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Entropy notions for $\varepsilon$-incremental practical stability and incremental stability of deterministic nonlinear systems under disturbances are introduced. The entropy notions are constructed via a set of points in state space which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-13 Michelle S. Chong

The maximum entropy ansatz, as it is often invoked in the context of time-series analysis, suggests the selection of a power spectrum which is consistent with autocorrelation data and corresponds to a random process least predictable from…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-07-19 Tryphon T. Georgiou

Causal structures give us a way to understand the origin of observed correlations. These were developed for classical scenarios, but quantum mechanical experiments necessitate their generalisation. Here we study causal structures in a broad…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-06-30 Mirjam Weilenmann , Roger Colbeck

We propose utilizing entropy as a diagnostic tool to distinguish between constant and dynamical dark energy models. Entropy, a measure of the system's disorder or information content, captures the complexity and evolution of the universe.…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2025-07-16 Tanisha Joshi

In this paper we revisit the concept of mobility entropy. Over time, the structure of spatial interactions among urban centres tends to become more complex and evolves from centralised models to more scattered origin and destination…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-30 Valentina Marin , Carlos Molinero , Elsa Arcaute

Evaluating the performance of causal discovery algorithms that aim to find causal relationships between time-dependent processes remains a challenging topic. In this paper, we show that certain characteristics of datasets, such as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Christopher Lohse , Jonas Wahl

We develop a novel identification strategy as well as a new estimator for context-dependent causal inference in non-parametric triangular models with non-separable disturbances. Departing from the common practice, our analysis does not rely…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-09 Nir Billfeld , Moshe Kim

The broad abundance of time series data, which is in sharp contrast to limited knowledge of the underlying network dynamic processes that produce such observations, calls for a rigorous and efficient method of causal network inference. Here…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-05-19 Jie Sun , Dane Taylor , Erik M. Bollt

Multivariate time series in domains such as finance, climate science, and healthcare often exhibit long-term trends, seasonal patterns, and short-term fluctuations, complicating causal inference under non-stationarity and autocorrelation.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-29 Muhammad Hasan Ferdous , Md Osman Gani

While probabilistic models describe the dependence structure between observed variables, causal models go one step further: they predict, for example, how cognitive functions are affected by external interventions that perturb neuronal…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-12 Sebastian Weichwald , Jonas Peters

We analyze the statistical complexity vs. entropy plane-representation of sampled chaotic attractors as a function of the sampling period {\tau}. It is shown that if the Bandt and Pompe procedure is used to assign a probability distribution…

Predicting the response of nonlinear dynamical systems subject to random, broadband excitation is important across a range of scientific disciplines, such as structural dynamics and neuroscience. Building data-driven models requires…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-27 Joseph Massingham , Ole Nielsen , Tore Butlin

Uncovering causal relationships is a fundamental problem across science and engineering. However, most existing causal discovery methods assume acyclicity and direct access to the system variables -- assumptions that fail to hold in many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Muralikrishnna G. Sethuraman , Faramarz Fekri

Inferring the coupling structure of complex systems from time series data in general by means of statistical and information-theoretic techniques is a challenging problem in applied science. The reliability of statistical inferences…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-11-20 Jie Sun , Carlo Cafaro , Erik M. Bollt

Complex dynamical systems are prevalent in many scientific disciplines. In the analysis of such systems two aspects are of particular interest: 1) the temporal patterns along which they evolve and 2) the underlying causal mechanisms.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-31 Nicolas-Domenic Reiter , Andreas Gerhardus , Jakob Runge

Machine Learning explainability techniques have been proposed as a means of `explaining' or interrogating a model in order to understand why a particular decision or prediction has been made. Such an ability is especially important at a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-28 Matthew J. Vowels

We study the distribution of maxima (Extreme Value Statistics) for sequences of observables computed along orbits generated by random transformations. The underlying, deterministic, dynamical system can be regular or chaotic. In the former…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-11 Davide Faranda , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Valerio Lucarini , Giorgio Turchetti , Sandro Vaienti

We discuss how the ideal formalism of Computational Mechanics can be adapted to apply to a non-infinite series of corrupted and correlated data, that is typical of most observed natural time series. Specifically, a simple filter that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Richard W. Clarke , Mervyn P. Freeman , Nicholas W. Watkins

Multiple metrics have been developed to detect causality relations between data describing the elements constituting complex systems, all of them considering their evolution through time. Here we propose a metric able to detect causality…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-05-20 Massimiliano Zanin

An overdamped system with a linear restoring force and two multiplicative colored noises is considered. Noise amplitudes depend on the system state $x$ as $x$ and $|x|^{\alpha}$. An exactly soluble model of a system is constructed due to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. N. Vitrenko
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