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We consider a discrete time hidden Markov model where the signal is a stationary Markov chain. When conditioned on the observations, the signal is a Markov chain in a random environment under the conditional measure. It is shown that this…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-24 Ramon van Handel

It is well known that stationary geometrically ergodic Markov chains are $\beta$-mixing (absolutely regular) with geometrically decaying mixing coefficients. Furthermore, for initial distributions other than the stationary one, geometric…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-04-17 Mika Meitz , Pentti Saikkonen

We provide explicit expressions for the constants involved in the characterisation of ergodicity of sub-geometric Markov chains. The constants are determined in terms of those appearing in the assumed drift and one-step minorisation…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-18 Christophe Andrieu , Gersende Fort , Matti Vihola

We propose a continuous-time Markov-switching generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (COMS-GARCH) process for handling irregularly spaced time series (TS) with multiple volatilities states. We employ a Gibbs sampler in…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-15 Yinan Li , Fang Liu

We consider general Markov chains with discrete time in an arbitrary measurable (phase) space and homogeneous in time. Markov chains are defined by the classical transition function which within the framework of the operator treatment…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-17 Alexander I. Zhdanok

We consider integer-valued GARCH processes, where the count variable conditioned on past values of the count and state variables follows a so-called Skellam distribution. Using arguments for contractive Markov chains we prove that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-14 Paul Doukhan , Naushad Mamode Khan , Michael H. Neumann

We study the ergodic behaviour of a discrete-time process $X$ which is a Markov chain in a stationary random environment. The laws of $X_t$ are shown to converge to a limiting law in (weighted) total variation distance as $t\to\infty$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-29 Balazs Gerencser , Miklos Rasonyi

We establish general conditions under which Markov chains produced by the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo method will and will not be geometrically ergodic. We consider implementations with both position-independent and position-dependent…

Computation · Statistics 2018-11-19 Samuel Livingstone , Michael Betancourt , Simon Byrne , Mark Girolami

We study ergodic properties of a family of traffic maps acting in the space of bi-infinite sequences of real numbers. The corresponding dynamics mimics the motion of vehicles in a simple traffic flow, which explains the name. Using…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-11 Michael Blank

A Markov chain is geometrically ergodic if it converges to its in- variant distribution at a geometric rate in total variation norm. We study geo- metric ergodicity of deterministic and random scan versions of the two-variable Gibbs…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-22 Aixin Tan , Galin L. Jones , James P. Hobert

In this paper, new conditions for the stability of V-geometrically ergodic Markov chains are introduced. The results are based on an extension of the standard perturbation theory formulated by Keller and Liverani. The continuity and higher…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-27 Déborah Ferré , Loïc Hervé , James Ledoux

The AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (ARCH) and its generalized version (GARCH) family of models have grown to encompass a wide range of specifications, each of them is designed to enhance the ability of the model to capture…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 G. R. Jafari , A. Bahraminasab , P. Norouzzadeh

This paper gathers together different conditions which are all equivalent to geometric ergodicity of time-homogeneous Markov chains on general state spaces. A total of 34 different conditions are presented (27 for general chains plus 7 just…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-06 M. A. Gallegos-Herrada , D. Ledvinka , J. S. Rosenthal

We study geometric ergodicity of the Gibbs sampler for linear latent non-Gaussian models (LLnGMs), a class of hierarchical models in which conditional Gaussian structure is preserved through generalized inverse Gaussian (GIG)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Elsiddig Awadelkarim , David Bolin , Xiaotian Jin , Alexandre B. Simas , Jonas Wallin

For discrete-time Markov chains on general state spaces, we establish criteria for non-ergodicity and non-strong ergodicity, and derive sufficient conditions for non-geometric ergodicity via the theory of minimal nonnegative solutions. Our…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-29 Ling-Di Wang , Yu Chen , Yu-Hui Zhang

For Markov processes with absorption, we provide general criteria ensuring the existence and the exponential non-uniform convergence in total variation norm to a quasi-stationary distribution. We also characterize a subset of its domain of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-24 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

For a given ergodic measure preserving transformation T of a standard measure space each finite labelled partition defines an ergodic stationary process. There is a complete metric on the space of partitions which is separable. Various…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-30 Benjamin Weiss

Smooth transition autoregressive models are widely used to capture nonlinearities in univariate and multivariate time series. Existence of stationary solution is typically assumed, implicitly or explicitly. In this paper we describe…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Igor L. Kheifets , Pentti J. Saikkonen

We investigate the well-posedness and long-time behavior of a general continuum neural field model with Gaussian noise on possibly unbounded domains. In particular, we give conditions for the existence of invariant probability measures by…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-21 Anna-Mariya Otsetova , Jonas M. Tölle

We are studying stationary random processes with conditional polynomial moments that allow a continuous path modification. Processes with continuous path modification, are important because they are relatively easy to simulate. One does not…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-21 Paweł J. Szabłowski