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Probabilistic regression models the entire predictive distribution of a response variable, offering richer insights than classical point estimates and directly allowing for uncertainty quantification. While diffusion-based generative models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Carlo Kneissl , Christopher Bülte , Philipp Scholl , Gitta Kutyniok

In all areas of human knowledge, datasets are increasing in both size and complexity, creating the need for richer statistical models. This trend is also true for economic data, where high-dimensional and nonlinear/nonparametric inference…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-12-23 Dimitris Korobilis , Kenichi Shimizu

We present a simple method for assessing the predictive performance of high-dimensional models directly in data space when only samples are available. Our approach is to compare the quantiles of observables predicted by a model to those of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-01-16 Stephen Thorp , Hiranya V. Peiris , Daniel J. Mortlock , Justin Alsing , Boris Leistedt , Sinan Deger

This paper begins with a description of methods for estimating image probability density functions that reflects the observation that such data is usually constrained to lie in restricted regions of the high-dimensional image space-not…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Peter Tu , Zhaoyuan Yang , Richard Hartley , Zhiwei Xu , Jing Zhang , Yiwei Fu , Dylan Campbell , Jaskirat Singh , Tianyu Wang

Bayesian learning is built on an assumption that the model space contains a true reflection of the data generating mechanism. This assumption is problematic, particularly in complex data environments. Here we present a Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-05 S. P. Lyddon , S. G. Walker , C. C. Holmes

In this paper, we develop a finite mixture of convolutional distributions, a statistical model to analyze continuous data distributed approximately on a mixture of low-dimensional affine subspaces. The observations are assumed independent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Sunrit Chakraborty , XuanLong Nguyen

In many applications, data can be heterogeneous in the sense of spanning latent groups with different underlying distributions. When predictive models are applied to such data the heterogeneity can affect both predictive performance and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-04 Thomas Lartigue , Sach Mukherjee

A nonparanormal graphical model is a semiparametric generalization of a Gaussian graphical model for continuous variables in which it is assumed that the variables follow a Gaussian graphical model only after some unknown smooth monotone…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-23 Jami J. Mulgrave , Subhashis Ghosal

Nonparametric density estimation is an unsupervised learning problem. In this work we propose a two-step procedure that casts the density estimation problem in the first step into a supervised regression problem. The advantage is that we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Thijs Bos , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

We formulate an optimization problem to estimate probability densities in the context of multidimensional problems that are sampled with uneven probability. It considers detector sensitivity as an heterogeneous density and takes advantage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Aleix Boquet-Pujadas , Pol del Aguila Pla , Michael Unser

The goal of supervised representation learning is to construct effective data representations for prediction. Among all the characteristics of an ideal nonparametric representation of high-dimensional complex data, sufficiency, low…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-02 Jian Huang , Yuling Jiao , Xu Liao , Jin Liu , Zhou Yu

We investigate density estimation from a $n$-sample in the Euclidean space $\mathbb R^D$, when the data is supported by an unknown submanifold $M$ of possibly unknown dimension $d < D$ under a reach condition. We study nonparametric kernel…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-02 Clément Berenfeld , Marc Hoffmann

Symmetric binary matrices representing relations among entities are commonly collected in many areas. Our focus is on dynamically evolving binary relational matrices, with interest being in inference on the relationship structure and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-11 Daniele Durante , David B. Dunson

Machine learning models have achieved widespread success but often inherit and amplify historical biases, resulting in unfair outcomes. Traditional fairness methods typically impose constraints at the prediction level, without addressing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-10 Enze Shi , Pankaj Bhagwat , Zhixian Yang , Linglong Kong , Bei Jiang

Deep generative models are rapidly gaining traction in medical imaging. Nonetheless, most generative architectures struggle to capture the underlying probability distributions of volumetric data, exhibit convergence problems, and offer no…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-29 Guilherme Pombo , Robert Gray , Tom Varsavsky , John Ashburner , Parashkev Nachev

Spike-and-slab and horseshoe regression are arguably the most popular Bayesian variable selection approaches for linear regression models. However, their performance can deteriorate if outliers and heteroskedasticity are present in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-20 Alberto Cabezas , Marco Battiston , Christopher Nemeth

In the supervised learning domain, considering the recent prevalence of algorithms with high computational cost, the attention is steering towards simpler, lighter, and less computationally extensive training and inference approaches. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-02 Antonello Rosato , Massimo Panella , Denis Kleyko

Many approaches in the field of machine learning and data analysis rely on the assumption that the observed data lies on lower-dimensional manifolds. This assumption has been verified empirically for many real data sets. To make use of this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-27 Erik Thordsen , Erich Schubert

An important challenge in statistical analysis concerns the control of the finite sample bias of estimators. For example, the maximum likelihood estimator has a bias that can result in a significant inferential loss. This problem is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-04 Stéphane Guerrier , Mucyo Karemera , Samuel Orso , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser

Deep neural networks are often ignorant about what they do not know and overconfident when they make uninformed predictions. Some recent approaches quantify classification uncertainty directly by training the model to output high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Murat Sensoy , Lance Kaplan , Federico Cerutti , Maryam Saleki