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Related papers: Beta processes, stick-breaking, and power laws

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We show that the acceptance probability for swaps in the parallel tempering Monte Carlo method for classical canonical systems is given by a universal function that depends on the average statistical fluctuations of the potential and on the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 Cristian Predescu , Mihaela Predescu , Cristian V. Ciobanu

We approximate the distribution of the sum of independent but not necessarily identically distributed Bernoulli random variables using a shifted binomial distribution where the three parameters (the number of trials, the probability of…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-02 Vydas Čekanavičius , Erol A. Peköz , Adrian Röllin , Michael Shwartz

Discrete random probability measures are a key ingredient of Bayesian nonparametric inferential procedures. A sample generates ties with positive probability and a fundamental object of both theoretical and applied interest is the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-20 Pierpaolo De Blasi , Ramsés H. Mena , Igor Prünster

A novel method for estimating Bayesian network (BN) parameters from data is presented which provides improved performance on test data. Previous research has shown the value of representing conditional probability distributions (CPDs) via…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Geoff A. Jarrad

Power priors are used for incorporating historical data in Bayesian analyses by taking the likelihood of the historical data raised to the power $\alpha$ as the prior distribution for the model parameters. The power parameter $\alpha$ is…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-27 Samuel Pawel , Frederik Aust , Leonhard Held , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

We study the $\beta$ analogue of the nonintersecting Poisson random walks. We derive a stochastic differential equation of the Stieltjes transform of the empirical measure process, which can be viewed as a dynamical version of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-02 Jiaoyang Huang

Bayesian nonparametric approaches, in particular the Pitman-Yor process and the associated two-parameter Chinese Restaurant process, have been successfully used in applications where the data exhibit a power-law behavior. Examples include…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-06 Fadhel Ayed , Juho Lee , François Caron

A physics-informed machine learning model, in the form of a multi-output Gaussian process, is formulated using the Euler-Bernoulli beam equation. Given appropriate datasets, the model can be used to regress the analytical value of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-08 Gledson Rodrigo Tondo , Sebastian Rau , Igor Kavrakov , Guido Morgenthal

Traditional approaches to estimating beta in finance often involve rigid assumptions and fail to adequately capture beta dynamics, limiting their effectiveness in use cases like hedging. To address these limitations, we have developed a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-29 Yuxin Liu , Jimin Lin , Achintya Gopal

We present a new description of the known large deviation function of the classical symmetric simple exclusion process by exploiting its connection with the quantum symmetric simple exclusion processes and using tools from free probability.…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2023-09-27 Michel Bauer , Denis Bernard , Philippe Biane , Ludwig Hruza

We give a probabilistic introduction to determinantal and permanental point processes. Determinantal processes arise in physics (fermions, eigenvalues of random matrices) and in combinatorics (nonintersecting paths, random spanning trees).…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 J. Ben Hough , Manjunath Krishnapur , Yuval Peres , Bálint Virág

We say that a string of length $d$ occurs, in a Bernoulli sequence, if a success is followed by exactly $(d-1)$ failures before the next success. The counts of such $d$-strings are of interest, and in specific independent Bernoulli…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-15 Fred W. Huffer , Jayaram Sethuraman , Sunder Sethuraman

We consider a system of diffusing particles on the real line in a quadratic external potential and with repulsive electrostatic interaction. The empirical measure process is known to converge weakly to a deterministic measure-valued process…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-23 Martin Bender

We propose a novel spike and slab prior specification with scaled beta prime marginals for the importance parameters of regression coefficients to allow for general effect selection within the class of structured additive distributional…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-30 Nadja Klein , Manuel Carlan , Thomas Kneib , Stefan Lang , Helga Wagner

A Bayesian non-parametric framework for studying time-to-event data is proposed, where the prior distribution is allowed to depend on an additional random source, and may update with the sample size. Such scenarios are natural, for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-06 Martin Bladt , Jorge González Cázares

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) can account for both aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty. However, in BNNs the priors are often specified over the weights which rarely reflects true prior knowledge in large and complex neural network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-25 Vishnu Raj , Tianyu Cui , Markus Heinonen , Pekka Marttinen

To model categorical response variables given their covariates, we propose a permuted and augmented stick-breaking (paSB) construction that one-to-one maps the observed categories to randomly permuted latent sticks. This new construction…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-20 Quan Zhang , Mingyuan Zhou

We discuss a general method to construct correlated binomial distributions by imposing several consistent relations on the joint probability function. We obtain self-consistency relations for the conditional correlations and conditional…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 M. Hisakado , K. Kitsukawa , S. Mori

Beta regression has been extensively used by statisticians and practitioners to model bounded continuous data and there is no strong and similar competitor having its main features. A class of normalized inverse-Gaussian (N-IG) process was…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-12 Wagner Barreto-Souza , Vinícius D. Mayrink , Alexandre B. Simas

Let $X$, $B$ and $Y$ be three Dirichlet, Bernoulli and beta independent random variables such that $X\sim \mathcal{D}(a_0,...,a_d),$ such that $\Pr(B=(0,...,0,1,0,...,0))=a_i/a$ with $a=\sum_{i=0}^da_i$ and such that $Y\sim \beta(1,a).$ We…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-12 Pawel Hitczenko , Gerard Letac