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Outcomes of data-driven AI models cannot be assumed to be always correct. To estimate the uncertainty in these outcomes, the uncertainty wrapper framework has been proposed, which considers uncertainties related to model fit, input quality,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-11 Pascal Gerber , Lisa Jöckel , Michael Kläs

In statistics and machine learning, when we train a fitted model on available data, we typically want to ensure that we are searching within a model class that contains at least one accurate model -- that is, we would like to ensure an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-06 Manuel M. Müller , Yuetian Luo , Rina Foygel Barber

In the face of dataset shift, model calibration plays a pivotal role in ensuring the reliability of machine learning systems. Calibration error (CE) is an indicator of the alignment between the predicted probabilities and the classifier…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Teodora Popordanoska , Gorjan Radevski , Tinne Tuytelaars , Matthew B. Blaschko

Miscalibration - a mismatch between a model's confidence and its correctness - of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) makes their predictions hard to rely on. Ideally, we want networks to be accurate, calibrated and confident. We show that, as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Jishnu Mukhoti , Viveka Kulharia , Amartya Sanyal , Stuart Golodetz , Philip H. S. Torr , Puneet K. Dokania

The task of the binary classification problem is to determine which of two distributions has generated a length-$n$ test sequence. The two distributions are unknown; two training sequences of length $N$, one from each distribution, are…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-04-18 Dayu Huang , Sean Meyn

Over past years, the easy accessibility to the large scale datasets has significantly shifted the paradigm for developing highly accurate prediction models that are driven from Neural Network (NN). These models can be potentially impacted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-22 Navid Khoshavi , Saman Sargolzaei , Arman Roohi , Connor Broyles , Yu Bi

Random survival forest and survival trees are popular models in statistics and machine learning. However, there is a lack of general understanding regarding consistency, splitting rules and influence of the censoring mechanism. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-05 Yifan Cui , Ruoqing Zhu , Mai Zhou , Michael Kosorok

Hardware impairments in physical transceivers are known to have a deleterious effect on communication systems; however, very few contributions have investigated their impact on relaying. This paper quantifies the impact of transceiver…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-05-02 Michail Matthaiou , Agisilaos Papadogiannis , Emil Björnson , Mérouane Debbah

Physical transceivers have hardware impairments that create distortions which degrade the performance of communication systems. The vast majority of technical contributions in the area of relaying neglect hardware impairments and, thus,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-05-02 Emil Björnson , Michail Matthaiou , Mérouane Debbah

We consider a distributed detection system with communication constraints, where several nodes are arranged in an arbitrary tree topology, under the assumption of conditionally independent observations. We propose a cyclic design procedure…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-01-23 Alla Tarighati , Joakim Jalden

The fault tolerance of random graphs with unbounded degrees with respect to connectivity is investigated, which relates to the reliability of wireless sensor networks with unreliable relay nodes. The model evaluates the network breakdown…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2019-06-05 Satoshi Takabe , Takafumi Nakano , Tadashi Wadayama

Binary embedding is the problem of mapping points from a high-dimensional space to a Hamming cube in lower dimension while preserving pairwise distances. An efficient way to accomplish this is to make use of fast embedding techniques…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-03-15 Samet Oymak

We introduce and study the problem of posterior inference on tree-structured graphical models in the presence of a malicious adversary who can corrupt some observed nodes. In the well-studied broadcasting on trees model, corresponding to…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-04-02 Samuel B. Hopkins , Anqi Li

Policy learning is a quickly growing area. As robotics and computers control day-to-day life, their error rate needs to be minimized and controlled. There are many policy learning methods and bandit methods with provable error rates that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-31 Michael Rawson , Radu Balan

Neutral macroevolutionary models, such as the Yule model, give rise to a probability distribution on the set of discrete rooted binary trees over a given leaf set. Such models can provide a signal as to the approximate location of the root…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-03-28 Mike Steel

We consider the problem of detecting the source of a rumor which has spread in a network using only observations about which set of nodes are infected with the rumor and with no information as to \emph{when} these nodes became infected. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-04 Devavrat Shah , Tauhid Zaman

In order to certify performance and safety, feedback control requires precise characterization of sensor errors. In this paper, we provide guarantees on such feedback systems when sensors are characterized by solving a supervised learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-20 Sarah Dean , Benjamin Recht

We study how to utilize (possibly erroneous) predictions in a model for computing under uncertainty in which an algorithm can query unknown data. Our aim is to minimize the number of queries needed to solve the minimum spanning tree…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-07-01 Thomas Erlebach , Murilo Santos de Lima , Nicole Megow , Jens Schlöter

We study losses for binary classification and class probability estimation and extend the understanding of them from margin losses to general composite losses which are the composition of a proper loss with a link function. We characterise…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-12-18 Mark D. Reid , Robert C. Williamson

Rooted binary perfect phylogenies provide a generalization of rooted binary unlabeled trees in which each leaf is assigned a positive integer value that corresponds in a biological setting to the count of the number of indistinguishable…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-22 Chloe E. Shiff , Noah A. Rosenberg