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We study the problem of estimating the joint probability mass function (pmf) over two random variables. In particular, the estimation is based on the observation of $m$ samples containing both variables and $n$ samples missing one fixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-16 Hasan Sabri Melihcan Erol , Lizhong Zheng

Consider a nonparametric regression model with one-sided errors and regression function in a general H\"older class. We estimate the regression function via minimization of the local integral of a polynomial approximation. We show uniform…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-12 Holger Drees , Natalie Neumeyer , Leonie Selk

We develop and analyze $M$-estimation methods for divergence functionals and the likelihood ratios of two probability distributions. Our method is based on a non-asymptotic variational characterization of $f$-divergences, which allows the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-18 XuanLong Nguyen , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan

For the zone of moderate deviation probabilities the local asymptotic minimax lower bound of asymptotic efficiency of estimators is established. The estimation parameter is multidimensional. The lower bound admits the interpretation as the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-08 Mikhail Ermakov

Consider the problem of joint parameter estimation and prediction in a Markov random field: i.e., the model parameters are estimated on the basis of an initial set of data, and then the fitted model is used to perform prediction (e.g.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Martin J. Wainwright

We study convex empirical risk minimization for high-dimensional inference in binary models. Our first result sharply predicts the statistical performance of such estimators in the linear asymptotic regime under isotropic Gaussian features.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-27 Hossein Taheri , Ramtin Pedarsani , Christos Thrampoulidis

In this paper we propose a distributed version of a randomized block-coordinate descent method for minimizing the sum of a partially separable smooth convex function and a fully separable non-smooth convex function. Under the assumption of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-11-23 Ion Necoara , Dragos Clipici

The problem of binary hypothesis testing between two probability measures is considered. New sharp bounds are derived for the best achievable error probability of such tests based on independent and identically distributed observations.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Valentinian Lungu , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

We develop a novel computationally efficient and general framework for robust hypothesis testing. The new framework features a new way to construct uncertainty sets under the null and the alternative distributions, which are sets centered…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-29 Rui Gao , Liyan Xie , Yao Xie , Huan Xu

We develop minimax optimal risk bounds for the general learning task consisting in predicting as well as the best function in a reference set $\mathcal{G}$ up to the smallest possible additive term, called the convergence rate. When the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-09 Jean-Yves Audibert

We consider in this paper a Gaussian sequence model of observations $Y_i$, $i\geq 1$ having mean (or signal) $\theta_i$ and variance $\sigma_i$ which is growing polynomially like $i^\gamma$, $\gamma >0$. This model describes a large panel…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-02-16 Cristina Butucea , Katia Méziani

We provide novel theoretical results regarding local optima of regularized $M$-estimators, allowing for nonconvexity in both loss and penalty functions. Under restricted strong convexity on the loss and suitable regularity conditions on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-05 Po-Ling Loh , Martin J. Wainwright

A central problem in Binary Hypothesis Testing (BHT) is to determine the optimal tradeoff between the Type I error (referred to as false alarm) and Type II (referred to as miss) error. In this context, the exponential rate of convergence of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-29 Sebastian Espinosa , Jorge F. Silva , Pablo Piantanida

We study Regularized Empirical Risk Minimizers (RERM) and minmax Median-Of-Means (MOM) estimators where the regularization function $\phi(\cdot)$ is an even convex function. We obtain bounds on the $L_2$-estimation error and the excess risk…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-16 Geoffrey Chinot

Coherent lower previsions are general probabilistic models allowing incompletely specified probability distributions. However, for complete description of a coherent lower prevision -- even on finite underlying sample spaces -- an infinite…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-29 Damjan Škulj

We study a minimax risk of estimating inverse functions on a plane, while keeping an estimator is also invertible. Learning invertibility from data and exploiting an invertible estimator are used in many domains, such as statistics,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-27 Akifumi Okuno , Masaaki Imaizumi

Consider nonparametric function estimation under $L^p$-loss. The minimax rate for estimation of the regression function over a H\"older ball with smoothness index $\beta$ is $n^{-\beta/(2\beta+1)}$ if $1\leq p<\infty$ and $(n/\log…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-10 Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

We propose two families of asymptotically local minimax lower bounds on parameter estimation performance. The first family of bounds applies to any convex, symmetric loss function that depends solely on the difference between the estimate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-20 Neri Merhav

We obtain approximation results for general positive linear operators satisfying mild conditions, when acting on discontinuous functions and absolutely continuous functions having discontinuous derivatives. The upper bounds, given in terms…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-29 José A. Adell , P. Garrancho , F. J. Martínez-Sánchez

In this paper, we explore a static setting for the assessment of risk in the context of mathematical finance and actuarial science that takes into account model uncertainty in the distribution of a possibly infinite-dimensional risk factor.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-13 Max Nendel , Alessandro Sgarabottolo