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We develop a mean field theory for sigmoid belief networks based on ideas from statistical mechanics. Our mean field theory provides a tractable approximation to the true probability distribution in these networks; it also yields a lower…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-09-25 L. K. Saul , T. Jaakkola , M. I. Jordan

The Mean Field Approximation (MFA), or continuum method, is often used in courses on Networks to derive the degree distribution of preferential attachment networks. This method is simple and the outcome is close to the correct answer.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-25 Matthijs Ruijgrok

Mean field theory models of percolation on networks provide analytic estimates of network robustness under node or edge removal. We introduce a new mean field theory model based on generating functions that includes information about the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-08-01 Chris Jones , Karoline Wiesner

Machine learning algorithms relying on deep neural networks recently allowed a great leap forward in artificial intelligence. Despite the popularity of their applications, the efficiency of these algorithms remains largely unexplained from…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2020-03-24 Marylou Gabrié

Mean-field analysis is an important tool for understanding dynamics on complex networks. However, surprisingly little attention has been paid to the question of whether mean-field predictions are accurate, and this is particularly true for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-17 James P. Gleeson , Sergey Melnik , Jonathan A. Ward , Mason A. Porter , Peter J. Mucha

Continuous-time Bayesian networks is a natural structured representation language for multicomponent stochastic processes that evolve continuously over time. Despite the compact representation, inference in such models is intractable even…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-05-14 Ido Cohn , Tal El-Hay , Nir Friedman , Raz Kupferman

Many real-world phenomena can be modelled as dynamical processes on networks, a prominent example being the spread of infectious diseases such as COVID-19. Mean-field approximations are a widely used tool to analyse such dynamical processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-25 Jonathan A. Ward , Gábor Timár , Péter L. Simon

Approximating marginals of a graphical model is one of the fundamental problems in the theory of networks. In a recent paper a method was shown to construct a variational free energy such that the linear response estimates, and maximum…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2014-05-01 Jack Raymond , Federico Ricci-Tersenghi

The mean field algorithm is a widely used approximate inference algorithm for graphical models whose exact inference is intractable. In each iteration of mean field, the approximate marginals for each variable are updated by getting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-10-23 Yujia Li , Richard Zemel

We propose a new approximation framework that unifies and generalizes a number of existing mean-field approximation methods for the SIS epidemic model on complex networks. We derive the framework, which we call the Universal Mean-Field…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-12-06 Karel Devriendt , Piet Van Mieghem

The mean field methods, which entail approximating intractable probability distributions variationally with distributions from a tractable family, enjoy high efficiency, guaranteed convergence, and provide lower bounds on the true…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Eric P. Xing , Michael I. Jordan , Stuart Russell

A network is said to have the properties of a small world if a suitably defined average distance between any two nodes is proportional to the logarithm of the number of nodes, $N$. In this paper, we present a novel derivation of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-10-26 Andrew D. Jackson , Subodh P. Patil

Understanding the relationship between the heterogeneous structure of complex networks and cooperative phenomena occurring on them remains a key problem in network science. Mean-field theories of spin models on networks constitute a…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2022-02-10 Fernando L. Metz , Thomas Peron

When the interactions of agents on a network are assumed to follow the Deffuant opinion dynamics model, the outcomes are known to depend on the structure of the underlying network. This behavior cannot be captured by existing mean-field…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-03 Susan C. Fennell , Kevin Burke , Michael Quayle , James P. Gleeson

This work is the continuation of the earlier efforts to apply the mean field approximation to the world sheet formulation of planar phi^3 theory. The previous attempts were either simple but without solid foundation or well founded but…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2014-11-18 Korkut Bardakci

Many methods have been proposed to quantify the predictive uncertainty associated with the outputs of deep neural networks. Among them, ensemble methods often lead to state-of-the-art results, though they require modifications to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Zhiyun Lu , Eugene Ie , Fei Sha

We consider optimizing two-layer neural networks in the mean-field regime where the learning dynamics of network weights can be approximated by the evolution in the space of probability measures over the weight parameters associated with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-19 Jingwei Zhang , Xunpeng Huang , Jincheng Yu

We challenge the longstanding assumption that the mean-field approximation for variational inference in Bayesian neural networks is severely restrictive, and show this is not the case in deep networks. We prove several results indicating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-11 Sebastian Farquhar , Lewis Smith , Yarin Gal

We use the pair heterogeneous mean-field (PHMF) approximation for an asynchronous version of the susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) model to estimate the epidemic thresholds on complex quenched networks. Our results indicate an improvement…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-19 D. S. M. Alencar , T. F. A. Alves , F. W. S. Lima , R. S. Ferreira , G. A. Alves , A. Macedo-Filho

In mathematical models of epidemic diffusion on networks based upon systems of differential equations, it is convenient to use the Heterogeneous Mean Field approximation (HMF) because it allows to write one single equation for all nodes of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-11-12 L. Di Lucchio , G. Modanese
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