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We study the numerical solution of nonlinear partially observed optimal stopping problems. The system state is taken to be a multi-dimensional diffusion and drives the drift of the observation process, which is another multi-dimensional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-01-20 Mike Ludkovski

The studied model was suggested to design a perfect hedging strategy for a large trader. In this case the implementation of a hedging strategy affects the price of the underlying security. The feedback-effect leads to a nonlinear version of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2010-04-08 Ljudmila A. Bordag

The second in a two-part series, this paper extends the 3rd-order Spectral Representation Method for simulation of ergodic multi-variate stochastic processes according to a prescribed cross power spectral density and cross bispectral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-26 Lohit Vandanapu , Michael D. Shields

Bayesian inference with stochastic models is often difficult because their likelihood functions involve high-dimensional integrals. Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) avoids evaluating the likelihood function and instead infers model…

We introduce an exact Monte Carlo approach to the statistics of discrete quantum systems which does not rely on the standard fragmentation of the imaginary time, or any small parameter. The method deals with discrete objects, kinks,…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 N. V. Prokof'ev , B. V. Svistunov , I. S. Tupitsyn

The purpose of this article is to introduce a new L\'evy process, termed Variance Gamma++ process, to model the dynamic of assets in illiquid markets. Such a process has the mathematical tractability of the Variance Gamma process and is…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-03 M. Gardini , P. Sabino , E. Sasso

An implicit variable-step BDF2 scheme is established for solving the space fractional Cahn-Hilliard equation, involving the fractional Laplacian, derived from a gradient flow in the negative order Sobolev space $H^{-\alpha}$,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-06-26 Xuan Zhao , Zhongqin Xue

We study coarsening phenomena in three different simple exclusion processes with quenched disordered jump rates. In the case of the totally asymmetric process, an earlier phenomenological description is improved, yielding for the time…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-06-05 R. Juhász , G. Ódor

Models of stochastic processes are widely used in almost all fields of science. Theory validation, parameter estimation, and prediction all require model calibration and statistical inference using data. However, data are almost always…

Computation · Statistics 2022-09-07 David J. Warne , Thomas P. Prescott , Ruth E. Baker , Matthew J. Simpson

We study a variance reduction strategy based on control variables for simulating the averaged macroscopic behavior of a stochastic slow-fast system. We assume that this averaged behavior can be written in terms of a few slow degrees of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-09-16 Ward Melis , Giovanni Samaey

This paper considers binomial approximation of continuous time stochastic processes. It is shown that, under some mild integrability conditions, a process can be approximated in mean square sense and in other strong metrics by binomial…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-09 Nikolai Dokuchaev

Predicting a fast and accurate model for stock price forecasting is been a challenging task and this is an active area of research where it is yet to be found which is the best way to forecast the stock price. Machine learning, deep…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-13 Himanshu Gupta , Aditya Jaiswal

Log and square root transformations of target variable are routinely used in forecasting models to predict future sales. These transformations often lead to better performing models. However, they also introduce a systematic negative bias…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-29 Sushant More

We develop several deep learning algorithms for approximating families of parametric PDE solutions. The proposed algorithms approximate solutions together with their gradients, which in the context of mathematical finance means that the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-19 Marc Sabate Vidales , David Siska , Lukasz Szpruch

We study an optimal multiple stopping problem for call-type payoff driven by a spectrally negative Levy process. The stopping times are separated by constant refraction times, and the discount rate can be positive or negative. The…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-11 Tim Leung , Kazutoshi Yamazaki , Hongzhong Zhang

The mean-variance hedging (MVH) problem is studied in a partially observable market where the drift processes can only be inferred through the observation of asset or index processes. Although most of the literatures treat the MVH problem…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-26 Masaaki Fujii , Akihiko Takahashi

We introduce a stacking version of the Monte Carlo algorithm in the context of option pricing. Introduced recently for aeronautic computations, this simple technique, in the spirit of current machine learning ideas, learns control variates…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-27 Antoine Jacquier , Emma R. Malone , Mugad Oumgari

We focus on mean-variance hedging problem for models whose asset price follows an exponential additive process. Some representations of mean-variance hedging strategies for jump type models have already been suggested, but none is suited to…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-23 Takuji Arai , Yuto Imai

This paper presents a numerical model to solve the problem of cash accumulation strategies for products with an unknown future price, like assets. Stock prices are modeled by a discretized Wiener Process, and by the means of ordinary…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-07 Renko Siebols

In this paper, we present extensions of the exact simulation algorithm introduced by Beskos et al. (2006). First, a modification in the order in which the simulation is done accelerates the algorithm. In addition, we propose a truncated…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-14 Victor Reutenauer , Etienne Tanré