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1 Sharp prediction of extinction times is needed in biodiversity monitoring and conservation management. 2 The Galton-Watson process is a classical stochastic model for describing population dynamics. Its evolution is like the matrix…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-29 B Cloez , T Daufresne , M Kerioui , B Fontez

We consider a branching random walk on $\mathbb{R}$ with a stationary and ergodic environment $\xi=(\xi_n)$ indexed by time $n\in\mathbb{N}$. Let $Z_n$ be the counting measure of particles of generation $n$. For the case where the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-30 Chunmao Huang , Quansheng Liu

In this paper, we study a Galton-Watson process $(Z_n)$ with infinitely many types in a random ergodic environment $\bar{\xi}=(\xi_n)_{n\geq 0}$. We focus on the supercritical regime of the process, where the quenched average of the size of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-07 Maxime Ligonnière

Reinforced Galton--Watson processes describe the dynamics of a population where reproduction events are reinforced, in the sense that offspring numbers of forebears can be repeated randomly by descendants. More specifically, the evolution…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-24 Jean Bertoin , Bastien Mallein

We investigate branching processes in nearly degenerate varying environment, where the offspring distribution converges to the degenerate distribution at 1. Such processes die out almost surely, therefore, we condition on non-extinction or…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-05 Peter Kevei , Kata Kubatovics

We consider a continuous-time Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson process with logistic competition in a regime of weak competition, or equivalently of a large carrying capacity. Individuals reproduce at random times independently of each other but…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-29 Raphaël Forien

We consider population-size-dependent branching processes (PSDBPs) which eventually become extinct with probability one. For these processes, we derive maximum likelihood estimators for the mean number of offspring born to individuals when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Peter Braunsteins , Sophie Hautphenne , Carmen Minuesa

A discrete time branching process where the offspring distribution is generation-dependent, and the number of reproductive individuals is controlled by a random mechanism is considered. This model is a Markov chain but, in general, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Miguel González , Carmen Minuesa , Manuel Mota , Inés del Puerto , Alfonso Ramos

A branching process in random environment $(Z_n, n \in \N)$ is a generalization of Galton Watson processes where at each generation the reproduction law is picked randomly. In this paper we give several results which belong to the class of…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-15 Vincent Bansaye , Julien Berestycki

We consider a collection of weakly interacting diffusion processes moving in a two-scale locally periodic environment. We study the large deviations principle of the empirical distribution of the particles' positions in the combined limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-03 Zachary Bezemek , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We study the asymptotic behavior of small deviation probabilities for the critical Galton-Watson processes with infinite variance of the offspring sizes of particles and apply the obtained result to investigate the structure of a reduced…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-16 Vladimir Vatutin , Elena Dyakonova , Yakubdjan Khusanbaev

Consider a branching random walk in which the offspring distribution and the moving law both depend on an independent and identically distributed random environment indexed by the time.For the normalised counting measure of the number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-01 Zhi-Qiang Gao , Quansheng Liu

The asymptotic behavior, as $n\rightarrow \infty $ of the probability of the event that a decomposable critical branching process $\mathbf{Z}(m)=(Z_{1}(m),...,Z_{N}(m)),$ $m=0,1,2,...,$ with $N$ types of particles dies at moment $n$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-21 Vladimir Vatutin , Elena Dyakonova

A branching process in varying environment with generation-dependent immigration is a modification of the standard branching process in which immigration is allowed and the reproduction and immigration laws may vary over the generations.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-31 Miguel González , Goetz Kersting , Carmen Minuesa , Inés del Puerto

Guided by the relationship between the breadth-first walk of a rooted tree and its sequence of generation sizes, we are able to include immigration in the Lamperti representation of continuous-state branching processes. We provide a…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-28 M. Emilia Caballero , José Luis Pérez Garmendia , Gerónimo Uribe Bravo

We consider branching particle processes on discrete structures like the hypercube in a random fitness landscape (i.e., random branching/killing rates). The main question is about the location where the main part of the population sits at a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-20 Wolfgang König

We study self-similarity in random binary rooted trees. In a well-understood case of Galton-Watson trees, a distribution on a space of trees is said to be self-similar if it is invariant with respect to the operation of pruning, which cuts…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-14 Yevgeniy Kovchegov , Ilya Zaliapin

We prove a general fluctuation limit theorem for Galton-Watson branching processes with immigration. The limit is a time-inhomogeneous OU type process driven by a spectrally positive Levy process. As applications of this result, we obtain…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-12 Chunhua Ma

Let $(Z_n)$ be a supercritical branching process in a random environment $% \zeta$, and $W$ be the limit of the normalized population size $Z_n/\mathbb{E%}(Z_n|\zeta)$. We show necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-13 Xingang Liang , Quansheng Liu

We consider a class of Crump-Mode-Jagers processes with interaction, constructed by removing a newly born offspring with a probability that depends on the age structure of the population at its birth time. We prove a law of large numbers…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Félix Foutel-Rodier , Emmanuel Schertzer
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