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A computationally efficient method for online joint state inference and dynamical model learning is presented. The dynamical model combines an a priori known, physically derived, state-space model with a radial basis function expansion…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-12 Anton Kullberg , Isaac Skog , Gustaf Hendeby

This paper studies the sample-efficiency of learning in Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs), a challenging problem in reinforcement learning that is known to be exponentially hard in the worst-case. Motivated by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-07 Jiacheng Guo , Minshuo Chen , Huan Wang , Caiming Xiong , Mengdi Wang , Yu Bai

The objective of this article is to study the asymptotic behavior of a new particle filtering approach in the context of hidden Markov models (HMMs). In particular, we develop an algorithm where the latent-state sequence is segmented into…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-16 Hock Peng Chan , Chiang Wee Heng , Ajay Jasra

We develop a (nearly) unbiased particle filtering algorithm for a specific class of continuous-time state-space models, such that (a) the latent process $X_t$ is a linear Gaussian diffusion; and (b) the observations arise from a Poisson…

Computation · Statistics 2023-11-07 Ruiyang Jin , Sumeetpal S. Singh , Nicolas Chopin

State estimation for a class of linear time-invariant systems with distributed output measurements (distributed sensors) and unknown inputs is addressed in this paper. The objective is to design a network of observers such that the state…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-12 Guitao Yang , Angelo Barboni , Hamed Rezaee , Thomas Parisini

The Kalman filter (KF) is used in a variety of applications for computing the posterior distribution of latent states in a state space model. The model requires a linear relationship between states and observations. Extensions to the Kalman…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-31 Michael C. Burkhart , David M. Brandman , Carlos E. Vargas-Irwin , Matthew T. Harrison

Event-based sampling has been proposed as a general technique for lowering the average communication rate in remote state estimation, which can be important in scenarios with constraints on resources such as network bandwidth or sensor…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-29 Johan Ruuskanen , Anton Cervin

Data generated from dynamical systems with unknown dynamics enable the learning of state observers that are: robust to modeling error, computationally tractable to design, and capable of operating with guaranteed performance. In this paper,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-28 Ankush Chakrabarty , Mouhacine Benosman

New technologies for recording the activity of large neural populations during complex behavior provide exciting opportunities for investigating the neural computations that underlie perception, cognition, and decision-making. Nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-30 Yuan Zhao , Il Memming Park

State-space models (SSMs) are a powerful statistical tool for modelling time-varying systems via a latent state. In these models, the latent state is never directly observed. Instead, a sequence of observations related to the state is…

Computation · Statistics 2025-03-25 Benjamin Cox , Emilie Chouzenoux , Victor Elvira

In this paper, we describe a novel approach to imitation learning that infers latent policies directly from state observations. We introduce a method that characterizes the causal effects of latent actions on observations while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-14 Ashley D. Edwards , Himanshu Sahni , Yannick Schroecker , Charles L. Isbell

This paper proposes a new estimation algorithm for the parameters of an HMM as to best account for the observed data. In this model, in addition to the observation sequence, we have \emph{partial} and \emph{noisy} access to the hidden state…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-22 Huseyin Ozkan , Arda Akman , Suleyman S. Kozat

Traditional state estimation methods rely on probabilistic assumptions that often collapse epistemic uncertainty into scalar beliefs, risking overconfidence in sparse or adversarial sensing environments. We introduce the Epistemic…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-08-29 Moriba Jah , Van Haslett

To improve the physical understanding and the predictions of complex dynamic systems, such as ocean dynamics and weather predictions, it is of paramount interest to identify interpretable models from coarsely and off-grid sampled…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-05-04 Gert-Jan Both , Georges Tod , Remy Kusters

Predictive state representations (PSRs) offer an expressive framework for modelling partially observable systems. By compactly representing systems as functions of observable quantities, the PSR learning approach avoids using local-minima…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-07-22 William L. Hamilton , Mahdi Milani Fard , Joelle Pineau

How an agent can act optimally in stochastic, partially observable domains is a challenge problem, the standard approach to address this issue is to learn the domain model firstly and then based on the learned model to find the (near)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-06-13 Yunlong Liu , Jianyang Zheng

State-space models provide an important body of techniques for analyzing time-series, but their use requires estimating unobserved states. The optimal estimate of the state is its conditional expectation given the observation histories, and…

Reinforcement learning in partially observable environments is typically challenging, as it requires agents to learn an estimate of the underlying system state. These challenges are exacerbated in multi-agent settings, where agents learn…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-04-14 Paul J. Pritz , Kin K. Leung

We present a general framework for classifying partially observed dynamical systems based on the idea of learning in the model space. In contrast to the existing approaches using model point estimates to represent individual data items, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-19 Yuan Shen , Peter Tino , Krasimira Tsaneva-Atanasova

Poyiadjis et al. (2011) show how particle methods can be used to estimate both the score and the observed information matrix for state space models. These methods either suffer from a computational cost that is quadratic in the number of…

Computation · Statistics 2015-09-07 Christopher Nemeth , Paul Fearnhead , Lyudmila Mihaylova