , Satya N. Majumdar

For two large matrices ${\mathbf X}$ and ${\mathbf Y}$ with Gaussian i.i.d.\ entries and dimensions $T\times N_X$ and $T\times N_Y$, respectively, we derive the probability distribution of the singular values of $\mathbf{X}^T \mathbf{Y}$ in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-29 Arabind Swain , Sean Alexander Ridout , Ilya Nemenman

Similar to the generalized extreme value (GEV) family, the generalized extreme value distributions under power normalization are introduced by Roudsari (1999) and Barakat et al. (2013). In this article, we study the asymptotic behavior of…

Applications · Statistics 2017-12-01 Ali Saeb

We propose an extreme dimension reduction method extending the Extreme-PLS approach to the case where the covariate lies in a possibly infinite-dimensional Hilbert space. The ideas are partly borrowed from both Partial Least-Squares and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-01 Stéphane Girard , Cambyse Pakzad

Fluctuations of global additive quantities, like total energy or magnetization for instance, can in principle be described by statistics of sums of (possibly correlated) random variables. Yet, it turns out that extreme values (the largest…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-11-18 Maxime Clusel , Eric Bertin

For measuring tail risk with scarce extreme events, extreme value analysis is often invoked as the statistical tool to extrapolate to the tail of a distribution. The presence of large datasets benefits tail risk analysis by providing more…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-18 Liujun Chen , Deyuan Li , Chen Zhou

Impact assessment of natural hazards requires the consideration of both extreme and non-extreme events. Extensive research has been conducted on the joint modeling of bulk and tail in univariate settings; however, the corresponding body of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Chenglei Hu , Ben Swallow , Daniela Castro-Camilo

Consider the empirical spectral distribution of complex random $n\times n$ matrix whose entries are independent and identically distributed random variables with mean zero and variance $1/n$. In this paper, via applying potential theory in…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Guangming Pan , Wang Zhou

We show that all multivariate Extreme Value distributions, which are the possible weak limits of the $K$ largest order statistics of iid sequences, have the same copula, the so called K-extremal copula. This copula is described through…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Glauco Valle , Marco Aurelio Sanfins

We present a generic and powerful approach to study the statistics of extreme phenomena (meteorology, finance, biology...) that we apply to the statistical estimation of the tail of the distribution of earthquake sizes. The chief innovation…

Geophysics · Physics 2008-05-13 V. F. Pisarenko , A. Sornette , D. Sornette , M. V. Rodkin

We aim to analyze the behaviour of a finite-time stochastic system, whose model is not available, in the context of more rare and harmful outcomes. Standard estimators are not effective in making predictions about such outcomes due to their…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-29 Evan Arsenault , Yuheng Wang , Margaret P. Chapman

This article considers exponential families of truncated multivariate normal distributions with one-sided truncation for some or all coordinates. We observe that if all components are one-sided truncated then this family is not full. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-02 Michael Levine , Donald Richards , Jianxi Su

The Singular Value Decomposition is a matrix decomposition technique widely used in the analysis of multivariate data, such as complex space-time images obtained in both physical and biological systems. In this paper, we examine the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-09-25 A. M. Sengupta , P. P. Mitra

Solutions to conservation laws satisfy the monotonicity property: the number of local extrema is a non-increasing function of time, and local maximum/minimum values decrease/increase monotonically in time. This paper investigates this…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2007-11-06 Philippe G. LeFloch , Jian-Guo Liu