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Composite likelihood has shown promise in settings where the number of parameters $p$ is large due to its ability to break down complex models into simpler components, thus enabling inference even when the full likelihood is not tractable.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-21 Claudia Di Caterina , Davide Ferrari

A stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) approach is presented for discrete-time linear systems with arbitrary time-invariant probabilistic uncertainties and additive Gaussian process noise. Closed-loop stability of the SMPC approach is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-03-17 Joel A. Paulson , Stefan Streif , Ali Mesbah

This article revisits the fundamental problem of parameter selection for Gaussian process interpolation. By choosing the mean and the covariance functions of a Gaussian process within parametric families, the user obtains a family of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-09 Sébastien Petit , Julien Bect , Paul Feliot , Emmanuel Vazquez

In comparative studies, such as in causal inference and clinical trials, balancing important covariates is often one of the most important concerns for both efficient and credible comparison. However, chance imbalance still exists in many…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-30 Yichen Qin , Yang Li , Wei Ma , Feifang Hu

Conformal prediction offers a distribution-free framework for constructing prediction sets with coverage guarantees. In practice, multiple valid conformal prediction sets may be available, arising from different models or methodologies.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-26 Mahmoud Hegazy , Liviu Aolaritei , Michael I. Jordan , Aymeric Dieuleveut

This work develops a stochastic model predictive controller~(SMPC) for uncertain linear systems with additive Gaussian noise subject to state and control constraints. The proposed approach is based on the recently developed finite-horizon…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-26 Kazuhide Okamoto , Panagiotis Tsiotras

Recent work has shown that models trained to the same objective, and which achieve similar measures of accuracy on consistent test data, may nonetheless behave very differently on individual predictions. This inconsistency is undesirable in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-17 Emily Black , Klas Leino , Matt Fredrikson

Ensuring safety through set invariance has proven to be a valuable method in various robotics and control applications. This paper introduces a comprehensive framework for the safe probabilistic invariance verification of both discrete- and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-06 Taoran Wu , Yiqing Yu , Bican Xia , Ji Wang , Bai Xue

Weighted Majority Voting (WMV) is a well-known optimal decision rule for collective decision making, given the probability of sources to provide accurate information (trustworthiness). However, in reality, the trustworthiness is not a known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Shaojie Bai , Dongxia Wang , Tim Muller , Peng Cheng , Jiming Chen

Consider the normal linear regression setup when the number of covariates p is much larger than the sample size n, and the covariates form correlated groups. The response variable y is not related to an entire group of covariates in all or…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-06 Pranay Agarwal , Subhajit Dutta , Minerva Mukhopadhyay

This paper presents a novel algorithm for solving distribution steering problems featuring nonlinear dynamics and chance constraints. Covariance steering (CS) is an emerging methodology in stochastic optimal control that poses constraints…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Akash Ratheesh , Vincent Pacelli , Augustinos D. Saravanos , Evangelos A. Theodorou

In machine learning, it is commonly assumed that training and test data share the same population distribution. However, this assumption is often violated in practice because the sample selection bias may induce the distribution shift from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Kun Kuang , Hengtao Zhang , Fei Wu , Yueting Zhuang , Aijun Zhang

We propose a method for variable selection in the intensity function of spatial point processes that combines sparsity-promoting estimation with noise-robust model selection. As high-resolution spatial data becomes increasingly available…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-30 Dominik Sturm , Ivo F. Sbalzarini

Self-similarity of systems is very popular and intensively developing field during last decades. To this field belong so-called stable distributions and their generalization. In Klebanov and Sl\'amov\'a (2014) there was given an approach to…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-19 Lev B. Klebanov , Lenka Slámová , Ashot Kakosyan , Gregory Temnov

To model combinatorial decision problems involving uncertainty and probability, we introduce stochastic constraint programming. Stochastic constraint programs contain both decision variables (which we can set) and stochastic variables…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-03-09 Toby Walsh

An improved mixture of probabilistic principal component analysis (PPCA) has been introduced for nonlinear data-driven process monitoring in this paper. To realize this purpose, the technique of a mixture of probabilistic principal…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-15 Jingxin Zhang , Hao Chen , Songhang Chen , Xia Hong

While techniques have been developed for chance constrained stochastic optimal control using sample disturbance data that provide a probabilistic confidence bound for chance constraint satisfaction, far less is known about how to use sample…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-31 Shawn Priore , Meeko Oishi

This paper studies the problem of selecting a minimum-size set of input nodes to guarantee stability of a networked system in the presence of uncertainties and time delays. Current approaches to input selection in networked dynamical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-13 Zhipeng Liu , Yao Long , Andrew Clark , Phillip Lee , Linda Bushnell , Daniel Kirschen , Radha Poovendran

We propose novel controller synthesis techniques for probabilistic systems modelled using stochastic two-player games: one player acts as a controller, the second represents its environment, and probability is used to capture uncertainty…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Klaus Drager , Vojtech Forejt , Marta Kwiatkowska , David Parker , Mateusz Ujma

Control systems operating in the real world face countless sources of unpredictable uncertainties. These random disturbances can render deterministic guarantees inapplicable and cause catastrophic safety failures. To overcome this, this…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-10 Pol Mestres , Blake Werner , Ryan K. Cosner , Aaron D. Ames