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Loss tomography has received considerable attention in recent years and a number of estimators based on maximum likelihood (ML) or Bayesian principles have been proposed. Almost all of the estimators are devoted to the tree topology despite…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Weiping Zhu , Ke Deng

Uncertainty estimation is critical for cost-sensitive deep-learning applications (i.e. disease diagnosis). It is very challenging partly due to the inaccessibility of uncertainty groundtruth in most datasets. Previous works proposed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-18 Bolian Li , Zige Zheng , Changqing Zhang

We revisit the classical, full-fledged Bayesian model averaging (BMA) paradigm to ensemble pre-trained and/or lightly-finetuned foundation models to enhance the classification performance on image and text data. To make BMA tractable under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Mijung Park

Linear mixed models (LMMs) are instrumental for regression analysis with structured dependence, such as grouped, clustered, or multilevel data. However, selection among the covariates--while accounting for this structured…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-20 Daniel R. Kowal

Being able to reliably assess not only the \emph{accuracy} but also the \emph{uncertainty} of models' predictions is an important endeavour in modern machine learning. Even if the model generating the data and labels is known, computing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Lucas Clarté , Bruno Loureiro , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

We introduce a novel class of Bayesian mixtures for normal linear regression models which incorporates a further Gaussian random component for the distribution of the predictor variables. The proposed cluster-weighted model aims to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Panagiotis Papastamoulis , Konstantinos Perrakis

Bayesian averaging over classification models allows the uncertainty of classification outcomes to be evaluated, which is of crucial importance for making reliable decisions in applications such as financial in which risks have to be…

Ensemble techniques are powerful approaches that combine several weak learners to build a stronger one. As a meta learning framework, ensemble techniques can easily be applied to many machine learning techniques. In this paper we propose a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-11-15 Hamideh Hajiabadi , Diego Molla-Aliod , Reza Monsefi

This paper presents a fast decorrelated neuro-ensemble with heterogeneous features for large-scale data analytics, where stochastic configuration networks (SCNs) are employed as base learner models and the well-known negative correlation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-06 Dianhui Wang , Caihao Cui

This article tackles the old problem of prediction via a nonparametric transformation model (NTM) in a new Bayesian way. Estimation of NTMs is known challenging due to model unidentifiability though appealing because of its robust…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-08 Chong Zhong , Jin Yang , Junshan Shen , Catherine Liu , Zhaohai Li

We compare classification and regression tasks in an overparameterized linear model with Gaussian features. On the one hand, we show that with sufficient overparameterization all training points are support vectors: solutions obtained by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-15 Vidya Muthukumar , Adhyyan Narang , Vignesh Subramanian , Mikhail Belkin , Daniel Hsu , Anant Sahai

Three different inferential problems related to a two dimensional categorical data from a Bayesian perspective have been discussed in this article. Conjugate prior distribution with symmetric and asymmetric hyper parameters are considered.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-05 Samyajoy Pal , Christian Heumann , M. Subbiah

Virtually any model we use in machine learning to make predictions does not perfectly represent reality. So, most of the learning happens under model misspecification. In this work, we present a novel analysis of the generalization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-23 Andres R. Masegosa

Complementary-label learning (CLL) is widely used in weakly supervised classification, but it faces a significant challenge in real-world datasets when confronted with class-imbalanced training samples. In such scenarios, the number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-21 Meng Wei , Yong Zhou , Zhongnian Li , Xinzheng Xu

Usually standard algorithms employ a loss where each error is the mere absolute difference between the true value and the prediction, in case of a regression task. In the present, we introduce several error weighting schemes that are a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Filippo Portera

Models are often misspecified in practice, making model criticism a key part of Bayesian analysis. It is important to detect not only when a model is wrong, but which aspects are wrong, and to do so in a computationally convenient and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-15 Christian T. Covington , Jeffrey W. Miller

Survival models are used in various fields, such as the development of cancer treatment protocols. Although many statistical and machine learning models have been proposed to achieve accurate survival predictions, little attention has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-26 Hrushikesh Loya , Pranav Poduval , Deepak Anand , Neeraj Kumar , Amit Sethi

While deep neural networks are highly performant and successful in a wide range of real-world problems, estimating their predictive uncertainty remains a challenging task. To address this challenge, we propose and implement a loss function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-14 Tony Tohme , Kevin Vanslette , Kamal Youcef-Toumi

Both uncertainty estimation and interpretability are important factors for trustworthy machine learning systems. However, there is little work at the intersection of these two areas. We address this gap by proposing a novel method for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-19 Javier Antorán , Umang Bhatt , Tameem Adel , Adrian Weller , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

In high-dimensional classification settings, we wish to seek a balance between high power and ensuring control over a desired loss function. In many settings, the points most likely to be misclassified are those who lie near the decision…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-06 Arun Srinivasan