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Earth's temperature variability can be partitioned into internal and externally-forced components. Yet, underlying mechanisms and their relative contributions remain insufficiently understood, especially on decadal to centennial timescales.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-02-01 Maybritt Schillinger , Beatrice Ellerhoff , Robert Scheichl , Kira Rehfeld

This paper describes the application of stochastic grey-box modeling to identify electrical power consumption-to-temperature models of a domestic freezer using experimental measurements. The models are formulated using stochastic…

Stochastic methods are ubiquitous to a variety of fields, ranging from Physics to Economy and Mathematics. In many cases, in the investigation of natural processes, stochasticity arises every time one considers the dynamics of a system in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-08-02 Robert Biele , Roberto D'Agosta

We consider statistics for stochastic evolution equations in Hilbert space with emphasis on stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). We observe a solution process under additional measurement errors and want to estimate a real or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-21 Gregor Pasemann , Markus Reiß

Stochastic methods are a crucial area in contemporary climate research and are increasingly being used in comprehensive weather and climate prediction models as well as reduced order climate models. Stochastic methods are used as…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-11-16 Christian L. E. Franzke , Terence J. O'Kane , Judith Berner , Paul D. Williams , Valerio Lucarini

A numerical model based on the finite-difference time-domain method is developed to simulate fluctuations which accompany the dephasing of atomic polarization and the decay of excited state's population. This model is based on the…

Optics · Physics 2009-08-31 Jonathan Andreasen , Hui Cao

The sub-fractional Brownian motion (sfBm) is a stochastic process, characterized by non-stationarity in their increments and long-range dependency, considered as an intermediate step between the standard Brownian motion (Bm) and the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-09 Axel A. Araneda , Nils Bertschinger

We consider compartmental models of communicable disease with uncertain contact rates. Stochastic fluctuations are often added to the contact rate to account for uncertainties. White noise, which is the typical choice for the fluctuations,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-06-07 Konstantinos Mamis , Mohammad Farazmand

Based on the physics of stochastic processes we present a new approach for structural health monitoring. We show that the new method allows for an in-situ analysis of the elastic features of a mechanical structure even for realistic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-01-08 Philip Rinn , Hendrik Heißelmann , Matthias Wächter , Joachim Peinke

We consider the control of semilinear stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) via deterministic controls. In the case of multiplicative noise, existence of optimal controls and necessary conditions for optimality are derived. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-28 Wilhelm Stannat , Lukas Wessels

The formalism of state estimation and hidden Markov models (HMMs) can simplify and clarify the discussion of stochastic thermodynamics in the presence of feedback and measurement errors. After reviewing the basic formalism, we use it to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-11-13 John Bechhoefer

As a concrete setting where stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) are able to model real phenomena, we propose a stochastic Meinhardt model for cell repolarisation and study how parameter estimation techniques developed for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-17 Randolf Altmeyer , Till Bretschneider , Josef Janák , Markus Reiß

Statistical node clustering in discrete time dynamic networks is an emerging field that raises many challenges. Here, we explore statistical properties and frequentist inference in a model that combines a stochastic block model (SBM) for…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-23 Catherine Matias , Vincent Miele

This work proposes and analyzes a family of spatially inhomogeneous epidemic models. This is our first effort to use stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) to model epidemic dynamics with spatial variations and environmental…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Dang H Nguyen , Nhu N Nguyen , George Yin

In real-life challenges, unforeseen and unknown occurrences commonly influence the data values, which may affect the performance of the problems. The performance of decision-making units (DMUs) is determined using the slack-based measure…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-22 Alka Arya , Shubham Singh

This article proposes for stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) driven by additive noise, a novel approach for the approximate parameterizations of the ``small'' scales by the ``large'' ones, along with the derivaton of the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2013-11-14 Mickaël D. Chekroun , Honghu Liu , Shouhong Wang

We analyze the statistical performance of identification of stochastic dynamical systems with non-linear measurement sensors. This includes stochastic Wiener systems, with linear dynamics, process noise and measured by a non-linear sensor…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-24 Bo Wahlberg , Lennart Ljung

A parameter estimation problem is considered for a linear stochastic hyperbolic equation driven by additive space-time Gaussian white noise. The damping/amplification operator is allowed to be unbounded. The estimator is of spectral type…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-25 W. Liu , S. V. Lototsky

Empirical time series often contain observational noise. We investigate the effect of this noise on the estimated parameters of models fitted to the data. For data of physiological tremor, i.e. a small amplitude oscillation of the…

chao-dyn · Physics 2015-06-24 J. Timmer

Unlike closed systems, where the total energy and information are conserved within the system, open systems interact with the external environment which often leads to complex behaviors not seen in closed systems. The random fluctuations…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-05-24 Joo Yong Shim , Joongheon Kim