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We adapt Higher Criticism (HC) to the comparison of two frequency tables which may -- or may not -- exhibit moderate differences between the tables in some unknown, relatively small subset out of a large number of categories. Our analysis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-29 David L. Donoho , Alon Kipnis

We describe a general approach to detection of transient gravitational-wave signals in the presence of non-Gaussian background noise. We prove that under quite general conditions, the ratio of the likelihood of observed data to contain a…

There is growing evidence that converting targets to soft targets in supervised learning can provide considerable gains in performance. Much of this work has considered classification, converting hard zero-one values to soft labels---such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-13 Ehsan Imani , Martha White

We consider reduced-rank modeling of the white noise covariance matrix in a large dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) model. We first propose the reduced-rank covariance estimator under the setting where independent observations are…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-09 Richard A. Davis , Pengfei Zang , Tian Zheng

Given samples from two non-negative random variables, we propose a family of tests for the null hypothesis that one random variable stochastically dominates the other at the second order. Test statistics are obtained as functionals of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-16 Tommaso Lando , Sirio Legramanti

Ordered testing procedures are multiple testing procedures that exploit a pre-specified ordering of the null hypotheses, from most to least promising. We analyze and compare the power of several recent proposals using the asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-08 Lihua Lei , William Fithian

In a case-control study aimed at locating autosomal disease variants for a disease of interest, association between markers and the disease status is often tested by comparing the marker minor allele frequencies (MAFs) between cases and…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-13 Marianne A. Jonker , Jakub Pecanka

Given an i.i.d. sample $\{(X_i,Y_i)\}_{i \in \{1 \ldots n\}}$ from the random design regression model $Y = f(X) + \epsilon$ with $(X,Y) \in [0,1] \times [-M,M]$, in this paper we consider the problem of testing the (simple) null hypothesis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-20 Pierpaolo Brutti

We present new families of goodness-of-fit tests of uniformity on a full-dimensional set $W\subset\R^d$ based on statistics related to edge lengths of random geometric graphs. Asymptotic normality of these statistics is proven under the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-20 Bruno Ebner , Franz Nestmann , Matthias Schulte

A recent paper by Lien et al. (2025) introduces the "colored linear inverse model" (colored LIM), in which stochastic forcing is modeled using Ornstein-Uhlenbeck colored noise rather than idealized white noise. In that work, it is shown…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-06 Cristian Martinez-Villalobos

We study the problem of recovering a hidden binary $k$-sparse $p$-dimensional vector $\beta$ from $n$ noisy linear observations $Y=X\beta+W$ where $X_{ij}$ are i.i.d. $\mathcal{N}(0,1)$ and $W_i$ are i.i.d. $\mathcal{N}(0,\sigma^2)$. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-13 Galen Reeves , Jiaming Xu , Ilias Zadik

In this work, we propose a new criterion for choosing the regularization parameter in Tikhonov regularization when the noise is white Gaussian. The criterion minimizes a lower bound of the predictive risk, when both data norm and noise…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-24 Federico Benvenuto , Bangti Jin

Detection of critical slowing down (CSD) is the dominant avenue for anticipating critical transitions from noisy time-series data. Most commonly, changes in variance and lag-1 autocorrelation [AC(1)] are used as CSD indicators. However,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-06-05 Andreas Morr , Niklas Boers

Understanding the time-varying structure of complex temporal systems is one of the main challenges of modern time series analysis. In this paper, we show that every uniformly-positive-definite-in-covariance and sufficiently short-range…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-25 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

We introduce local conditional hypotheses that express how the relation between explanatory variables and outcomes changes across different contexts, described by covariates. By expanding upon the model-X knockoff filter, we show how to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-12 Paula Gablenz , Matteo Sesia , Tianshu Sun , Chiara Sabatti

In nonparametric statistics, rate-optimal estimators typically balance bias and stochastic error. The recent work on overparametrization raises the question whether rate-optimal estimators exist that do not obey this trade-off. In this work…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Alexis Derumigny , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

The advantages of weak measurements, and especially measurements of imaginary weak values, for precision enhancement, are discussed. A situation is considered in which the initial state of the measurement device varies randomly on each run,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-07-16 Yaron Kedem

We are interested in the implications of a linearly autocorrelated driven noise on the asymptotic behavior of the usual least squares estimator in a stable autoregressive process. We show that the least squares estimator is not consistent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-14 Frédéric Proïa

We consider the problem of linear regression with self-selection bias in the unknown-index setting, as introduced in recent work by Cherapanamjeri, Daskalakis, Ilyas, and Zampetakis [STOC 2023]. In this model, one observes $m$ i.i.d.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-23 Jason Gaitonde , Elchanan Mossel

The weak value exhibits numerous intriguing characteristics, such as values outside the operator spectrum, leading to unexpected phenomena. Nevertheless, the measurement protocol used for measuring the weak value has been the subject of an…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-11-17 Zohar Schwartzman-Nowik , Dorit Aharonov , Eliahu Cohen
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