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We consider the problem of nonparametric regression under shape constraints. The main examples include isotonic regression (with respect to any partial order), unimodal/convex regression, additive shape-restricted regression, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-03 Adityanand Guntuboyina , Bodhisattva Sen

Much is now known about the consistency of Bayesian updating on infinite-dimensional parameter spaces with independent or Markovian data. Necessary conditions for consistency include the prior putting enough weight on the correct…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-18 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

We address the issue of variable selection in the regression model with very high ambient dimension, i.e., when the number of covariates is very large. The main focus is on the situation where the number of relevant covariates, called…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-21 Laëtitia Comminges , Arnak Dalalyan

We study frequentist asymptotic properties of Bayesian procedures for high-dimensional Gaussian sparse regression when unknown nuisance parameters are involved. Nuisance parameters can be finite-, high-, or infinite-dimensional. A mixture…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-18 Seonghyun Jeong , Subhashis Ghosal

We propose a general method to carry out a valid Bayesian analysis of a finite-dimensional `targeted' parameter in the presence of a finite-dimensional nuisance parameter. We apply our methods to causal inference based on estimating…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Magid Sabbagh , David A. Stephens

I prove a semiparametric Bernstein-von Mises theorem for a partially linear regression model with independent priors for the low-dimensional parameter of interest and the infinite-dimensional nuisance parameters. My result avoids a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-08 Christopher D. Walker

This paper is devoted to the problem of determining the concentration bounds that are achievable in non-parametric regression. We consider the setting where features are supported on a bounded subset of $\mathbb{R}^d$, the regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-02 Anna Ben-Hamou , Arnaud Guyader

Statistical modeling and inference problems with sample sizes substantially smaller than the number of available covariates are challenging. Chakraborty et al. (2012) did a full hierarchical Bayesian analysis of nonlinear regression in such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-14 Xiao Fang , Malay Ghosh

We propose a new Bayesian strategy for adaptation to smoothness in nonparametric models based on heavy tailed series priors. We illustrate it in a variety of settings, showing in particular that the corresponding Bayesian posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-30 Sergios Agapiou , Ismaël Castillo

We consider a high-dimensional sparse normal means model where the goal is to estimate the mean vector assuming the proportion of non-zero means is unknown. We model the mean vector by a one-group global-local shrinkage prior belonging to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-19 Sayantan Paul , Arijit Chakrabarti

Scale-mixture shrinkage priors have recently been shown to possess robust empirical performance and excellent theoretical properties such as model selection consistency and (near) minimax posterior contraction rates. In this paper, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-27 Ahmed Alhamzawi , Gorgees Shaheed Mohammad

Robust Bayesian linear regression is a classical but essential statistical tool. Although novel robustness properties of posterior distributions have been proved recently under a certain class of error distributions, their sufficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-23 Yasuyuki Hamura , Kaoru Irie , Shonosuke Sugasawa

The power-expected-posterior (PEP) prior is an objective prior for Gaussian linear models, which leads to consistent model selection inference, under the M-closed scenario, and tends to favor parsimonious models. Recently, two new forms of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-22 Dimitris Fouskakis , Ioannis Ntzoufras , Konstantinos Perrakis

In this paper, we study nonparametric models allowing for locally stationary regressors and a regression function that changes smoothly over time. These models are a natural extension of time series models with time-varying coefficients. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Michael Vogt

Although continuous density estimation has received abundant attention in the Bayesian nonparametrics literature, there is limited theory on multivariate mixed scale density estimation. In this note, we consider a general framework to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-26 Antonio Canale , David B. Dunson

We investigate the frequentist coverage properties of Bayesian credible sets in a general, adaptive, nonparametric framework. It is well known that the construction of adaptive and honest confidence sets is not possible in general. To…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-05 Judith Rousseau , Botond Szabo

The problem of sequential probability forecasting is considered in the most general setting: a model set C is given, and it is required to predict as well as possible if any of the measures (environments) in C is chosen to generate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-25 Daniil Ryabko

A partially linear probit model for spatially dependent data is considered. A triangular array setting is used to cover various patterns of spatial data. Conditional spatial heteroscedasticity and non-identically distributed observations…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-13 Ahmed , Dabo

Bayesian inverse problems use observed data to update a prior probability distribution for an unknown state or parameter of a scientific system to a posterior distribution conditioned on the data. In many applications, the unknown parameter…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Josie König , Elizabeth Qian , Melina A. Freitag

This paper studies implications of the consistency conditions among prior, posteriors, and information sets on introspective properties of qualitative belief induced from information sets. The main result reformulates the consistency…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-07-23 Satoshi Fukuda
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