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In this paper, we establish a robustification of an on-line algorithm for modelling asset prices within a hidden Markov model (HMM). In this HMM framework, parameters of the model are guided by a Markov chain in discrete time, parameters of…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-04-09 Christina Erlwein , Peter Ruckdeschel

Characterization of multivariate time series of behaviour data from animal-borne sensors is challenging. Biologists require methods to objectively quantify baseline behaviour, then assess behaviour changes in response to environmental…

The paper investigates the problems of quickest change detection in Markov models and hidden Markov models (HMMs). Sequential observations are taken from a (hidden) Markov model. At some unknown time, an event occurs in the system and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-09 Qi Zhang , Zhongchang Sun , Luis C. Herrera , Shaofeng Zou

Missing data frequently arises across diverse domains, including time-series and image domains. In the real world, missing occurrences often depend on the unobservable values themselves, which are referred to as Missing Not at Random…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Gyuwon Sim , Sumin Lee , Heesun Bae , Byeonghu Na , Doyun Kwon , Ju-Hee Hwang , Jae-Young Lim , Il-Chul Moon

We study automated intrusion detection in an IT infrastructure, specifically the problem of identifying the start of an attack, the type of attack, and the sequence of actions an attacker takes, based on continuous measurements from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Xiaoxuan Wang , Rolf Stadler

The proliferation of malware variants poses a significant challenges to traditional malware detection approaches, such as signature-based methods, necessitating the development of advanced machine learning techniques. In this research, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Ritik Mehta , Olha Jureckova , Mark Stamp

Automatic differentiation (AD) has driven recent advances in machine learning, including deep neural networks and Hamiltonian Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods. Partially observed nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems have proved resistant…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-04 Kevin Tan , Giles Hooker , Edward L. Ionides

The growth in Remote Patient Monitoring (RPM) services using wearable and non-wearable Internet of Medical Things (IoMT) promises to improve the quality of diagnosis and facilitate timely treatment for a gamut of medical conditions. At the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-23 Deepti Gupta , Maanak Gupta , Smriti Bhatt , Ali Saman Tosun

Covert planning refers to a class of constrained planning problems where an agent aims to accomplish a task with minimal information leaked to a passive observer to avoid detection. However, existing methods of covert planning often…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-11-02 Haoxiang Ma , Chongyang Shi , Shuo Han , Michael R. Dorothy , Jie Fu

The Markov modulated (switching) state space is an important model paradigm in applied statistics. In this article, we specifically consider Markov modulated nonlinear state-space models and address the online Bayesian inference problem for…

Computation · Statistics 2013-11-27 Saikat Saha , Gustaf Hendeby

Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) are one of the most fundamental and widely used statistical tools for modeling discrete time series. In general, learning HMMs from data is computationally hard (under cryptographic assumptions), and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-10 Daniel Hsu , Sham M. Kakade , Tong Zhang

Evolving consumer demands and market trends have led to businesses increasingly embracing a production approach that prioritizes flexibility and customization. Consequently, factory workers must engage in tasks that are more complex than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-17 Issei Saito , Tomoaki Nakamura , Toshiyuki Hatta , Wataru Fujita , Shintaro Watanabe , Shotaro Miwa

Machine learning algorithms have been applied to predict agent behaviors in real-world dynamic systems, such as advertiser behaviors in sponsored search and worker behaviors in crowdsourcing. The behavior data in these systems are generated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-07-14 Fei Tian , Haifang Li , Wei Chen , Tao Qin , Enhong Chen , Tie-Yan Liu

We study a phase transition in parameter learning of Hidden Markov Models (HMMs). We do this by generating sequences of observed symbols from given discrete HMMs with uniformly distributed transition probabilities and a noise level encoded…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-10-13 Nikita Rau , Jörg Lücke , Alexander K. Hartmann

Many real-world decision making tasks require us to choose among several expensive observations. In a sensor network, for example, it is important to select the subset of sensors that is expected to provide the strongest reduction in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-01-16 Andreas Krause , Carlos Guestrin

The use of in-situ digital sensors for water quality monitoring is becoming increasingly common worldwide. While these sensors provide near real-time data for science, the data are prone to technical anomalies that can undermine the…

This paper presents a novel reinforcement learning (RL) approach called HAAM-RL (Heuristic Algorithm-based Action Masking Reinforcement Learning) for optimizing the color batching re-sequencing problem in automobile painting processes. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-22 Kyuwon Choi , Cheolkyun Rho , Taeyoun Kim , Daewoo Choi

The routing of packets are generally performed based on the destination address and forward link channel available from the instantaneous Router without sufficient cognizance of either the performance of the forward Router or forward…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2016-09-08 T. R. Gopalakrishnan Nair , M. Jayalalitha , S. Abhijith

Although the Bayesian paradigm offers a formal framework for estimating the entire probability distribution over uncertain parameters, its online implementation can be challenging due to high computational costs. We suggest the Adaptive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-23 Pedram Agand , Mo Chen , Hamid D. Taghirad

Control applications often feature tasks with similar, but not identical, dynamics. We introduce the Hidden Parameter Markov Decision Process (HiP-MDP), a framework that parametrizes a family of related dynamical systems with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-08-19 Finale Doshi-Velez , George Konidaris
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