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Experimenters report an upper limit if the signal they are trying to detect is non-existent or below their experiment's sensitivity. Such experiments may be contaminated with a background too poorly understood to subtract. If the background…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-07 S. Yellin

The optimum interval method for finding an upper limit of a one-dimensionally distributed signal in the presence of an unknown background is extended to the case of high statistics. There is also some discussion of how the method can be…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-09-19 S. Yellin

We discuss how to determine and combine upper limits based on observed events and estimated backgrounds with a Bayesian method, when insignificant signals are observed in independent measurements. In addition to some general features…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-10-20 Liu Yang , Kai Zhu , Yongsheng Zhu , Hao Cai

In counting experiments, one can set an upper limit on the rate of a Poisson process based on a count of the number of events observed due to the process. In some experiments, one makes several counts of the number of events, using…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-11-20 Patrick J. Sutton

Finding upper limits on the rate of events from a proposed process in the presence of unknown backgrounds is an often encountered problem in the search for rare processes. Methods based on unusually large "gaps", or spacings, in the event…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-03-17 Lolian Shtembari , Allen Caldwell

We present a procedure for calculating an upper limit on the number of signal events which incorporates the Poisson uncertainty in the background, estimated from control regions of one or two dimensions. For small number of signal events,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-26 K. K. Gan

We address the common problem of calculating intervals in the presence of systematic uncertainties. We aim to investigate several approaches, but here describe just a Bayesian technique for setting upper limits. The particular example we…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Joel Heinrich , Craig Blocker , John Conway , Luc Demortier , Louis Lyons , Giovanni Punzi , Pekka K. Sinervo

Upper limits and confidence intervals are a convenient way to present experimental results. With modern experiments producing more and more data, it is often necessary to reduce the volume of the results for convenient distribution. A…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2024-10-02 Vladimir Dergachev

We derive new upper and lower bounds for probabilities that $r$ or at least $r$ from $n$ events occur. These bounds can turn to equalities. The method is discussed as well. It works for measurable space and measures with sign, too. We also…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-12 Andrei N. Frolov

Upper bounds on the maximum number of codewords in a binary code of a given length and minimum Hamming distance are considered. New bounds are derived by a combination of linear programming and counting arguments. Some of these bounds…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Beniamin Mounits , Tuvi Etzion , Simon Litsyn

We discuss a new method for setting limits on small signals in the presence of background noise. The method is based on a combination of a two dimensional confidence region and the large sample approximation to the likelihood ratio test…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-10-31 Wolfgang A. Rolke , Angel M. Lopez

Bayesian, classical, and extended maximum likelihood approaches to estimation of upper limits in experiments with small numbers of signal events are surveyed. The discussion covers only experiments whose outcomes are well described by a…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2011-07-19 Ilya Narsky

We provide an upper bound as a random variable for the functions of estimators in high dimensions. This upper bound may help establish the rate of convergence of functions in high dimensions. The upper bound random variable may converge…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-08-07 Mehmet Caner , Xu Han

Using the techniques of [arXiv:0911.4271], upper bounds for a given confidence level are modified in an optimal fashion to incorporate the a priori information that the parameter being estimated is non-negative. A paradox with different…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-12-09 Fyodor V. Tkachov

Simultaneous estimation of multiple parameters is required in many practical applications. A lower bound on the variance of simultaneous estimation is given by the quantum Fisher information matrix. This lower bound is, however, not…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-04-22 Shingo Kukita

A pivotal task in quantum metrology, and quantum parameter estimation in general, is to de- sign schemes that achieve the highest precision with given resources. Standard models of quantum metrology usually assume the dynamics is fixed, the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-07-18 Jing Liu , Haidong Yuan

In this paper we propose a procedure to evaluate Bayesian confidence intervals in counting experiments where both signal and background fluctuations are described by the Poisson statistics. The results obtained when the method is applied to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-03-19 F. Loparco , M. N. Mazziotta

Combining p-values from independent statistical tests is a popular approach to meta-analysis, particularly when the data underlying the tests are either no longer available or are difficult to combine. A diverse range of p-value combination…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-15 Nicholas Heard , Patrick Rubin-Delanchy

We compare the ``unified approach'' for the estimation of upper limits with an approach based on the Bayes theory, in the special case that no events are observed. The ``unified approach'' predicts, in this case, an upper limit that…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2007-05-23 P. Astone , G. Pizzella

A method is discussed that allows combining sets of differential or inclusive measurements. It is assumed that at least one measurement was obtained with simultaneously fitting a set of nuisance parameters, representing sources of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-01-09 Jan Kieseler
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