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This paper considers the problem of computing Bayesian estimates of both states and model parameters for nonlinear state-space models. Generally, this problem does not have a tractable solution and approximations must be utilised. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-15 Jarrad Courts , Johannes Hendriks , Adrian Wills , Thomas Schön , Brett Ninness

We revisit the problem of estimating the mean of a real-valued distribution, presenting a novel estimator with sub-Gaussian convergence: intuitively, "our estimator, on any distribution, is as accurate as the sample mean is for the Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-18 Jasper C. H. Lee , Paul Valiant

In various statistical settings, the goal is to estimate a function which is restricted by the statistical model only through a conditional moment restriction. Prominent examples include the nonparametric instrumental variable framework for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-28 AmirEmad Ghassami , James M. Robins , Andrea Rotnitzky

The seminal papers of Pickands [1,2] paved the way for a systematic study of high exceedance probabilities of both stationary and non-stationary Gaussian processes. Yet, in the vector-valued setting, due to the lack of key tools including…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-18 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Longmin Wang

This paper presents a general framework for the estimation of regression models with circular covariates, where the conditional distribution of the response given the covariate can be specified through a parametric model. The estimation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-06 María Alonso-Pena , Irène Gijbels , Rosa M. Crujeiras

We introduce a Bayesian Gaussian process latent variable model that explicitly captures spatial correlations in data using a parameterized spatial kernel and leveraging structure-exploiting algebra on the model covariance matrices for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-23 Steven Atkinson , Nicholas Zabaras

The paper deals with planar segment processes given by a density with respect to the Poisson process. Parametric models involve reference distributions of directions and/or lengths of segments. These distributions generally do not coincide…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-30 Viktor Benes , Jakub Vecera , Milan Pultar

In this paper, we consider the problem of distributed parameter estimation in sensor networks. Each sensor makes successive observations of an unknown $d$-dimensional parameter, which might be subject to Gaussian random noises. They aim to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-22 Jiaqi Yan , Hideaki Ishii

We study the problem of estimability of means in undirected graphical Gaussian models with symmetry restrictions represented by a colored graph. Following on from previous studies, we partition the variables into sets of vertices whose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-24 Helene Gehrmann , Steffen L. Lauritzen

Standard regression adjustment gives inconsistent estimates of causal effects when there are time-varying treatment effects and time-varying covariates. Loosely speaking, the issue is that some covariates are post-treatment variables…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 Stephen Bates , Edward Kennedy , Robert Tibshirani , Valerie Ventura , Larry Wasserman

Quantile regression is a powerful tool for inferring how covariates affect specific percentiles of the response distribution. Existing methods either estimate conditional quantiles separately for each quantile of interest or estimate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-19 Joseph Feldman , Daniel Kowal

Gaussian process regression in its most simplified form assumes normal homoscedastic noise and utilizes analytically tractable mean and covariance functions of predictive posterior distribution using Gaussian conditioning. Its…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-20 Pooja Algikar , Lamine Mili

Quantile regression is a powerful tool for detecting exposure-outcome associations given covariates across different parts of the outcome's distribution, but has two major limitations when the aim is to infer the effect of an exposure.…

This work studies properties of the conditional mean estimator in vector Poisson noise. The main emphasis is to study conditions on prior distributions that induce linearity of the conditional mean estimator. The paper consists of two main…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-12-02 Alex Dytso , Michael Fauss , H. Vincent Poor

Finite sample bounds on the estimation error of the mean by the empirical mean, uniform over a class of functions, can often be conveniently obtained in terms of Rademacher or Gaussian averages of the class. If a function of n variables has…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-10 Andreas Maurer

We consider the problem of distributedly estimating Gaussian processes in multi-agent frameworks. Each agent collects few measurements and aims to collaboratively reconstruct a common estimate based on all data. Agents are assumed with…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2018-05-11 Gianluigi Pillonetto , Luca Schenato , Damiano Varagnolo

We study the regular conditional law of mixed Gaussian Volterra processes under the influence of model disturbances. More precisely, we study prediction of Gaussian Volterra processes driven by a Brownian motion in a case where the Brownian…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-23 Tommi Sottinen , Lauri Viitasaari

In this work, we employ the Bayesian inference framework to solve the problem of estimating the solution and particularly, its derivatives, which satisfy a known differential equation, from the given noisy and scarce observations of the…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-09 Hongqiao Wang , Xiang Zhou

We consider the problem of frequency estimation of the periodic signal multiplied by a stationary Gaussian process (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck) and observed in the presence of the white Gaussian noise. We show the consistency and asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-10 O. V. Chernoyarov , Yu. A. Kutoyants

The statistical analysis for equations driven by fractional Gaussian process (fGp) is relatively recent. The development of stochastic calculus with respect to the fGp allowed to study such models. In the present paper we consider the drift…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-28 Mohamed El Machkouri , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Youssef Ouknine
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