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In this article we derive the best possible upper bound for $E[\max{X_i}-\min_i{X_i}]$ under given means and variances on $n$ random variables $X_i$. The random vector $(X_1,...,X_n)$ is allowed to have any dependence structure, provided $E…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-18 Nickos Papadatos

Bayesian inference systems should be able to explain their reasoning to users, translating from numerical to natural language. Previous empirical work has investigated the correspondence between absolute probabilities and linguistic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Christopher Elsaesser , Max Henrion

Theoretically as well as experimentally it is investigated how people represent their knowledge in order to make decisions or to share their knowledge with others. Experiment 1 probes into the ways how people 6ather information about the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Alf C. Zimmer

The softmax representation of probabilities for categorical variables plays a prominent role in modern machine learning with numerous applications in areas such as large scale classification, neural language modeling and recommendation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-01 Michalis K. Titsias

In this paper, we define the upper (resp. lower) covariance under multiple probabilities via a corresponding max-min-max (resp. min-max-min) optimization problem and the related properties of covariances are obtained. In particular, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-28 Xinpeng Li , Jingxu Niu , Ke Zhou

Suppose $k$ balls are dropped into $n$ boxes independently with uniform probability, where $n, k$ are large with ratio approximately equal to some positive real $\lambda$. The maximum box count has a counterintuitive behavior: first of all,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-20 Andrea Ottolini

Suppose $X$ is a uniformly distributed $n$-dimensional binary vector and $Y$ is obtained by passing $X$ through a binary symmetric channel with crossover probability $\alpha$. A recent conjecture by Courtade and Kumar postulates that…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-02 Or Ordentlich , Ofer Shayevitz , Omri Weinstein

We introduce partial differential encodings of Boolean functions as a way of measuring the complexity of Boolean functions. These encodings enable us to derive from group actions non-trivial bounds on the Chow-Rank of polynomials used to…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2022-12-02 Edinah K. Gnang , Rongyu Xu

In causal inference, and specifically in the \textit{Causes of Effects} problem, one is interested in how to use statistical evidence to understand causation in an individual case, and so how to assess the so-called {\em probability of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-23 Fabio Corradi , Monica Musio

When learning from positive and unlabelled data, it is a strong assumption that the positive observations are randomly sampled from the distribution of $X$ conditional on $Y = 1$, where X stands for the feature and Y the label. Most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-04 Fengxiang He , Tongliang Liu , Geoffrey I Webb , Dacheng Tao

To model biological systems using networks, it is desirable to allow more than two levels of expression for the nodes and to allow the introduction of parameters. Various modeling and simulation methods addressing these needs using Boolean…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2014-04-23 Yi Ming Zou

We construct a non - improved exponential bounds for distribution of normed sums of i.,i.d. random variables with random numbers of summand.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 B. M. Migdashiev , E. I. Ostrovsky

An optimal bound on the quantiles of a certain kind of distributions is given. Such a bound is used in applications to Berry--Esseen-type bounds for nonlinear statistics.

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-03 Iosif Pinelis

The performance of maximum-likelihood (ML) decoded binary linear block codes is addressed via the derivation of tightened upper bounds on their decoding error probability. The upper bounds on the block and bit error probabilities are valid…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 M. Twitto , I. Sason , S. Shamai

Effective bounds on the union probability are well known to be beneficial in the analysis of stochastic problems in many areas, including probability theory, information theory, statistical communications, computing and operations research.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-02 Jun Yang , Fady Alajaji , Glen Takahara

We study the problem of testing \emph{conditional independence} for discrete distributions. Specifically, given samples from a discrete random variable $(X, Y, Z)$ on domain $[\ell_1]\times[\ell_2] \times [n]$, we want to distinguish, with…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-07-03 Clément L. Canonne , Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel M. Kane , Alistair Stewart

This paper considers a variation of the full-information secretary problem where the random variables to be observed are independent but not necessary identically distributed. The main result is a sharp lower bound for the optimal win…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-12 Pieter C. Allaart , Jose A. Islas

In this paper, we propose a new upper bound on the error probability performance of maximum-likelihood (ML) detection. The proposed approach provides a much tighter upper bound when compared to the traditionally used union bound, especially…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-08-01 Tian Han , Rajitha Senanayake , Peter Smith , Jamie Evans

Over the last two decades, many exciting variable selection methods have been developed for finding a small group of covariates that are associated with the response from a large pool. Can the discoveries from these data mining approaches…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-24 Jianqing Fan , Qi-Man Shao , Wen-Xin Zhou

We introduce estimation and test procedures through divergence optimization for discrete or continuous parametric models. This approach is based on a new dual representation for divergences. We treat point estimation and tests for simple…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Michel Broniatowski , Amor Keziou